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posted by martyb on Friday September 16 2016, @09:46AM   Printer-friendly
from the go-figure! dept.

Claims that the "the science isn't settled" with regard to climate change are symptomatic of a large body of ignorance about how science works.

So what is the scientific method, and why do so many people, sometimes including those trained in science, get it so wrong?

The first thing to understand is that there is no one method in science, no one way of doing things. This is intimately connected with how we reason in general.

[...] Those who demand the science be "settled" before we take action are seeking deductive certainty where we are working inductively. And there are other sources of confusion.

One is that simple statements about cause and effect are rare since nature is complex. For example, a theory might predict that X will cause Y, but that Y will be mitigated by the presence of Z and not occur at all if Q is above a critical level. To reduce this to the simple statement "X causes Y" is naive.

Another is that even though some broad ideas may be settled, the details remain a source of lively debate. For example, that evolution has occurred is certainly settled by any rational account. But some details of how natural selection operates are still being fleshed out.


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  • (Score: 2, Insightful) by Anonymous Coward on Friday September 16 2016, @09:23PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Friday September 16 2016, @09:23PM (#402949)

    What is the religious method, and why do so many theologians, clergy, and lay people get it wrong?
    What is the philosophic method, and why do so many philosophers, pundits, and newspeople get it wrong?
    What is the engineering method, and why do so many engineers, mechanics, and tinkerers get it wrong?
    What is the medical method, and why do so many doctors, nurses, and patients get it wrong?
    What is the musical method, and why do so many classicists, pop stars, and Kayne West get it wrong?
    What is the computational method, and why do so many developers, users, and Microsoft get it wrong?

    Thank you. I'll be here, two shows a day, until the servers die.

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