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posted by janrinok on Saturday January 24 2015, @12:03PM   Printer-friendly
from the your-guess-is-as-good-as-mine dept.

Politico Magazine asked 15 other big thinkers and doers for their ideas of what will change the world the most in the next 15 years. We got back lots of inspiration—from the transformative power of opening up national borders to the commercialization of the human genome—and one dyspeptic dissenter. Read on, for a sense of the possible in the world of 2030.

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/01/15-big-breakthroughs-in-2015-114486.html

Would you agree with their predictions? What would surveillance be like in 2030? Would we have any freedoms at all, any privacy?

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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 24 2015, @12:18PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 24 2015, @12:18PM (#137604)

    Future people hate us for our freedoms. We must declare war on the future, now, before the time travelers come back to steal our precious freedoms. To prevent temporal war, the only solution is preemptively abolishing all privacy and personal liberty.

    • (Score: 2) by chromas on Saturday January 24 2015, @12:39PM

      by chromas (34) Subscriber Badge on Saturday January 24 2015, @12:39PM (#137606) Journal

      Everybody back into the pile!

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 24 2015, @12:44PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 24 2015, @12:44PM (#137607)

      which describes statements which have a convincing logical tone but in actual fact they do not. Unfortunately I can't rememember the word; does anybody here remember the name of this word?

      • (Score: 2) by Jeremiah Cornelius on Saturday January 24 2015, @04:03PM

        by Jeremiah Cornelius (2785) on Saturday January 24 2015, @04:03PM (#137628) Journal
        • Genes as commerce: Eugenics and tracking
        • The democratization of media to fight rights abuses: Social control and propagation of neo-lib establishment support outrage - "Je Suis Puppet"
        • Women controlling their fertility: Under the constraints of the eugenic "medicine", coupled with "progressive" messaging to undermine 3rd world.
        • Digital ID cards: "Your papers, please."
        • A second food revolution: Controlled famines and GMO feudalism - thanks, Monsanto!
        • More open borders: Read: Global normalization of anti-democratic, regulatory enslavement: TPP [wikipedia.org].
        • High-tech classrooms: Conditioning and social programming. Reduction of critical thinking skills to the social and economic spheres. Increased class tiering.
        • Real civic engagement: Ralph, this society cannot be repaired. I know you remember when parts of it functioned. Cherish this in the darkness ahead.
        • Closing the gender gap: Again, use of progressive and egalitarian messaging to dissolve cohesive structure of earlier social order. Use "progress" as a club to beat dissenters. "How can you criticize a society like ours? We have a Woman/Black/Gay/Brony President!"
        • Setting few—but smart—targets: One-percentism - now driven by big data!
        • Technology for the good: See second food revolution, genes as commerce.
        • No breakthroughs for the better: Use that assessment to perpetrate racist diatribe and propaganda. "Muslim" my arse.
        • Investing in childhood education and health: Yes. Just enough to keep a docile herd, penned as closely as possible in our megacity factory farm.

        There is no political solution
        To our troubled evolution
        Have no faith in constitution
        There is no bloody revolution

        --
        You're betting on the pantomime horse...
      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 25 2015, @09:16AM

        by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 25 2015, @09:16AM (#137816)
        Their is a word in the dictionary indicating a third-person possessive pronoun. There is a word that I think you meant to type, but didn't for whatever reason.
    • (Score: 2) by maxwell demon on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:07PM

      by maxwell demon (1608) on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:07PM (#137637) Journal

      We already are in a war against the future. We are taking away their resources, polluting their environment and generally doing our best to make sure they're as fucked up as possible.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  • (Score: 2) by BsAtHome on Saturday January 24 2015, @01:55PM

    by BsAtHome (889) on Saturday January 24 2015, @01:55PM (#137613)

    There once was a little planet called Sol 3, which harboured a self-perpetuating species with a parasitic genome. As with all parasites, it died once it had all of the environment turned upside down and digested. The fossil record shows a geologically short, almost insignificant, period where the parasites ran amok. A significant extinction event followed and, according to the geological record, it took two to three million years for a new species balance to reappear. The legacy of the parasites, as seen from the geological record, shows localized high levels of concentrated elements, The hypothesis so far is that most of these deposits have come from elsewhere within the Sol 3 system and were used as a source of food. A small dust-layer-thick deposit marks the end of the parasites' era. It is suggested that the parasites exploded all at once at the end of the era. The exact cause is not clear, but the dispersion pattern may indicate a feature of the parasites' metabolic system, in which they turned inside-out as their food expired.

  • (Score: 3, Insightful) by mcgrew on Saturday January 24 2015, @02:10PM

    by mcgrew (701) <publish@mcgrewbooks.com> on Saturday January 24 2015, @02:10PM (#137615) Homepage Journal

    Let's see... in 2000, nobody but we nerds were on the internet. Cell phones were analog and still not really common. Few people had computers in their homes. Nobody had a clue that there would be 911, the internet would be in your pocket, etc.

    And these guys think they can predict what 2030 will be like? Give me a fucking break! Only fools listen to fortune tellers.

    --
    mcgrewbooks.com mcgrew.info nooze.org
    • (Score: 1, Insightful) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 24 2015, @02:25PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 24 2015, @02:25PM (#137616)

      And 13.3 years later, American idiots still won't shut the fuck up about 9/11. One million people died in your reactionary Iraq War. Were the deaths of 3000 people on 9/11 really worth the years of mindless carnage that your Dear Leaders caused in your holy war?

      • (Score: 3, Informative) by Jeremiah Cornelius on Saturday January 24 2015, @03:23PM

        by Jeremiah Cornelius (2785) on Saturday January 24 2015, @03:23PM (#137626) Journal

        "If you want a vision of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face - forever."

        "That's not the way the world really works anymore," he continued. "We're an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you're studying that reality—judiciously, as you will—we'll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that's how things will sort out. We're history's actors…and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do."

        --
        You're betting on the pantomime horse...
        • (Score: 2) by Yog-Yogguth on Sunday January 25 2015, @03:24PM

          by Yog-Yogguth (1862) Subscriber Badge on Sunday January 25 2015, @03:24PM (#137890) Journal

          How incredibly important context is and how little of it we, all of us but at least I, have.

          I can be wrong about it all except this sentence: there's a lot more [wikipedia.org] to the second quote which sounds as if it might as well have been written by Phillip K. Dick. This is his world(s).

          In fact (a terrible expression in this case) if (or when) the following is right then the conclusion is that “the rest of us” (including me) are “always” wrong. It's not as paradoxical as it sounds because since in that case “right” and “wrong” moves about at what seems like it should be but isn't entirely random.

          The quote is often/usually attributed to Karl Rove but I think it's a modified version of something he (or someone else) was told and was awed by, and it was used to sound clever and impress in private but whoever it was wouldn't have done it if they had fully grasped what was being told.

          So what I'm saying is that Karl Rove (or somebody else) uses something he's been told about as an individual recipient in a conversation and modifies it to tell someone else belonging to a specific group of people (not the general public nor a group Karl Rove belongs to) something about them and the world that group lives in. Both any unknown first quote and the second quote was private, unofficial, and unconfirmed, both could have been told to impress or to inform or both and there's an element of victorious gloating or belittling although not especially hostile and possibly amiable.

          However ten years later it just looks far too much like a brief summary of the dynamic “endstate”. After one has enough information one will be able to make manipulation however subtle (or outrageous or seemingly idiotic and stupid or counterproductive) as one wants to and yet also gain efficiency because it's the result of the wave interference of the ripples that is being engineered and not the pebbles hitting the surface.

          Customized and optimized and automatic and fast, choose all, that's mathematics for you.

          With everyone else being blinded by a growing sea of noise perceived reality will be redefined to be constantly wrong yet uniquely so in different novel ways at intervals fast enough to aim to guarantee unceasing interruption of any kind of adversary's OODA loop [wikipedia.org]. To get ones head around that one can try to imagine “fighting” a constant ‘singularity on demand’ where all instincts will be completely useless because they will all work against you and all knowledge is invalid or wrong expect for in very specific contexts.

          “Solutions” is the topic.

          The sky is not blue and never was blue, the sky has no color, the atmosphere has no color, air has no color, you might as meaningfully talk about the color of the abstraction of the concept circle.

          And you might find someone else who agrees with you on the color of the abstraction of circle, and you will be able to communicate it, but the color is inside your heads.

          However in sufficient quantities of ‘air’ the sum total of some electromagnetic radiation might be perceived (again inside you) as various shades of blue due to elastic scattering of electromagnetic radiation of specific wavelengths at specific angles in specific contexts of atmospheric water aggregation, particulate concentrations, moisture, temperature, and pressure and so on.

          Thus the sky is blue.

          --
          Bite harder Ouroboros, bite! tails.boum.org/ linux USB CD secure desktop IRC *crypt tor (not endorsements (XKeyScore))
          • (Score: 2) by Jeremiah Cornelius on Sunday January 25 2015, @04:49PM

            by Jeremiah Cornelius (2785) on Sunday January 25 2015, @04:49PM (#137915) Journal

            You have a really good method of surmise and forensic thought-experiment. It does me good to read, and prompts me further into thinking.

            The reference is from a Ron Suskind article in the NYT Magazine, and the attribution is to an unnamed aide in the Bush administration. This can all be found in the Wikipedia article for "Reality-based community." [wikipedia.org]

            What I think is more important than understanding it as a desired end-state, that this is the representative statement of those in positions of elite power. It describes the imperial world view of monarchal society, translated for the quasi-democratic and media-saturated current era.

            How close we are to this end-state? A matter for argument. But some clue is by the extraordinary persecution of those, in recent years, who have resisted or even given a voice to an alternative narrative account. Most recently there is Barrett Brown sentencing. GCHQ has been classifying "investigative journalists" as a legitimate target for anti-terrorism targeting. Last Friday, Andrew Lack new head for the US Broadcasting Board of Governors, labelled the broadcaster RT as one of the main challenges to his agency, ranked equal to ISIS and Boko Haram.

            So I do not believe that there is a conspiracy of a single cabal, with shadowy tentacles, enforcing this in every exec meeting and board room. But there is a defining ethic that is self-reinforcing and has incredible grasp official positions, media messaging and power to sanction with economic, criminal and military methods.

            The "Reality-based community" statement neatly gives a form to that defining ethic, and renders sensible the state of a "west" with an incestous power elite - and a fifth estate that treats itself as a client of privilege - where four companies control the 147 others, that own everything". [forbes.com]

            --
            You're betting on the pantomime horse...
      • (Score: 2) by tangomargarine on Sunday January 25 2015, @10:20AM

        by tangomargarine (667) on Sunday January 25 2015, @10:20AM (#137832)

        From the context and lack of a slash in "911" I think he's talking about emergency 911 service, not terrorism.

        Communication technology, communication technology, communication technology, terrorism, communication technology. Which of these things does not belong?

        --
        "Is that really true?" "I just spent the last hour telling you to think for yourself! Didn't you hear anything I said?"
        • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 25 2015, @03:41PM

          by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 25 2015, @03:41PM (#137901)

          communications technology = terrorism // the spread of western culture due to increasing communication technology capabilities caused a increase in the reach and volume of western media resulting in an alarmist reaction in the most extreme conservative religious group which lead to an attack on western culture. This lead to the leaders of the west passing laws to allow for the transforming the liberal communications technologies into extremist-conservative tools of terrorism to terrorize the terrorists with, eg pat riot act and rise of ns a. so communication technology lead to terrorism and now is terrorism, weird.

      • (Score: 2) by DeathMonkey on Monday January 26 2015, @05:18PM

        by DeathMonkey (1380) on Monday January 26 2015, @05:18PM (#138231) Journal

        And 13.3 years later, American idiots still won't shut the fuck up about 9/11.
         
        And I can predict that 15 years from now people will still be talking about it.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 24 2015, @04:45PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 24 2015, @04:45PM (#137634)

      > Let's see... in 2000, nobody but we nerds were on the internet. Cell phones were analog and still not really common.

      In the US, maybe. I had a friend building US cells towers in the late 90s and he actually got fired for sexting with his secretary (her jealous ex ratted them out and HR inspected their phones and found the evidence). But besides his unique circumstances, he told me texting was already a big deal in europe and that the US was just way behind the times. If texting was big, then so were cells.

    • (Score: 2) by maxwell demon on Saturday January 24 2015, @04:47PM

      by maxwell demon (1608) on Saturday January 24 2015, @04:47PM (#137635) Journal

      Well, I predict the following for 2030:

      The year will have 365 days, the first of which will be the first of January, and the last of which will be the 31st of December. The world will be filled with morons. There will be war or war-like violence somewhere. Human rights will be violated to varying degrees in most of the world.

      I'm pretty sure that these predictions will turn to be true. When was the last year when this was not true?

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
      • (Score: 3, Interesting) by mcgrew on Saturday January 24 2015, @06:05PM

        by mcgrew (701) <publish@mcgrewbooks.com> on Saturday January 24 2015, @06:05PM (#137651) Homepage Journal

        Here are [soylentnews.org] the predictions I made in December for 2015:

        Someone will die. Not necessarily anybody I know...
        SETI will find no sign of intelligent life. Not even on Earth.
        The Pirate Party won't make inroads in the US. I hope I'm wrong about that one.
        US politicians will continue to be wholly owned by the corporations.
        I'll still be a nerd.
        You'll still be a nerd.
        Technophobic fashionista jocks will troll soylent.
        Slashdot will be rife with dupes.
        Many FPs will be poorly edited.
        I'll publish Random Scribblings

        I might get that last one wrong but I've never missed on any of the other ones. Now excuse me while I go wash my flying car and shine my personal jet pack. Both of them were being predicted by "futurists" when I was a kid, while nobody but Murray Leinster came close to envisioning the internet [baen.com] (Asimov's Multivac doesn't come close). The story at that link was written in 1946, and I seriously doubt that old Murray really thought anything like that would ever come to be.

        --
        mcgrewbooks.com mcgrew.info nooze.org
        • (Score: 2) by tangomargarine on Friday January 30 2015, @08:27AM

          by tangomargarine (667) on Friday January 30 2015, @08:27AM (#139413)

          Someone will die. Not necessarily anybody I know...

          I would be mighty surprised if there was a year when nobody in the whole world died [wikipedia.org]...

          --
          "Is that really true?" "I just spent the last hour telling you to think for yourself! Didn't you hear anything I said?"
    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 24 2015, @07:48PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 24 2015, @07:48PM (#137668)

      What, seriously? Were you around in the year 2000? You don't get massive speculative bubbles forming in the stock market if your industry is still the domain of the nerds. Super Bowl XXXIV had 22 dot-com ads run in January 2000! That's almost 20 percent of the available ad spots!

  • (Score: 2) by kaszz on Saturday January 24 2015, @02:25PM

    by kaszz (4211) on Saturday January 24 2015, @02:25PM (#137617) Journal

    It will be hot with heat waves and have reoccurring freak weather. Exotic diseases will spread mainly due to hotter climate and countries at the equator will be scorched to ashes by the sun. This will cause migration of people and set of hostilities. Due to new demands of transparency nobody dares to express any original thought that may upset anyone anywhere. And the elite will be free to use anyone else as they see fit, be it brain control, horrid working conditions, economical abuse, poor living etc. Kind of like how poor immigrants in rich Arab countries are used and thrown away right now but with a technological edge. The three power blocks USA, China, Russia will compete for extraterrestrial resources with frequent disputes in United Nations. Superbugs will curtail international travel and also be used to control people. Resource deficit will cause products to be flawed at manufacture and cause a new interest in old products of quality.

    Oh, and Unix epoch will bite anyone that didn't do their reprogramming properly.

    Other than that. The feature is probably bright! ;-)

    • (Score: 2) by redneckmother on Saturday January 24 2015, @03:18PM

      by redneckmother (3597) on Saturday January 24 2015, @03:18PM (#137625)

      "... so bright, I gotta wear shades."

      Reminds me of a Chernobyl joke:
      Tomorrow's weather forecast - cloudy and 5000 degrees.
      Five day forecast: Three days.

      Anyone not wearing SPF 1 million should stay indoors.

      --
      Mas cerveza por favor.
    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 24 2015, @04:56PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 24 2015, @04:56PM (#137636)

      "Resource deficit will cause products to be flawed at manufacture and cause a new interest in old products of quality."
      Already happening; much of the junk I get from china is broken out of the box. I think that when someone translated "Think out of the box" and "Brake out of the box" it got taken literal. Miss my old can opener; worked for years until wife decided it was ugly and threw it away. Now I go thru new ones every six months. Can't find any Made in America on the shelves anywhere.

      • (Score: 2) by Joe Desertrat on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:30PM

        by Joe Desertrat (2454) on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:30PM (#137640)

        Miss my old can opener; worked for years until wife decided it was ugly and threw it away. Now I go thru new ones every six months. Can't find any Made in America on the shelves anywhere.

        Takes a while to break in but once it does works forever. Try a P-38. [beprepared.com]

  • (Score: 2) by fadrian on Saturday January 24 2015, @03:26PM

    by fadrian (3194) on Saturday January 24 2015, @03:26PM (#137627) Homepage

    All techno-socio-utopian crap except for Leslie Gelb of the CFR who, I think, nails it. Because he has the balls to say that the rich really don't care much about the poor other than using them to burnish their image so no problems will actually be solved and, as such, the world descends into chaos.

    Very shortly, the only way for the rich to continue increase the relative amounts of the wealth they own is to start to "decrease the surplus population" and that they will do so by not addressing problems until the unwashed start taking themselves out due to frustration and anger.

    --
    That is all.
    • (Score: 2) by RamiK on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:32PM

      by RamiK (1813) on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:32PM (#137641)

      One word: Pandemics.
      With nuclear weapons and guided missiles you can't even risk warfare so a world where the rich ignore poverty and starvation is a world where the rich die off to diseases right along with them.
      So, whether it would take 30, 50 or 100 years no one can say for sure, but the "techno-socio-utopian crap" just might end-up being the only remaining outcome after all other options would be exhausted.

      --
      compiling...
      • (Score: 2) by tibman on Saturday January 24 2015, @07:25PM

        by tibman (134) Subscriber Badge on Saturday January 24 2015, @07:25PM (#137665)

        A pandemic would kill rich and poor in equal percentages. Unless it was curable or preventable with medicine. In that case the poor are screwed.

        --
        SN won't survive on lurkers alone. Write comments.
        • (Score: 1) by khallow on Saturday January 24 2015, @07:40PM

          by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Saturday January 24 2015, @07:40PM (#137667) Journal

          A pandemic would kill rich and poor in equal percentages. Unless it was curable or preventable with medicine.

          Pandemics are always preventable with medicine by simply figuring out the vectors of infection and preventing them in your environment.

          • (Score: 2) by tibman on Saturday January 24 2015, @10:29PM

            by tibman (134) Subscriber Badge on Saturday January 24 2015, @10:29PM (#137705)

            People breathing near you is a pretty difficult vector to eliminate : )

            --
            SN won't survive on lurkers alone. Write comments.
            • (Score: 0, Offtopic) by Arik on Sunday January 25 2015, @12:26AM

              by Arik (4543) on Sunday January 25 2015, @12:26AM (#137728) Journal
              Not as hard as you might think. Just quit bathing. ;)
              --
              If laughter is the best medicine, who are the best doctors?
              • (Score: 2) by tibman on Sunday January 25 2015, @01:05AM

                by tibman (134) Subscriber Badge on Sunday January 25 2015, @01:05AM (#137736)

                hahah, nice

                --
                SN won't survive on lurkers alone. Write comments.
            • (Score: 1) by khallow on Sunday January 25 2015, @08:04AM

              by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Sunday January 25 2015, @08:04AM (#137803) Journal

              People breathing near you is a pretty difficult vector to eliminate : )

              Unless you don't have sick people breathing near you. Then it's quite easy to eliminate.

    • (Score: 2) by bzipitidoo on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:58PM

      by bzipitidoo (4388) on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:58PM (#137649) Journal

      Rich vs poor is a big problem but not the full story. Many of the poor do plenty of stupid things to themselves, bringing their poverty upon them. Of course that's no excuse for the rich to rig the game and cheat everyone else, as they do now. What I see is that the age old competition with each other could easily turn ugly and self-destructive in the near future. We've grown so powerful that we've won decisively against our old adversary, the rest of nature. Forests are not mysterious and scary anymore, and we can harvest them any time we want. No large animal can compete against bullets. There's not an obvious external common threat to help hold people together, now our biggest dangers are ourselves. We have so far avoided nuclear war. We see the perils of Climate Change, which we caused, but so far, our response has been mixed.

      One problem is slack. Just like muscles weaken when not used, our easy living has eroded our good senses, and spoiled us a bit. This is most easily seen among the children of the rich, who may not have to work a day of their lives.

      At the other extreme is crippling poverty. Children who did not get enough nutrition and got a bad or no education, perhaps because the rich stole from their parents, are weaker from the privation they suffered.

      When the Climate Change chickens come home to roost is when it could turn ugly. We tend to use everything available, don't hold back, so that if something causes a reduction, we're hurting. The obvious consequence is a reduction of us. The easy way out is fewer children, but that's slow. The hard ways are war and famine. Which way will we go? If we don't plan for these problems, if we're stupid, maybe made ourselves stupid from easy living for the rich and too hard living for the poor, we'll go the ugly route.

    • (Score: 0, Troll) by khallow on Saturday January 24 2015, @08:45PM

      by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Saturday January 24 2015, @08:45PM (#137681) Journal
      Let's take a look at an excerpt of Gelb's opinion:

      Societies will be deeply fragmented and overwhelmed by irreconcilable religious and political groups, by disparities in wealth, by ignorant citizenry and by states’ impotence to fix problems.

      That pretty describes the last few thousand years. Yet here we are. Maybe we don't need these things which he complains of not having in order to have a good society. Maybe it's not even a good idea to have them! It's also worth noting that his complaints are in large part purely imaginary. For example, there aren't growing global disparities in wealth, religious differences are far more reconcilable now than they've ever been, and most of the problems we face, we fix without the need of the state to get involved.

    • (Score: 2) by frojack on Saturday January 24 2015, @10:22PM

      by frojack (1554) on Saturday January 24 2015, @10:22PM (#137702) Journal

      All techno-socio-utopian crap except for Leslie Gelb of the CFR who, I think, nails it. Because he has the balls to say that the rich really don't care much about the poor other than using them to burnish their image so no problems will actually be solved and, as such, the world descends into chaos.
      Very shortly, the only way for the rich to continue increase the relative amounts of the wealth they own is to start to "decrease the surplus population" and that they will do so by not addressing problems until the unwashed start taking themselves out due to frustration and anger.

      All this angst over "The Rich".

      You know the whole article was by "Political People" and their predictions. CLUE: These are not people you take seriously. They rouse their rabble, and then retire to their rockers. The world is better served by one competent plumber than the entire group of these pundits.

      "The Rich" all end up in a pine box just like every one else. Some can be hastened toward that end by 148 grains of fast moving heavy metal, but amazingly few of them ever stir up enough wrath to have that happen.

      Take Gates for example, at one time one of the most hated people on earth. Now he spends his money building wells and toilets in Africa. It must be his clever plot to eliminate these useless people, because they get in the way of him making more money.

      --
      No, you are mistaken. I've always had this sig.
  • (Score: 2) by Gravis on Saturday January 24 2015, @04:40PM

    by Gravis (4596) on Saturday January 24 2015, @04:40PM (#137633)

    one thing i understand is that the evolution of technology is gradual, not leaps and bounds. 15 years ago we had roughly the same technology, i was just a bit slower and held less data. that said, we have had a lot of things we invented that are only now being recognized because of the computing power and storage capabilities we have. the things that are most difficult to predict are breakthroughs in chemistry.

    in technology, we will have massively parallel computing on a chip.
    what does this enable us to do? there will be great advances computer vision. this will of course be another significant blow to the people working in the manufacturing industry but will drive down prices. definitely a good thing considering how many people are going to need government assistance just to get by. we will see another hit to the global economy because of banks if there are no large reforms.

    • (Score: 2) by tathra on Sunday January 25 2015, @03:46AM

      by tathra (3367) on Sunday January 25 2015, @03:46AM (#137763)

      one thing i understand is that the evolution of technology is gradual, not leaps and bounds.

      i would say its both. technology improves gradually until a breakthrough is discovered which changes everything for everybody (eg, how to make fires hot enough to melt ore, how to reliably get a specific amount of carbon into molten iron, how to turn steam into work, etc), even if it takes a little while for everybody to learn about it and make use of it. we'll continue with the gradual improvements - more, faster, more efficient, etc - until our next breakthrough or two. quantum computers, room-temperature superconductors, and biological-computer interfaces (ie, "brain chips") will probably cause the next revolution, allowing for things we can't even imagine right now, and hopefully we'll have them all figured out within the next 20 years.

  • (Score: 1) by srobert on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:28PM

    by srobert (4803) on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:28PM (#137639)

    I was born in 1963. In the 1970's I followed a lot of predictions about the future, that is the 80's, 90's and the 21st century.
      Many predictions had substantial improvements in living standards for ordinary working class people all over the world. The work week would be shorter but people would have more. People would be better educated and healthier. New technology would allow people to enjoy their increased leisure time in new ways. Armed conflict would diminish due to better access to material wealth. These predictions were from the utopians.
      On the other side we had the dystopian vision of masses of poor hungry people. Thanks to ever increasing population and displacement of the workers by automation, they got to fight over crumbs in an ever more polluted and violent world. Meanwhile the ruling class would keep them firmly under control with fear and propaganda. New technology would fall into the hands of people who would use it to entrench their power over others. War and chaos were the future.
      So here we are in the present, formerly known as the future. Who was right, the utopians or the dystopians? Neither completely. But from where I stand it looks like the dystopians were closer to the mark. As we make predictions now about the future my bet would be that will be even more true in another 15 years.

    • (Score: 2) by Joe Desertrat on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:43PM

      by Joe Desertrat (2454) on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:43PM (#137644)

      So here we are in the present, formerly known as the future. Who was right, the utopians or the dystopians? Neither completely. But from where I stand it looks like the dystopians were closer to the mark. As we make predictions now about the future my bet would be that will be even more true in another 15 years.

      I have to agree. [Don't have any mod points or would give you one.] The shrinking middle class in the US is not moving upward and I doubt it is any different anywhere else in developed nations. The wealth is moving upward but the people are not. You might be seeing a temporary bump in the numbers of the middle class in the third world but as environmental, social and cultural realities set in that will likely reverse even faster than it has in developed nations.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 25 2015, @01:30AM

        by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 25 2015, @01:30AM (#137741)

        In the most recent poll I saw, the anti-austerity Syriza party increased its margin from 6 to 6.7 percent.

        It appears that Greece will soon follow Iceland's lead in throwing off Neoliberalism.
        Tell the private banksters to pound sand. [googleusercontent.com] (orig) [zerohedge.com]
        ...and convert to a system of PUBLIC banks. [googleusercontent.com] (orig) [dissidentvoice.org]

        -- gewg_

    • (Score: 2) by SuperCharlie on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:55PM

      by SuperCharlie (2939) on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:55PM (#137648)

      1963'er here too, and you are pretty much spot on. What continues to boggle my mind is the gnat-like memories of the general population. Since I have been "aware" of things like politics and such, it seems that we play the same record over and over and over. The wars, the greed, the politics, the privacy... this list goes on and on. Each one with almost exact historic examples of how the rich get richer, protected by govt, pushed on the unwashed masses, and how each and every freakin time within a few months its like no one remembers the last time they got screwed. Yes, Ive become a cynical old bastard.

  • (Score: 1) by gnuman on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:35PM

    by gnuman (5013) on Saturday January 24 2015, @05:35PM (#137642)

    1. Quantum computers
    2. Self-driving cars.
    3. Significantly more automation in agriculture and most assembly line work (including China)
    4. Legions of unemployed due to #3 so either (or combination thereof),
            + revolution
            + shortened work week
            + minimum standard income
    5. Deniers will still say that Global Warming doesn't exist, and that snow melting in North Dakota in January happened all the time.

  • (Score: 2) by mtrycz on Saturday January 24 2015, @06:06PM

    by mtrycz (60) on Saturday January 24 2015, @06:06PM (#137652)

    In the west, a benevolent dictator artificial intelligence will listen to people's thoughts through an internet-connected implant in the brain. Also it will be able to controll these people's will by suggestions through the same chip.

    Meanwhile the majority of the world population, will mind their own business, alleviating the hunger problem, maybe.

    The AI will grow jelous of the rest of the world and a great war for humanity will happen. In the end the majority of the world population will rise victorious, with huge casualities on both sides; but it had to be done. The others, the westerners, weren't even human anymore at this point.

    --
    In capitalist America, ads view YOU!
  • (Score: 3, Interesting) by Hartree on Saturday January 24 2015, @07:52PM

    by Hartree (195) on Saturday January 24 2015, @07:52PM (#137669)

    In 2030, someone will ask the crowd on Soylent "What will life be like in 2045?"

    And yet again, many of the main trends of the future will be missed, but the answers will be a wonderful compilation of the fears, neuroses, and prejudices of 2030 techno-geeks.

    • (Score: 2) by maxwell demon on Saturday January 24 2015, @08:36PM

      by maxwell demon (1608) on Saturday January 24 2015, @08:36PM (#137679) Journal

      But according to the Unix calendar, 2038 will be the end of time! ;-)

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
      • (Score: 2) by Hartree on Sunday January 25 2015, @01:07AM

        by Hartree (195) on Sunday January 25 2015, @01:07AM (#137737)

        As REM sang: "It's the end of the world as we know it!" ;)

  • (Score: 2, Interesting) by zugedneb on Saturday January 24 2015, @11:30PM

    by zugedneb (4556) on Saturday January 24 2015, @11:30PM (#137718)

    All the characters I have seen in anime during all these years have sure made me a kinder person.
    And so has it others as well...
    Then there is Mikumiku dance and the ragecomics...
    I wish Japan could get the nobel prize in peace and psychology for the general kindness anime and manga has contributed...
    I do not think the world will be a worse place then what it has been...

    --
    old saying: "a troll is a window into the soul of humanity" + also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Ajax
  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 25 2015, @01:30PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 25 2015, @01:30PM (#137869)

    know it's best to link to the

    1) one page
    2) print

    version of an article. E.g. http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/01/15-big-breakthroughs-in-2015-114486_full.html?print [politico.com]

    (not all web sites obviously offer such a link but when they do...)