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posted by n1 on Monday November 21 2016, @10:45AM   Printer-friendly
from the post-labor-economics dept.

Pundits will debate the wellsprings of Donald Trump's election triumph for years. Right now, cultural explanations are in the lead. Multiple researchers and journalists are stressing the role of "racial resentments" and xenophobia as the deepest sources of Trump's appeal. And such explanations cannot be dismissed.

But the decades-long decline of U.S. manufacturing employment and the highly automated nature of the sector's recent revitalization should also be high on the list of explanations. The former is an unmistakable source of the working class rage that helped get Trump elected. The latter is the main reason Trump won't be able to "make America great again" by bringing back production jobs.

The Rust Belt epicenter of the Trump electoral map says a lot about its emotional origins, but so do the facts of employment and productivity in U.S. manufacturing industries. The collapse of labor-intensive commodity manufacturing in recent decades and the expansion in this decade of super-productive advanced manufacturing have left millions of working-class white people feeling abandoned, irrelevant, and angry.

To see this, one has only to look at the stark trend lines of the production data, which show a massive 30-year decline of employment beginning in 1980. That trend led to the liquidation of more than a third of U.S. manufacturing positions. Employment in the sector plunged from 18.9 million jobs to 12.2 million.

[...] In fact, the total inflation-adjusted output of the U.S. manufacturing sector is now higher than it has ever been. That's true even as the sector's employment is growing only slowly, and remains near the lowest it's been. These diverging lines—which reflect the sector's improved productivity—highlight a huge problem with Trump's promises to help workers by reshoring millions of manufacturing jobs. America is already producing a lot. And in any event, the return of more manufacturing won't bring back many jobs because the labor is increasingly being done by robots.


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  • (Score: 2) by butthurt on Monday November 21 2016, @02:58PM

    by butthurt (6141) on Monday November 21 2016, @02:58PM (#430538) Journal

    [...] if they're gonna be punished for wearing white sheets, well ... may as well come to the party and have fun around the bonfire.

    You allude to the Ku Klux Klan. David Duke, a former leader of it, wrote:

    This is one of the most exciting nights of my life -> make no mistake about it, our people have played a HUGE role in electing Trump!

    -- https://twitter.com/DrDavidDuke/status/796249464826687488 [twitter.com]

    Mr. Trump was asked about having Mr. Duke's support:

    Bloomberg’s John Heilemann: “How do you feel about the David Duke quasi-endorsement?”

    Trump: “I don’t need his endorsement; I certainly wouldn’t want his endorsement. I don’t need anyone’s endorsement.”

    Heilemann: “Would you repudiate David Duke?”

    Trump: “Sure, I would do that, if it made you feel better. I don’t know anything about him. Somebody told me yesterday, whoever he is, he did endorse me. Actually I don’t think it was an endorsement. He said I was absolutely the best of all of the candidates.”

    -- https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2016/03/01/donald-trump-and-david-duke-for-the-record/ [washingtonpost.com]

    A KKK chapter in North Carolina will be marching to celebrate Trump's election:

    Within 48 hours of the Trump win, the Loyal White Knights of Pelham posted plans on the group’s website for a celebratory parade on Dec. 3, though no time or location has been listed. “Victory Klavalkade Klan Parade Dec. 3rd 2016 North Carolina,” is all the site mentions about the event. “Trump = Trump’s Race United My People.”

    --
    http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/state-politics/article116062103.html [newsobserver.com]

    "racial resentments"

    xenophobia

    Are those not euphemistic enough? The FBI has used the term "domestic terrorism" in relation to certain KKK activities:

    Domestic terrorism also remained a key concern, and in April 1997, Dallas agents arrested four members of the True Knights of the Ku Klux Klan for conspiracy to commit robbery and to blow up a natural gas processing plant.

    -- https://web.archive.org/web/20110502062533/http://www.fbi.gov/dallas/history [archive.org]

    Starting Score:    1  point
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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday November 21 2016, @03:26PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday November 21 2016, @03:26PM (#430560)

    Imagine that! People would rather be associated with the KKK than deal with the left anymore.

    That's how bad you've become.

  • (Score: 2) by VLM on Monday November 21 2016, @09:21PM

    by VLM (445) on Monday November 21 2016, @09:21PM (#430841)

    Um... OK. So am I supposed to vote Democrat now? If so, I'm not really feeling it.. Call me a racist a couple more times, maybe it kicks in suddenly? Nope still feeling like voting for the God Emperor again.

    Making things even weirder, everyone in the alt right knows that whatever the ancient history of the Klan, absolutely all of them in 2016 are FBI or other agency officers. There's like two good ole boys and they're surrounded at every meeting by like 50 officers all wearing so many wires and microphones that magnetic compasses must spin around in circles for a mile and they're all trying to entrap the two good ole boys to get those prosecution headlines.

    Then again the FBI isn't on the D party "most loved list" right now so I'm surprised its not insinuated that they're at the klan meeting for mere after work socialization. Joe, is that you from the office? Oh yeah Bill, thats me, nice sheet by the say, Susan sure can iron a sheet, but I'm just here for the socializing, you know, not professionally, BTW you recording? Oh, well then. Yeah that must be a very awkward conversation right there.

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday November 22 2016, @01:01AM

    by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday November 22 2016, @01:01AM (#430959)

    http://21stcenturywire.com/2016/11/21/hillary-clintons-kkk-smear-against-trump-was-democrat-strategy/ [21stcenturywire.com]

    Low IQ liars project:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lynching_in_the_United_States [wikipedia.org]

    The Democrats were the ones lynching people, while the Republican fought for equality under the law. After the 1960s Civil Rights movement, Democrats switched to vote farming. Removing productive careers from minorities (prevailing wage, minimum wage, excessive regulation) and disempowering minorities with envy politics and welfare. They switched from being slaveholders to cultural enslavement.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=weqQR-NnnIs [youtube.com]

    • (Score: 2) by butthurt on Tuesday November 22 2016, @02:07AM

      by butthurt (6141) on Tuesday November 22 2016, @02:07AM (#430983) Journal

      Low IQ liars project

      Which part of what I wrote was a lie?

      Democrats switched [...]

      The Republican Party changed:

      In American politics, southern strategy refers to methods the Republican Party used to gain political support in the South by appealing to the racism against African Americans harbored by many southern white voters.

      [...] Republican politicians such as presidential candidate Richard Nixon and Senator Barry Goldwater developed strategies that successfully contributed to the political realignment of many white, conservative voters in the South to the Republican Party that had traditionally supported the Democratic Party.

      -- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_strategy [wikipedia.org]

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday November 22 2016, @02:45PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday November 22 2016, @02:45PM (#431232)

        I was addressing the left in general. They hide their racism and bigotry in plain sight by systematizing & justifying it with envy politics, victimhood hierarchy & the "progressive" stack. When you get them in a room alone and talk to them about these minorities that they claim to champion, they tend to let some racist and bigoted comments slip. They get the dopamine hit from pretending to be moral & judging others, but they are a party of hypocrites. I do not need to make a distinction between the party and the people who lead the party.

        People are fallible. Richard Nixon and Barry Goldwater were corrupt power hungry politicians who deviated from the republican platform because of their own greed.

        Which is more defensible? Mob rule, or the rule of law & everyone is equal under the law. Mob rule is democracy. The rule of law & everyone equal under the law is what the republican party stands for. You can claim that it "changed", but really, it just had corruption for periods of time. The republican ideals are defensible and we can reform the party to implement real equality & justice, but mob rule will always be problematic.