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posted by Fnord666 on Thursday December 15 2016, @01:08PM   Printer-friendly
from the better-than-growing-up-to-be-a-sink dept.

Scientists at Kings College London performed a longitudinal study to test the 'Pareto principle' and found that adults who were greater users of public services were most likely to have had a low score on the intelligence and impulsivity test administered at age three.

"About 20 per cent of population is using the lion's share of a wide array of public services," said Prof Terrie Moffitt, of King's College and Duke University in North Carolina. "The same people use most of the NHS, the criminal courts, insurance claims, for disabling injury, pharmaceutical prescriptions and special welfare benefits.

"If we stopped there it might be fair to think these are lazy bums who are freeloading off the taxpayer and exploiting the public purse.

"But we also went further back into their childhood and found that 20 per cent begin their lives with mild problems with brain function and brain health when they were very small children.

"Looking at health examinations really changed the whole picture. It gives you a feeling of compassion for these people as opposed to a feeling of blame.

"Being able to predict which children will struggle is an opportunity to intervene in their lives very early to attempt to change their trajectories, for everyone's benefit and could bring big returns on investment for government."

Full Paper: Childhood forecasting of a small segment of the population with large economic burden DOI: 10.1038/s41562-016-0005


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  • (Score: 3, Interesting) by Thexalon on Thursday December 15 2016, @05:51PM

    by Thexalon (636) on Thursday December 15 2016, @05:51PM (#441695)

    It is the interaction between people that yields society; that interaction is completely and solely a matter of resources

    Only if you don't have any friends, family members you care about, or romantic attachments. And if you aren't a fan of art, literature, music, movies, video games, etc. And if you don't interact with anybody when acquiring stuff in a way that discusses anything other than the stuff you're acquiring. Alternately, if you're a selfish psychopath, you have those interactions, but all you are ever trying to accomplish is get more stuff for yourself, which is missing out on a lot of the joys in life.

    I mean, going down to the pub for a pint is in part about the pint, but it's also about the other people down at the pub for a pint, some of whom you might actually enjoy talking to.

    --
    The only thing that stops a bad guy with a compiler is a good guy with a compiler.
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  • (Score: 2, Informative) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday December 15 2016, @06:26PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday December 15 2016, @06:26PM (#441712)

    I don't understand your response. Those things are a still a matter of resource appropriation; you choose to allocate resources (time, money, thoughts, etc.) to this "friend" or that "loved one", or this Museum of Art, etc.

    Everything is an economic choice; you choose to allocate your time/money/whatever to this open source project, or to that wiki, or this cause, or that endeavor. There is nothing but resource allocation, and the only method for allocating resources that is both humane and effective is CAPITALISM, whereby each individual chooses of his own freewill (within the bounds of the environment in which he finds himself) to allocate resources within his control to this or that. Please. PLEASE! Start comprehending the nature of this universe of finite resources. It is what it fucking is; you cannot fantasize your way around it.

    • (Score: 3, Informative) by sjames on Thursday December 15 2016, @09:59PM

      by sjames (2882) on Thursday December 15 2016, @09:59PM (#441808) Journal

      Perhaps so, but if I accept your premise I'll have to conclude that the entire field of economics is filled with third rate hacks. They entirely fail to recognize the value of leisure and the importance of producing as much of it as possible. By the time they get to the level of setting social and economic policy, they can't even realistically aspire to third rate. They seem to be unable to even consider the value of families needing only one income or even the value of families.

      BTW, there is nothing humane about capitalism. It does it's best to completely ignore the humanity of it's actions. It cares not if you produce because you enjoy it or because you live in abject terror that you and your family will starve, so long as you produce. It cares not if the benefits of your production go mostly to you or to a robber baron who has bent you over a barrel, so long as you produce.

      Once you can no longer produce, it loses all interest in you unless you somehow inspire others to produce more for your benefit.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday December 15 2016, @11:50PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Thursday December 15 2016, @11:50PM (#441855)

        That's the very nature of this Universe. Accept it.

        • (Score: 2) by sjames on Friday December 16 2016, @05:10AM

          by sjames (2882) on Friday December 16 2016, @05:10AM (#441953) Journal

          I'd really LOVE to see you attempt to prove Capitalism from first principles!

          • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Friday December 16 2016, @08:40AM

            by Anonymous Coward on Friday December 16 2016, @08:40AM (#441997)

            There you go:
            https://mises.org/library/human-action-0 [mises.org]

            It's better than anything the third rate hacks who call themselves economists.

            • (Score: 2) by sjames on Sunday December 18 2016, @06:15AM

              by sjames (2882) on Sunday December 18 2016, @06:15AM (#442614) Journal

              You call that first principles? If it is indeed because of the nature of the universe, a derivation from first principles would need to take into account the speed of light in a vacuum and all of the other constants. It should be derivable from quantum theory or Relativity.

      • (Score: 2) by jmorris on Friday December 16 2016, @03:53AM

        by jmorris (4844) on Friday December 16 2016, @03:53AM (#441928)

        They entirely fail to recognize the value of leisure

        Thou art an ignorant fool. Marx and Mises accept that leisure has an economic value. Mises simply says everything is a decision between two choices, you value the leisure activity more than the reward you could have received from working that time so you hit the beach; or the rent is coming due and you really need the cash this month so you volunteer for some OT and the beach has to wait because you value the warm/dry abode more than the day on the beach. Marx isn't quite so clear of course but doesn't dispute the value of leisure activity and that it does enter into economic calculation.

        So since both ends of the spectrum of economic thought disagree entirely with your notion, you may now double down. It is the usual tactic for your ilk.

        BTW, there is nothing humane about capitalism

        More ignorance trying to bluff its way to being accepted as superior moral sentiment. Try actually reading some Mises, Hayek, Friedman, etc. sometime. I'll give you a hint. Mises' magnum opus is named Human Action for a reason. It isn't really about capitalism or economics, it is about how humans act, interact and make decisions

        • (Score: 2) by sjames on Friday December 16 2016, @05:05AM

          by sjames (2882) on Friday December 16 2016, @05:05AM (#441950) Journal

          So you'r citing Marx as a capitalist? I find that a HUUUUUUGE stretch. And yes, since the context was capitalism, I do think it's reasonable to think I am talking about capitalists. I've noticed that Marx (or rather, his writing since he's dead) isn't frequently consulted when the U.S. considers economic policy.

          As for Mises, yes, he acknowledges that individuals may choose leisure over labor, but doesn't recognize the value to society in that decision or in making sure the decision is available. Then note how U.S. economic and social policy is designed around making sure there is always a labor surplus such that economic forces cannot dictate offering more leisure and better pay..

          I find it odd that you do not know the difference between human and humane. Look it up.

          As for Friedman, I guess you agree with him that we should implement something resembling the universal basic income?

          The tone of your reply suggests that I've struck a nerve.

          • (Score: 2) by jmorris on Friday December 16 2016, @06:04AM

            by jmorris (4844) on Friday December 16 2016, @06:04AM (#441971)

            So you'r citing Marx as a capitalist?

            Of course not. Reading is fundamental. I said, "both ends of the spectrum of economic thought disagree entirely" as in Capitalism on one end and Marx on the other. It should also be noted that while Marx is not a Capitalist he did write his major work analyzing the topic; largely incompetently of course. The spectrum between Marx and Mises covers pretty much all economic thoughts impacting policy discussion in $current_year. And I was hammering home the fact they all disagree with you. Every serious economist of the last few hundred years and me in one group and there is you, hopelessly outgrouped into a lonely wasteland. Sad! :)

            Mises ... doesn't recognize the value to society...

            Because he rejects the whole notion of 'value to society' in favor of seeing individuals making an endless series of A-B decisions. If two choices have differing value to the individual who made it, that is sufficient for his purposes. If you picked some activity that isn't working for money it is assumed you believe that you benefited from it, that you assigned it a higher value than the economic gain you could have acquired by working, higher than the good or service you could have traded that labor for. To take up the question whether you are "wrong" (what Marxists typically call "false consciousness") would typically require a privileged "God's eye view" and "God" to make the judgment... or the passage of time and your own reconsideration of your choice. You need to return to Marx's economic theories if you want social value considered, or at least Keynes. Humans do things to satisfy their wants, that is the purpose of human existence. Economic activity alone is meaningless, it can only be considered as a means to the end of satisfying human wants. As it is for most living things, the prime human drive is mating and reproduction for example. Nobody ever (we can hope not at least) made a profit by marrying and having children, we engage in economic activity to permit that non-economic activity to occur and other human desires.

            As for Friedman

            He was a smart guy, but obviously fallible. And he was not a Austrian economist, he was trying to create a middle ground between Marx and Mises that can't in fact exist and bought into basically the same fallacious argument about most labor becoming unsalable that I take on elsewhere in this discussion.

            • (Score: 2) by sjames on Friday December 16 2016, @08:46AM

              by sjames (2882) on Friday December 16 2016, @08:46AM (#441998) Journal

              Marx is not a Capitalist he did write his major work analyzing the topic; largely incompetently of course.

              Am I to understand that you cited an economist that you consider incompetent to refute my claim that the field is packed with third rate hacks? Curious!

              You appear to be suggesting that Marx, the incompetent economist agrees with you. Time for a re-think perhaps?

              Friedman was a smart guy who agreed with me but nobody agrees with me? Did he fall through the crack in the universe while you were typing? Is he Schrodinger's cat in disguise?

              Now, looking at Hayek, he said

              There is no reason why in a free society government should not assure to all, protection against severe deprivation in the form of an assured minimum income, or a floor below which nobody need descend. To enter into such an insurance against extreme misfortune may well be in the interest of all; or it may be felt to be a clear moral duty of all to assist, within the organised community, those who cannot help themselves. So long as such a uniform minimum income is provided outside the market to all those who, for any reason, are unable to earn in the market an adequate maintenance, this need not lead to a restriction of freedom, or conflict with the Rule of Law.[104]

              Sounds like he was not exactly in disagreement with me after all. (BTW, he also supported universal healthcare)

              We seem to be running out of Scotsmen. Speaking of which, don't bother to bring Smith up unless you're ready to dissolve a hell of a lot of unwisely granted corporate charters.

              Of course, the list of economists you rattled off are all dead. Unless seances work a hell of a lot better than I think, none of them are actually in the field anymore.

              Perhaps it's time for you to get some sleep.

              • (Score: 2) by jmorris on Friday December 16 2016, @04:33PM

                by jmorris (4844) on Friday December 16 2016, @04:33PM (#442085)

                We seem to be running out of Scotsmen.

                No, you are still unable to read. That text you quote doesn't clearly support "basic income". He is speaking of those suffering "extreme misfortune". And he correctly notes the much less prone to abuse method of dealing with the problem with "or it may be felt to be a clear moral duty of all to assist, within the organised community" where government doesn't establish a Right to other people's stuff but instead relys upon The People being of the Religious and Moral sort envisioned by the American Founders who are capable of dealing with the problem of "extreme misfortune" in the private sector. He understands why it can't scale to everyone simply being paid for existing. He knows his Kipling [kiplingsociety.co.uk].

                In the Carboniferous Epoch we were promised abundance for all,
                By robbing selected Peter to pay for collective Paul;
                But, though we had plenty of money, there was nothing our money could buy,
                And the Gods of the Copybook Headings said: "If you don't work you die."

                And he is right that social insurance is a public good. Knowing that failure won't cause starvation and death does inspire more people to take risks, for example. Knowing an unfortunate accident won't leave you a beggar is a good thing. Knowing an upheaval in the markets that causes mass layoffs won't leave you and your children homeless bums is a good thing. What you can't do is simply pay people to not work, as we do now. The issue is having the government do these tasks quickly leads to a sense of entitlement vs accepting charity in hard times.

                The root problem with you rabbits is you see excess resources as freely available, thus any restriction is greedy people who are trying to deny you what should rightly be yours. But the world doesn't work that way. Freely hand out the resources generated by the productive and soon the entire world comes flooding in wanting in on the scam. This continues until the stupid nation that adopts this policy either become too poor to continue or imports enough people to no longer be the nation of fools who started the project. America and Europe seems intent on attempting to bring on both failure modes at the same time. Disaster!

                • (Score: 2) by sjames on Saturday December 17 2016, @02:57PM

                  by sjames (2882) on Saturday December 17 2016, @02:57PM (#442436) Journal

                  I see that like most fundamentalists, you read your holy texts VERY selectively.

    • (Score: 2) by Thexalon on Thursday December 15 2016, @10:25PM

      by Thexalon (636) on Thursday December 15 2016, @10:25PM (#441819)

      There is nothing but resource allocation, and the only method for allocating resources that is both humane and effective is CAPITALISM, whereby each individual chooses of his own freewill (within the bounds of the environment in which he finds himself) to allocate resources within his control to this or that.

      I take it your family members charged each other for their contributions to Thanksgiving dinner? And that you've never given something to somebody else without expecting something in return? Or given money to a charitable organization, putting your resources into somebody else's control?

      Also, there are alternatives to capitalism that have been shown to be both humane and effective. For example, primitive communism, still practiced in some isolated tribes: People all work for the good of the village as a whole, there's somebody at least nominally in charge but he could be easily overthrown if he abuses his power, and status is earned by how much you've contributed to the success of the group. Those societies do not, contrary to popular belief, live lives that are "nasty, brutish, and short" - your typical hunter-gatherer lives fairly comfortably, works about 20 hours a week, and if they make it through early childhood have a good chance of living into their 60's and 70's.

      --
      The only thing that stops a bad guy with a compiler is a good guy with a compiler.
      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday December 15 2016, @11:54PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Thursday December 15 2016, @11:54PM (#441857)

        You are describing Capitalism: Individuals choosing to allocate their capital in a particular way. Get it yet?

      • (Score: 3, Insightful) by jmorris on Friday December 16 2016, @04:06AM

        by jmorris (4844) on Friday December 16 2016, @04:06AM (#441933)

        For example, primitive communism, still practiced in some isolated tribes

        To the extent that works, it does not scale beyond a small tribe with high internal social trust, transparency and cohesion. And it does not create or innovate since there isn't any reward for it and in fact most such societies cast out any member who is eccentric enough to be an innovator, doubly so if they are wasting too much time tinkering instead of 'pulling their weight.' Nation Geographic never brings us the inspiring story of the lost tribe that had independently discovered Calculus, the internal combustion engine or antibiotics.

        Now show me a large (1 million plus) society that abandoned capitalism that isn't an undesirable place to live. While you look you will find the history of the 20th Century littered with the mass graves of the victims of the many attempts to create the sort of society you think you would prefer. But I note you aren't making a point about how proud you are to be posting from Cuba.

        • (Score: 2) by Thexalon on Friday December 16 2016, @12:26PM

          by Thexalon (636) on Friday December 16 2016, @12:26PM (#442017)

          But I note you aren't making a point about how proud you are to be posting from Cuba.

          Of course I'm not, because I'm not Cuban. On the other hand, unlike most Americans, I know some Cubans, and while they aren't getting rich they also have consistently had all the vitally important things in life - homes, health care, enough food to go around (not much more than that, but enough), safe drinking water, and education. Now you might say "What's so great about that?" until you realize that there are lots of countries in Latin America (e.g. Haiti) where the majority of the population doesn't have those things. Heck, there are Americans who don't have those things.

          --
          The only thing that stops a bad guy with a compiler is a good guy with a compiler.