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posted by cmn32480 on Tuesday June 27 2017, @07:12AM   Printer-friendly
from the searching-for-keys-near-the-streetlight dept.

Ethan Siegel at Starts With A Bang brings to attention the results of the Outer Solar System Origins Survey (OSSOS). The OSSOS project, which started in 2013 (before the Planet Nine hypothesis was proposed) to survey the minor planets of the outer Solar System, has discovered and determined the orbits of well over eight hundred trans-Neptunian objects (TNOs) in its operation. They have recently published a paper that basically puts the kibosh on the Planet Nine hypothesis. Planet Nine was initially proposed to explain an apparent anomalous clustering of orbits of TNOs consistent with them being perturbed by a large planet, but the OSSOS results have found no such anomalous clustering, and are rather seeing a distribution consistent with uniform randomness.

From Forbes' Javascript-required article:

It was perhaps the most exciting idea to come out of science last year: that an undiscovered, giant world exists in our Solar System, far beyond the orbit of Neptune. This wouldn't be some tiny, frozen world like Pluto or Eris, smaller even than Earth's Moon, but a monstrous super-Earth, perhaps ten times as massive as our own world and almost as large as Uranus or Neptune in radius. As the months passed since it was first proposed by Konstantin Batygin and Mike Brown, they compiled additional evidence for it, and things were looking rosy. But a new study by Shankman et al. has turned the evidence on its head, disfavoring the planet's existence and uncovering a bias in the data itself.

[...] what they found was entirely consistent with no Planet Nine, and that the overall case for Planet Nine's existence was substantially weakened by their study. In particular, the clustering in the orientation of each orbit in space (defined by multiple variables, ω and Ω) that earlier studies, like Batygin & Brown and Trujillo & Sheppard, previously noticed simply doesn't exist in this new, unbiased study.

We find no evidence in the OSSOS sample for the ω clustering that was the impetus for the current additional planet hypothesis.

The data from this new study is quite clear that the previously observed correlation, which was the impetus for hypothesizing Planet Nine, doesn't persist into the new sample.

OSSOS also has a Frequently Asked Questions page about these findings. They don't entirely rule out the existence of a substantial (perhaps Mars-sized) planet in the outer reaches of the Solar System, but their data makes it highly improbable that a super-Earth on the scale of Uranus or Neptune might be out there.

Additional reading:
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2017/06/new-haul-distant-worlds-casts-doubt-planet-nine


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  • (Score: 2, Funny) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday June 27 2017, @08:46AM (6 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday June 27 2017, @08:46AM (#531815)

    Pluto is a planet and always will be.

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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday June 27 2017, @11:22AM (5 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday June 27 2017, @11:22AM (#531854)
    The only problem is that if you want Pluto to remain a planet, the word 'planet' essentially becomes meaningless. You'll start needing to call several hundred other bodies in the asteroid and Kuiper belts 'planets' too, because Pluto has no essential distinction from these bodies that would set it apart.
    • (Score: 2) by takyon on Tuesday June 27 2017, @11:52AM

      by takyon (881) <takyonNO@SPAMsoylentnews.org> on Tuesday June 27 2017, @11:52AM (#531863) Journal

      It's OK if kids can't name all of the planets due to there being a thousand of them instead of 8.

      But Pluto, Sedna, Eris, etc. are clearly different from Mercury through Neptune in several ways.

      We can always revisit the definition after finding any Mars or Neptune sized entities lurking in the outskirts of the solar system. The LSST [wikipedia.org] goes live in 2021. "Planet Nine" is expected to be found before that if it exists. We are about to find hundreds more dwarf planets, some of which will be larger than Pluto (like Triton).

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    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday June 27 2017, @11:52AM

      by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday June 27 2017, @11:52AM (#531864)

      because Pluto has no essential distinction from these bodies that would set it apart.

      Except none of those other planet-wannabes have a Disney character named after them. /s

    • (Score: 3, Insightful) by unauthorized on Tuesday June 27 2017, @12:40PM

      by unauthorized (3776) on Tuesday June 27 2017, @12:40PM (#531882)

      Planet is a colloquialism, Astronomers can go ahead and invent your own unique technical terms just like everyone else. I certainly wouldn't go around telling normies that their OS's shell is an app", or that their phone and gaming console are computers.

      Domain specific terms should not be hamfisted into common language.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday June 27 2017, @11:44PM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday June 27 2017, @11:44PM (#532194)

      the word 'planet' essentially becomes meaningless.

      It *is* meaningless, there is no clear-cut boundary between big asteroid and "planet"; it's all continuous. If we want a definitive definition, then pick a cutoff diameter. Place Pluto at the lower end, and wallah! you have a relatively clear-cut definition. If we later find hundreds of "planets" bigger than Pluto in our Solar System, so be it.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday June 29 2017, @06:25AM

        by Anonymous Coward on Thursday June 29 2017, @06:25AM (#532842)
        The current definition of 'planet' includes four things: one, the body must be orbiting a star or stellar remnant, two, the body must be massive enough to have achieved hydrostatic equilibrium and thus have roughly spherical shape, but three, not be so massive as to be able to initiate nuclear fusion, and four, it should have dynamical dominance over its orbit, i.e. it must not share its orbit with other objects of significant size except for moons or other objects under its gravitational influence. This is the most useful definition of 'planet' to astronomers. It's not simply a matter of diameter. Pluto fails the last count, because it is only 0.07 times the mass of all the other objects that are in its orbit. In contrast Earth is 1.8 million times the mass of all the other stuff in its orbit, and as such it has achieved dynamical dominance. The same is true of the other eight planets. Besides we have already found one body in the Kuiper Belt substantially more massive than Pluto: Eris, and there are many other objects like Haumea and Makemake that are in the same ballpark.