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posted by martyb on Saturday April 08 2017, @02:09PM   Printer-friendly
from the heel-the-feat-or-else-feel-the-heat dept.

Given the rising number of extreme weather events, . In an investigation recently published in Nature Climate Change, scientists looked into how quickly benefits of climate mitigation strategies—meaning dropping CO2 emissions—reduce the risk of heat waves.

The researchers answered these questions using climate-model simulations. These models can be run with different levels of emissions, some assuming a very aggressive mitigation scenario with lowered emissions, others assuming emissions that are unchecked, producing significant increases in emissions over time. By comparing model runs with different levels of emissions, the researchers were able to develop an understanding of the time required for effects of mitigation plans to be noticeable.

In particular, the team focused on extreme events that occurred on average once every 10 years when emissions continue to rise unchecked. They then introduced different levels of emissions mitigation until the probability of such an event is half as likely, occurring only once every 20 years. Using this method, the scientists determined that for many regions, it takes less than 20 years of emissions reductions to drop the probability of extreme hot weather by more than 50 percent after mitigation has begun.

Climate change is god's will, isn't it?


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  • (Score: 1) by khallow on Sunday April 09 2017, @02:07AM (2 children)

    by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Sunday April 09 2017, @02:07AM (#491042) Journal

    You know how the ozone layer hole is gonna kill us all next year? No? That's because atmospheric scientists (using models) showed us there was a great big problem, almost everybody did something about it, and it stopped getting worse.

    That's another good example. We don't actually know there was a problem in the first place. The ozone hole may come and go naturally for hundreds of thousands of years, but we just happened to notice it now since we were looking.

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 09 2017, @04:06PM (1 child)

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 09 2017, @04:06PM (#491186)

    You should leave this site, you are not fit to discuss here.