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posted by cmn32480 on Saturday November 14 2015, @04:22PM   Printer-friendly
from the coin-flip dept.

The Bern Report reports

Dr. Rick Hardy and Dr. John Hemingway have been leading Mock Presidential Elections [at Western Illinois University] since 1975. During that time, students who have participated in these mock elections have chosen the winning party with 100% accuracy and have an astonishing record in selecting presidential winners.

On the Democratic side for the Primaries Sanders won[1] by close to a 2 to 1 margin over challenger Hillary Clinton.

[...] After nominating Sanders, the student Democrats put him up against Jeb Bush, who received the Republican nomination, with Bernie winning the electoral college by nearly a 4 to 1 margin and a decisive win for the popular vote.

This simulation always takes place the year before the presidential election year, and three months before the actual Iowa caucuses. The genesis of this mock presidential election began at the University of Iowa in 1975 with two political science doctoral students, John Hemingway and Rick Hardy. In that year, students selected Jimmy Carter over Gerald Ford--long before anyone really knew of Jimmy Carter.

In the years that followed, Rick Hardy expanded the format and engaged thousands of students at the University of Missouri-Columbia where students registered a perfect record of selecting the subsequent winning presidential party. In 2007 and 2011, Hardy and Hemingway teamed up again to conduct a massive campus-wide simulation at Western Illinois University. In 2007, Western students selected Barack Obama as president at a time when no one thought he could win! And, in 2011, students narrowly re-elected President Obama.

[1] Content is behind scripts.


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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday November 15 2015, @12:12AM

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday November 15 2015, @12:12AM (#263511)

    inevitable

    It was inevitable that Obama would be crushed in 2008.
    Oh, wait...

    respectable news sources

    Those get zero respect from me.
    Giving credence to Lamestream Media is so 1988.

    Hillary is leading Sanders

    Well, she did -start- with a wide lead.

    by an insurmountably large margin

    See "inevitable", above.
    Hillary's lead has been eroding and she continues to lose points to Bernie.
    Bernie is ahead in Iowa and New Hampshire (where the first 2 primary events will be).
    Bernie's appearances are getting crowds of 20,000 and more.
    The biggest problem of the Sanders campaign has been having to turn away people because the biggest available venues are too small to hold everybody who wants in.
    Hillary's crowds are sparse by comparison.

    Your acceptance of what legacy media has to say shows that you are out of touch with reality.
    You and Debbie Wasserman Schultz have an agenda (to get Hillary elected--and screw anyone else).

    the discredited economic policies of the several decades that followed the 2nd World War

    Those would be the policies that gave us the concept of "The Middle Class" and decades of prosperity.
    They are only "discredited" in the eyes of Plantation Capitalists and, once again, Lamestream Media.

    an extreme leftist position

    This is where you would link to Bernie's call to nationalize Verizon, et al.
    Bernie is NOT anti-Capitalist and is NOT anti-war.
    The fact is that Bernie is Right-Center--not that far from other politicians.

    The only place where he is "radical" is in his calling for fair wages so that workers have money to spend into the economy and get The Multiplier Effect going again.
    ...and to quit dismantling the stuff like civil liberties and safe workplaces which worked for those decades when the country was strong.

    Bernie Sanders has no chance

    ...like Obama in 2007, as mentioned in the summary.

    -- gewg_