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posted by on Wednesday April 05 2017, @09:11PM   Printer-friendly
from the vive-le-roi dept.

You may never buy another laptop.

Ten years ago, laptop sales overtook desktop PC sales to become the dominant hardware platform for computing. Now smartphones are about to do to laptops what laptops did to desktops.

[...] The first fatal trend is that young people are already choosing smartphones over laptops, even without docking and clamshell smartphones. ComScore reports that the use of laptops and desktops among younger people is on the decline. Some 20 percent of millennials use their smartphone as their only computing device, according to a recent report, and this percentage grows each year. Raw demographics alone favor the end of laptops.

The second fatal trend is that the industry is champing at the bit to move everything off Intel and onto ARM. (Intel and Intel-compatible chips have powered desktop and laptop platforms for decades; the smartphones and smartphone apps run on ARM chips.) Once laptops, especially laptops from Apple, run ARM chips, they'll run iOS and Android instead of OS X and Windows. And at that point, they'll essentially be identical to docking solutions, but more expensive.

The third and final fatal trend can be found in your wallet. Smartphones are becoming amazing. The Galaxy S8 is amazing. And this year's iPhone is expected to be mind-blowing as well. The new phones have cameras that rival DSLRs. They have performance that rivals desktop PCs. They run increasingly amazing apps, including professional-quality apps. Unlike laptops, smartphones are exciting.

And they're expensive.

Consumers are now ready to pay $700, $800 — even $1,000 and upwards for a phone. (Already a top-of-the-line iPhone 7 with AppleCare costs $1,100. The iPhone 8 is expected to be more expensive.)

Consumers will pay this amount because smartphones are worth it. This is especially true if they don't have to shell out $1,500 or more for a laptop as well.

Laptops are too boring and expensive. The industry is churning out new designs that enable smartphones as laptop replacements. Young people are favoring smartphones. The industry wants to use smartphone OSes. And consumers are spending more on smartphones, which will make us spend less on laptops.

-- submitted from IRC


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  • (Score: 3, Informative) by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday April 05 2017, @10:43PM (2 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday April 05 2017, @10:43PM (#489391)

    Slow news day Soylent? You choose to post this crap over the story of the walking colostomy bag being removed from the NSC?

    I stopped reading at this gem: "The new phones have cameras that rival DSLRs. They have performance that rivals desktop PCs."

    Cameras that rival DSLRs? Written by someone who has never seen, let alone used, a DSLR. I'll believe this bullshit when I see a sports photographer on the sidelines with a $1000 iJunk/KoreaKrap phone instead of risking $150,000 worth of DSLR.

    Performance that rivals desktop PCs? Written by someone who has never used a desktop PC that cost as much as a new iJunk/KoreaKrap phone. The only desktop PC a smartphone can outperform is last-year's Black Friday special. Show me a smartphone with a quad core processor that benchmarks at ~100GFLOPs, 32GB of RAM, and 512GB of SSD storage with a benchmarked transfer speed of ~500MB/s and ~80,000 4K IOPs and I'll believe you have a smartphone with performance better than a PC. I can build a desktop that meets those specs for the cost of a new iJunk phone.

    I'd call this fake news, but it's not. It's clickbait bullshit, something even worse than fake news.

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  • (Score: 3, Informative) by requerdanos on Wednesday April 05 2017, @11:42PM

    by requerdanos (5997) Subscriber Badge on Wednesday April 05 2017, @11:42PM (#489419) Journal

    I stopped reading at this gem: "The new phones have cameras that rival DSLRs. They have performance that rivals desktop PCs."
    Cameras that rival DSLRs? Written by someone who has never seen, let alone used...

    I balked a little at that statement specially, too. I mean, none of my phones or tablets in any way is a rival for the spot taken by any of my workstations. My netbook doesn't even quality. Heck my workstation has multiple 40" monitors.

    I've read about newer phones having really good image processing software, that can do things like, for example, blur the background selectively to make it look like the depth of field has changed. But having good processing does not a camera make; that's why photo editing software is so famous. A cell phone camera only rivals a DSLR in the sense that they technically compete for camera sales. Sort of like saying that a Geo Metro rivals a Ferrari. Sure, they're both sold as cars....

  • (Score: 2) by meustrus on Thursday April 06 2017, @03:18PM

    by meustrus (4961) on Thursday April 06 2017, @03:18PM (#489687)

    The best camera is the one you have with you.

    And your quad core processor isn't worth shit if it's spending 90% of its capacity pushing crapware at you. We tend to think that real computers are great because we reimage them and try to keep the manufacturer (and increasingly, the OS manufacturer themselves) from pushing always-on crapware and spyware one us. Regular users, however, use the system as purchased. The experience is not faster than a smartphone. It is actually much slower.

    --
    If there isn't at least one reference or primary source, it's not +1 Informative. Maybe the underused +1 Interesting?