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posted by Blackmoore on Thursday October 30 2014, @10:45PM   Printer-friendly
from the the-sky-is-still-falling dept.

A major cyber attack will happen between now and 2025 and it will be large enough to cause “significant loss of life or property losses/damage/theft at the levels of tens of billions of dollars,” according to more than 60 percent of technology experts interviewed by the Pew Internet and American Life Project.

But other experts interviewed for the project “Digital Life in 2015,” ( http://www.pewinternet.org/2014/10/29/cyber-attacks-likely-to-increase/ ) released Wednesday, said the current preoccupation with cyber conflict is product of software merchants looking to hype public anxiety against an eternally unconquerable threat.

It’s the old phantom of the “cyber Pearl Harbor,” a concept commonly credited to former Defense Secretary Leon Panetta but that is actually as old as the world wide web. It dates back to security expert Winn Schwartau’s testimony to Congress in 1991 ( http://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=pst.000018472172;view=1up;seq=14 ), when he warned of an “electronic Pearl Harbor” and said it was “waiting to occur.” More than two decades later, we’re still waiting. The Pew report offers, if nothing else, an opportunity to look at how the cyber landscape has changed and how it will continue to evolve between now and 2025.

http://www.defenseone.com/threats/2014/10/cyber-attack-will-cause-significant-loss-life-2025-experts-predict/97688/

 
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  • (Score: 2) by Hairyfeet on Friday October 31 2014, @09:55AM

    by Hairyfeet (75) <bassbeast1968NO@SPAMgmail.com> on Friday October 31 2014, @09:55AM (#111823) Journal

    Well considering we've had Heartbleed and the BASHing one right after the other? Frankly all the pieces are there, all its gonna take is some cybercrook stumbling across the Linux equivalent of Code Red and have no doubt it WILL happen, as too many devs bought into the "many eyes" bullshit without properly vetting their code or the code they were snarfing for their projects and too many corps used Linux backends and stuck them in devices with ZERO chance of getting updated! I mean do you have ANY idea how many routers and firewalls and other networking gear is running on 5+ year old Linux CLI backends? I have no doubt it WILL happen sooner or later and if the ones monitoring the BASHing attempts are right what we are seeing now is just testing the waters, more likely we'll have a major attack during the holidays where it'll have maximum impact and grab the most money.

      What we have with Heartbleed and Shellshock reminds me of a quote a marine commenting on the disasters that were the first sea battles in the Guadalcanal campaign "When you allow yourself to become overconfident, when you start thinking the enemy just isn't that good? That is when you get your ass kicked". What we have is the combination of security by obscurity and VERY vigilant and talented server admins giving too many Linux devs and corporate interests too much faith in the code, too much confidence which has let 'em become complacent and even lazy. And THAT boys and girls is when you get your ass kicked,just look at turn of the century MSFT.

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