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posted by martyb on Tuesday August 29 2017, @07:48AM   Printer-friendly
from the water-water-everywhere dept.

Houston and Hurricane Harvey - Overview and On-Line Resources

Houston, Texas (the 4th most populous city in the USA) is located in Harris County (the 3rd most populous in the country) and has been under the onslaught of Hurricane Harvey which was later downgraded to a tropical storm. Current rain totals over the course of the storm have exceeded 40 inches in some locations — additional rain of up to 10 more inches is predicted. Flooding is rampant and the damage to property is immense. So far, 5 people have been reported dead as a result of the storm. Gathered here are a number of on-line resources followed by a story questioning why mandatory evacuations were not called for earlier. The FCC (Federal Communications Commission) reports the failure of a large number of cell towers, cable and phone lines.

Online Resources:

Why Wasn't an Official Evacuation Order Issued?

As I type this, a historic weather event is crushing south Texas with enormous amounts of rain and massive flooding leaving thousands of people in need of rescue.

So why wasn't an official evacuation order issued? Last Friday Governor Greg Abbott (R) urged people to evacuate, even if it was not mandatory. Shortly after the governor's press conference, Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner (D) sent a tweet advising people not rush to evacuate, saying no evacuation orders have been issued. Mayor Sylvester also addressed what he called "unfounded rumors," releasing a statement that said, "...Rumors are nothing new, but the widespread use of social media has needlessly frightened many people today."

Harris County's emergency management office also tried to debunk via Twitter, what it called "false emails & FB posts" on August 24, suggesting people ignore the messages. The post it shared predicted 50 inches of rain (which experts are now also predicting) and 100,000 homes destroyed (it's not clear how many homes are currently flooded in Houston). All of which prompted people to wonder:

You said this was fake news but yet everything this "false" message said is happening. Two days ago we could've evacuated. https://t.co/ORtTyEodQt

— Pickle Heidy (@cheidyy_) August 27, 2017

To be fair, Mayor Sylvester had a good reason for not issuing an evacuation. In 2005 more than 100 people died during the evacuation of Houston for Hurricane Rita.

Source: Heavy.com

Why Evacuating Major Cities Before a Hurricane can be Deadly

[Ed Addition] The Houston Chronicle has an excellent piece, Why evacuating major cities before a hurricane can be deadly:

When Hurricane Rita barreled toward Texas in 2005, for example, an exodus of about 3 million people contributed to at least 73 deaths — though some have estimated as many as 107 — before the storm.

"Traffic jams stretched across hundreds of miles over two days, and many people ran out of gas," reporters Jim Malewitz and Brandon Formby wrote in The Texas Tribune. "Dozens died from accidents and heat-related illnesses, all before Rita even made landfall."

Had Harris County issued an evacuation order even several days in advance, a similar backup may have ensued — and it could have happened on roads that quickly got flooded with several feet of fast-moving water.

See the story for amazing pictures comparing dry and flooded highways.


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  • (Score: 3, Interesting) by bzipitidoo on Tuesday August 29 2017, @11:43AM (32 children)

    by bzipitidoo (4388) on Tuesday August 29 2017, @11:43AM (#560764) Journal

    For years I've read complaints that too many people have moved (flooded?) into coastal cities, and this is why. Houston is the 4th largest city in the US, and it shouldn't be so large. It's just not possible to evacuate everyone in a few days. Not least they've run out of gas from so many trying to fill up so they can leave, despite this being one of the major oil refining centers in the world. I'm sure officials reversed the direction for the incoming lanes of major highways, but that has proven to be a rather feeble, desperation measure.

    Summers there are miserable, typically a very humid, sticky 90 to 100F. But people pay practically no attention to such matters, happily oblivious to whether that cookie cutter home they're thinking of buying was built too close to a creek, dazzled by the supposed romance, coolness, and status of a home on the beach, and too eager to wield the social status enhancing technology of the mighty A/C. It's kind of a game in Texas to show off how powerful your central A/C is by going right past 80F to bring that indoor temperature all the way down to 70F. You ought to hear the whining from people who feel that 80F is too hot. It harmonizes well with complaints that electricity bills are too high. There's some justification for it, as obese people (currently 1 out of 3 Americans) do indeed have a more difficult time with a bit of summer heat, and Texas has this "Power to Choose" electricity market that providers have gamed to the max so that it's extremely difficult to pick a good electricity plan. A flat x number of cents per KwH plan would be far too simple and easy, you see.

    However, the time to act on this problem was years ago, and the means is far more strategic than silly stunts like being ready to provide accommodation for thousands camp out in sports stadiums. (Heck of a job, Brownie!) One action to be taken was to discourage population growth near coasts that are subject to hurricanes. In fact, Houston grew into the major metropolis because compared to nearby Galveston which is right on one of the barrier islands, it is better sheltered. They tried to make Galveston permanently habitable by spending massively to build huge seawalls and generally raise the elevation of the whole dang island. It had some success, but was so costly and proved less than perfectly effective that it's not been done to any other barrier islands. Another problem unique to Houston is the total absence of zoning laws. Not that our city planning in the US is anything to brag about, but Houston deliberately refused to live under such "government oppression", and no planning has proven worse than bad planning. It was a kind of "throwing out the baby with the bathwater" move.

    Not to mention there's a teensy little problem with sea level rise, you know, that whole Global Warming thing. I have to salute any denier who moves to the coast, so long as they don't complain about losing their homes when that day comes. Meanwhile, New Orleans? Miami? Heck, all of Florida? Remembering Katrina? Learning anything from Houston? What's the take home lesson? How about, take your home elsewhere? MOVE AWAY??

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  • (Score: 2, Interesting) by khallow on Tuesday August 29 2017, @12:30PM (24 children)

    by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday August 29 2017, @12:30PM (#560779) Journal
    The answer is revising flood insurance so that premiums exceed payouts - say by privatizing it. Then there is a built in discouragement to building on the coast. Past that, I simply don't care if people build on the coast or not. It doesn't matter to me if your home gets wiped out five times in the last ten years. If you're willing to personally spend the money to rebuild that home each time, I'm willing to let you continue.

    Not to mention there's a teensy little problem with sea level rise, you know, that whole Global Warming thing.

    Let us recall that sea level rise is a teensy little problem with little sea level rise recorded since the start of the Industrial Age (something like eight inches) and that it is never expected to rise fast enough that someone's home will be flooded by sea level rise itself. Instead, it'll be a gradual process whereby real estate will slowly drop in value as it becomes more and more exposed to flooding risk from storms. We already have considerable movement of people and real estate, so that would be easy to keep up with.

    • (Score: 2) by Phoenix666 on Tuesday August 29 2017, @01:02PM (3 children)

      by Phoenix666 (552) on Tuesday August 29 2017, @01:02PM (#560795) Journal

      Climate deniers ought to love rising sea levels instead of pooh-poohing it all the time. All things being equal, it will eventually eliminate the problem of Washington DC by itself. Their rallying cry, instead of "Drain the Swamp," ought to be "Flood the Swamp!"

      Also, in the long ago before time there was a Superman movie in which Lex Luthor plotted to make billions by buying up dirt cheap real estate east of the San Andreas fault, then triggering the Big One to drop California into the sea and transform his new acquisitions into beach front property. It seems the same scenario is possible here, thanks to climate change: Buy property in places above the high water line and wait for the melting poles to drown New York, Seattle, LA, Miami, Boston, and all the places full of the entitled wealthy.

      For people on the Red Team it will amuse them that most of those places are bastions for the Blue Team.

      --
      Washington DC delenda est.
      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday August 29 2017, @03:54PM (1 child)

        by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday August 29 2017, @03:54PM (#560862)

        khallow moved to Colorado.

        • (Score: 1) by khallow on Tuesday August 29 2017, @11:03PM

          by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday August 29 2017, @11:03PM (#561210) Journal
          I'm in Yellowstone at 500 meters higher and fully prepared for a "Waterworld scenario". Of course, so is anyone else living above sea level, but whatever.
      • (Score: 1) by khallow on Tuesday August 29 2017, @11:06PM

        by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday August 29 2017, @11:06PM (#561211) Journal

        Climate deniers ought to love rising sea levels instead of pooh-poohing it all the time.

        Which climate deniers? The ones who believe in catastrophic climate change or the ones that don't?

        Also, in the long ago before time there was a Superman movie in which Lex Luthor plotted to make billions by buying up dirt cheap real estate east of the San Andreas fault, then triggering the Big One to drop California into the sea and transform his new acquisitions into beach front property. It seems the same scenario is possible here, thanks to climate change: Buy property in places above the high water line and wait for the melting poles to drown New York, Seattle, LA, Miami, Boston, and all the places full of the entitled wealthy.

        Proof by movie. Very convincing. Well, if you really are right here, then you have the winning strategy for making big bucks. Show us how it's done.

    • (Score: 3, Insightful) by c0lo on Tuesday August 29 2017, @01:02PM (18 children)

      by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday August 29 2017, @01:02PM (#560796) Journal

      Let us recall that sea level rise is a teensy little problem with little sea level rise recorded since the start of the Industrial Age (something like eight inches) and that it is never expected to rise fast enough that someone's home will be flooded by sea level rise itself.

      (yeah, hair spiting is an exercise of precision and patience, both invaluable virtues)

      More energy in the ocean, more frequent and more extreme weather events - that's the effects you'll have to deal on short term.
      Do you think the New Yorkers cared much that sea level rise was by itself or was helped by wind at high tide [wikipedia.org]? Flooded their were in their home - including data centres [datacenterdynamics.com] thought as safe based on historical records - with practically unchanged average sea levels.

      --
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday August 29 2017, @02:29PM (1 child)

        by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday August 29 2017, @02:29PM (#560825)

        What I really wish for people who say we needn't be concerned about sea level rise measured in fractions of inches per decade, is that the rest of us can collectively turn off our normal, instinctual sense of compassion for another human being in trouble when these people are in trouble due to storm surges, etc. We could all learn to be just a little sociopathic from time to time.

        I have zero sympathy for the troubles of people who choose to live places where major floods are a 10 year event or so. Not sure what my cut-off is, haven't run any numbers to look at what the tangible consequences of choosing different cut-off values for my compassion are (sort of giving the compassion instinct another chance at a meta level), but I think I would have compassion for people who are victims of a 100 year event. Never a 10 year event. Maybe a lot of people just need to accept that they simply don't have the means to live somewhere they have to rebuild every 10 years.

        The part where I have trouble switching my compassion off is when it's been, say, 25 years since the last 10 year event, then the next 10 year event hits only 5 years later. Maths, people! Fucking learn them! “10 year event” isn't a fucking bus schedule, even if it were, everybody fucking knows better than to trust a bus schedule! Maths are one of the things that separates you from a dumb animal! (Or maybe many humans really are just dumb animals, the only exceptional thing about our genus is that occasionally we give birth to people who aren't simply dumb animals with no capability to do anything but run on pure instinct 24/7, never taking time for quiet contemplation and meditation, never learning rigorous intellectual discipline, and living by it!) I really wish I had one of those simple on-off switches that sociopaths have.

        Or maybe I'm just a sociopath to begin with. When you take enough abuse, sometimes physical, sometimes gaslighting, etc, well, at least I learned, after going through... things..., that this species is probably a failure if my metric for success is sustainable living in two different star systems.

        At least mother nature is more lenient than I am. Success to mother nature is breeding. It's a very low bar, but it's a practical bar. From the smallest microbes to even the self-styled h. “sapiens,” they can all successfully execute their animal functions. Might be none of them are functionally literate or numerate or logical, but at least they're capable of fucking and reproduction.

        Mother nature and her evolution has no goal. I only experience suffering because my ego gives me goals that the rest of h. “sapiens” have no interest in. Maybe we should call them h. propagandis or h. mensalveois (don't know Latin well, appreciate any corrections). They've evolved language, but they do not know what it is for other than creating a hive mind!

      • (Score: 2) by realDonaldTrump on Tuesday August 29 2017, @06:56PM

        by realDonaldTrump (6614) on Tuesday August 29 2017, @06:56PM (#561016) Homepage Journal

        Global warming is a total, and very expensive, hoax! And President Obama -- Barack Hussein Obama -- was fooled by it. To put it nicely, he was fooled. So he signed Executive Order 13690, Establishing a Federal Flood Risk Management Standard and a Process for Further Soliciting and Considering Stakeholder Input, I call it BULLSHIT! I called bullshit. Very damaging to our economy. Because it took 17 years to get a highway approved! Can you believe it? Crazy! We used to have the greatest infrastructure anywhere in the world. And today we're like a third-world country. The Obama Administration’s attempt to rebuild the country’s infrastructure was an expensive waste that saw little money actually go to infrastructure. But don't worry, I REPEALED AND REPLACED that bullshit! By signing an Executive Order of my own. Executive Order 13807. It has a bigger number, which always, always trumps the littler number. Like I trumped Lyin' Ted and Crooked Hillary. Tremendous! And now we can get on with the building! Crumbling infrastructure will be replaced with new roads, bridges, tunnels, airports, and railways gleaming across our very, very beautiful land. It’s going to be quick, it’s going to be a very streamlined process. No more wasting money studying FAKE flood risks from FAKE global warming. No more studying each project to death. And by the way, if it doesn’t meet environmental safeguards, we’re not going to approve it. Very simple. We’re not going to approve it. #MAGA 🇺🇸

      • (Score: 1) by khallow on Tuesday August 29 2017, @11:17PM (14 children)

        by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday August 29 2017, @11:17PM (#561217) Journal

        More energy in the ocean, more frequent and more extreme weather events - that's the effects you'll have to deal on short term.

        So what? No one has shown those things are serious enough that we have to care. If you look at the majority of extreme weather research, it's based on projecting from aggressive climate models and aggressive extreme weather projections based on those models. There's little connection to the real world. And where there is, we frequently find that the researchers are ignoring some glaring, confounding data (for example [soylentnews.org], attributing frequency of deadly India heat waves to a small increase in global warming while ignoring the substantial increase in the population of India over the same period of time as the study which just so happens to be just as large as the increase in the frequency of said heat waves)

        • (Score: 2) by c0lo on Wednesday August 30 2017, @04:54AM (13 children)

          by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Wednesday August 30 2017, @04:54AM (#561314) Journal

          So what? No one has shown those things are serious enough that we have to care.

          Whether you care or not is a personal choice. Reality will care not about this choice.

          --
          https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
          • (Score: 1) by khallow on Wednesday August 30 2017, @10:40AM

            by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Wednesday August 30 2017, @10:40AM (#561419) Journal

            Reality will care not about this choice.

            I disagree that it is a "choice" and we'll see what really happens.

          • (Score: 1) by khallow on Wednesday August 30 2017, @11:07AM (11 children)

            by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Wednesday August 30 2017, @11:07AM (#561427) Journal
            You also mentioned how much New Yorkers "care". Now, suddenly "caring" is a personal choice about which reality doesn't care? Same goes for those New Yorkers, right? Or does their caring somehow matter more than everyone else's caring?
            • (Score: 2) by c0lo on Wednesday August 30 2017, @12:10PM (10 children)

              by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Wednesday August 30 2017, @12:10PM (#561444) Journal

              No one has shown those things are serious enough that we have to care.

              Whether you care or not is a personal choice. Don't include me in your "don't have to care"
              More clear now?

              You also mentioned how much New Yorkers "care". Now, suddenly "caring" is a personal choice about which reality doesn't care?

              Did you include New Yorkers in your "we don't have to care"? It wasn't evident.

              (. [xkcd.com])

              --
              https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
              • (Score: 1) by khallow on Thursday August 31 2017, @02:25AM (9 children)

                by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Thursday August 31 2017, @02:25AM (#561925) Journal
                I included both New Yorkers and you in my category of "don't have to care". Just because you and those New Yorkers choose to care about something doesn't mean you have to. The obvious question here is how different is your lives because global warming exists over the hypothetical situation where it doesn't? Even if you have a house right on the beach, it's not that relevant a difference whether the sea level is eight inches higher or not. Slightly higher energy storms? Slightly more acidic water? Slightly different climate?

                That's why I don't care that you care. I care instead for evidence of serious problems, a thing which has long been lacking in climate research.
                • (Score: 2) by c0lo on Thursday August 31 2017, @08:54AM (8 children)

                  by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Thursday August 31 2017, @08:54AM (#562024) Journal

                  those New Yorkers choose to care about something doesn't mean you have to

                  Right! Let the New Yorkers (and Texans lately) be flooded without caring. Because someone on SN decreed there are only "Slightly higher energy storms", citing for that "slightly" attribute an increase in the population in India.

                  (see the non-linear response of water vapor pressure with the temperature [wikipedia.org] - a 0.5C increase means a higher increase in the water in the atmosphere if starting at 20.5 than when starting at 20. And don't forget that more water in atmosphere means more energy trapped [wikipedia.org] in places where the evaporation is stronger).

                  --
                  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
                  • (Score: 1) by khallow on Thursday August 31 2017, @10:38PM (6 children)

                    by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Thursday August 31 2017, @10:38PM (#562324) Journal

                    Let the New Yorkers (and Texans lately) be flooded without caring.

                    I thought we established that was the natural of real processes? That they tend to happen no matter the level or targeting of caring.

                    (see the non-linear response of water vapor pressure with the temperature [wikipedia.org] - a 0.5C increase means a higher increase in the water in the atmosphere if starting at 20.5 than when starting at 20.

                    That would be true even if the "response" were sublinear, but increasing. This is particularly relevant since over small changes in temperature, water vapor pressure is near linear.

                    And don't forget that more water in atmosphere means more energy trapped [wikipedia.org] in places where the evaporation is stronger).

                    And more sunlight reflected. Not really seeing the point of your hyperventilating here. Weather is more than just some positive feedback mechanism for global warming. In fact, it's likely a strong negative feedback mechanism due to the enhanced transmission of heat to space that happens with storms.

                    • (Score: 2) by c0lo on Friday September 01 2017, @03:34AM (5 children)

                      by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Friday September 01 2017, @03:34AM (#562400) Journal

                      I thought we established that was the natural of real processes?

                      Falling of a cliff happens naturally. You won't fall of a cliff if you care not to step outside that cliff.
                      (i.e. we didn't establish anything)

                      ...water vapor pressure is near linear.

                      And more sunlight reflected.

                      Only when they condense in a cloud. Until then, they trap more energy (harder cool to condensation level).
                      Remind yourself of non-linear systems and how such a system may respond with a hurricane due to a butterfly wing flap (quite old one but still used as a metaphor here).
                      Start with something simple, like competitive Lotka-Volttera [wikipedia.org] with multiple species [wikipedia.org] competing on the solar flux as a "food source".

                      --
                      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
                      • (Score: 1) by khallow on Friday September 01 2017, @06:02AM (4 children)

                        by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Friday September 01 2017, @06:02AM (#562420) Journal

                        (i.e. we didn't establish anything)

                        I suspect you are mistaken here, but it's not worth pursuing.

                        Only when they condense in a cloud. Until then, they trap more energy (harder cool to condensation level).

                        But they condense into clouds quite often. There's not much point to considering only a part when the whole is very different.

                        The real catch here is that enhanced cooling from weather is done IMHO more through storms than through increased reflection of solar radiation. I just don't think it takes much of an increase in storms to keep up with the increased heat absorption from global warming.

                        Remind yourself of non-linear systems and how such a system may respond with a hurricane due to a butterfly wing flap (quite old one but still used as a metaphor here).

                        That's not relevant to the situation. Vapor pressure is just a curve of pressure versus temperature. A small change in one parameter still results in a small change in the other. It's not a dynamical system with chaos over a large section of the parameter space.

                        • (Score: 2) by c0lo on Friday September 01 2017, @06:19AM (3 children)

                          by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Friday September 01 2017, @06:19AM (#562423) Journal

                          Only when they condense in a cloud. Until then, they trap more energy (harder cool to condensation level).

                          But they condense into clouds quite often.

                          That's an assumption, it needs verifying.

                          Hint: [wikipedia.org] - that 0.5C increase in global temperature gets 20% (on average) more atmospheric moisture above Boulder, Colorado. I couldn't call it negligible and I wouldn't bet the location is somehow special.

                          Remind yourself of non-linear systems and how such a system may respond with a hurricane due to a butterfly wing flap (quite old one but still used as a metaphor here).

                          That's not relevant to the situation.

                          So you keep saying. Doesn't make it necessarily true.

                          It's not a dynamical system with chaos over a large section of the parameter space.

                          (what exactly do you say is not a dynamical system?)
                          Earth's atmosphere is. And small variation in one of the parameters may have non-trivial consequences on the accumulated values of the others over the time of days [wikipedia.org].
                          With ocean waters, it will happen even over the time of months.

                          --
                          https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
                          • (Score: 1) by khallow on Friday September 01 2017, @06:58AM (2 children)

                            by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Friday September 01 2017, @06:58AM (#562428) Journal

                            that 0.5C increase in global temperature gets 20% (on average) more atmospheric moisture above Boulder, Colorado

                            Unless, of course, that doesn't happen. I'll note your linked chart doesn't support your assertion. Note that Boulder is 1.7 km in elevation and this graph covers air at 20-22 km in altitude and they don't list what the temperature is up there. You are assuming the temperature is higher, but that's not supported by the evidence. The blurb accompanying the graph indicates that the researchers thought that 30% of the increase was due to increased methane in the atmosphere. So even if it were as you presented, you just lost 30% of your increase from increased methane production.

                            (what exactly do you say is not a dynamical system?)

                            I stated in my post what that was:

                            Vapor pressure is just a curve of pressure versus temperature.

                            As I noted at the time, it's quite irrelevant that the atmosphere is chaotic when the relevant nonlinear curve is not even a dynamical system. And chaos is not a blank check to violate the laws of physics. There's no black winged butterfly that can flap and create permanent, global hurricanes. Perturbation can make a system greatly different, but it's not going to change the overall distribution of weather.

                            • (Score: 2) by c0lo on Friday September 01 2017, @07:31AM (1 child)

                              by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Friday September 01 2017, @07:31AM (#562433) Journal

                              that 0.5C increase in global temperature gets 20% (on average) more atmospheric moisture above Boulder, Colorado

                              Unless, of course, that doesn't happen. I'll note your linked chart doesn't support your assertion.

                              Unless, of course, that's not my assertion. (I did say "More energy captured by atmosphere, more excessive events")

                              You asserted "0.5C increase is temp produces does not increase the vapors in atmosphere significantly, because the clouds condense quite often and reflect the light".
                              I provided that as an example to "0.5C increase in the average temperature seem to have non-negligible effects in other parameters, you need to support your assertion".

                              You are assuming the temperature is higher

                              Nope, I'm assuming there's more energy trapped into the atmosphere the release of which creates more extreme weather events.

                              As I noted at the time, it's quite irrelevant that the atmosphere is chaotic when the relevant nonlinear curve is not even a dynamical system.

                              And? Did I say "the nonlinearity of that curve is the only thing that needs to be considered"? I remember that, immediately after, I said something on the line of "add to that non-linearity of the curve the non-linear trait of the atmosphere's behavior".

                              ---

                              (I will admit I started to grow bored by this discussion)

                              --
                              https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
                              • (Score: 1) by khallow on Friday September 01 2017, @08:39AM

                                by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Friday September 01 2017, @08:39AM (#562441) Journal

                                Unless, of course, that's not my assertion. (I did say "More energy captured by atmosphere, more excessive events")

                                Well, you did type what I quoted ("that 0.5C increase in global temperature gets 20% (on average) more atmospheric moisture above Boulder, Colorado"). I just copied and pasted it word for word.

                                You asserted "0.5C increase is temp produces does not increase the vapors in atmosphere significantly, because the clouds condense quite often and reflect the light".

                                Why the use of quotes? Let's correct what you wrote here. First, I agree that a 0.5 C increase in temperature doesn't increase significantly the moisture content of atmosphere. You glued to that a response to a different assertion you made.

                                And don't forget that more water in atmosphere means more energy trapped in places where the evaporation is stronger).

                                And more sunlight reflected.

                                In the next couple of posts, we did the cloud thing where I clarified my observation that clouds are common (which incidentally, you can confirm by going outside on a regular and looking for clouds in the sky. most places have bunches of them). At no point did I ever claim that clouds reduced moisture content of the atmosphere by reflecting light or other mechanism.

                                So you badly paraphrased two different statements of mine, combining them in a way that was nonsense and then by putting quotes around that, gave it the appearance of something I actually said. I'm sure it was an accident, but you might want to think about why that wasn't a good use of your time. Let us note that this is the second time just in this thread where you've badly paraphrased something I wrote:

                                Because someone on SN decreed there are only "Slightly higher energy storms", citing for that "slightly" attribute an increase in the population in India

                                I sense a trend.

                                Nope, I'm assuming there's more energy trapped into the atmosphere the release of which creates more extreme weather events.

                                That's even more disconnected from your assertion:

                                that 0.5C increase in global temperature gets 20% (on average) more atmospheric moisture above Boulder, Colorado

                                At this point, you have no clue whether the changes observed and recorded in the chart you linked have a thing to do with global warming (even if we choose to grant your unfounded assertion that moisture content actually did go up by 20%). You've invoked a non-falsifiable "release of energy" to explain an assertion.

                                Sorry, your writing to this point has been so confused and random that I've had to strain to understand what you are trying to say. For example, when you first used the term, "non-linear" it was to refer to the curve of water vapor pressure versus temperature. Then you slid into a semantics shift to "non-linear systems". Why was I to suppose that you were now speaking of weather at that point? It's particularly annoying since the observation turns out irrelevant. Just as a small perturbation can in theory create a hurricane, so can it stop one. And the process is going to wash out with no real change in extreme weather frequency or severity. Changes in water content in atmosphere probably have relevant climate effect, but not because they are perturbing a non-linear, chaotic system.

                                The problem here is that global warming just isn't that threatening once you look at the current evidence in aggregate. And should it ever become more than mildly threatening, you won't need to talk about 20% higher moisture content over Boulder and other random bits of information in order to persuade others of the danger. You need to understand the evidence before you can convince others. And I think that once you have done so, you'll find better uses for your time than continuing to hyperventilate about the supposed near future dangers of global warming.

                  • (Score: 1) by khallow on Friday September 01 2017, @01:02AM

                    by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Friday September 01 2017, @01:02AM (#562366) Journal

                    Because someone on SN decreed there are only "Slightly higher energy storms", citing for that "slightly" attribute an increase in the population in India.

                    I missed this comment. Sorry, that "someone" is not me. That is not my argument.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday August 29 2017, @02:52PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday August 29 2017, @02:52PM (#560830)

      I live in a coastal flood zone that is less than 25 feet above sea level. I have flood insurance and it costs me about $400 a year because my house is raised 7 feet. Of course the kicker is my beautifully large (1500 sq ft) basement cannot be finished into livable space because it can flood. Still it hosts a nice garage, plenty of storage, and soon a home gym. Not to say a flood would not cause my some damage that would have to be remedied in a small area as you walk in, but far from new total loss that the house would suffer if it was not raised.

  • (Score: 2) by tonyPick on Tuesday August 29 2017, @12:31PM

    by tonyPick (1237) on Tuesday August 29 2017, @12:31PM (#560780) Homepage Journal

    Not a cure all.

    https://theconversation.com/americans-who-live-far-from-coasts-should-also-be-worried-about-flooding-81012 [theconversation.com]

    [...] people who have experienced flooding on the coast migrate inland, but may not realize that they are still vulnerable if they relocate to an inland flood zone.

    That’s what we have seen firsthand here in Louisiana. Thousands of people fled New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina in August 2005 and settled 80 miles inland in Baton Rouge. A decade later, many of these same people lost everything again when a 500-year flood event struck Baton Rouge in August 2016.

  • (Score: 2) by DeathMonkey on Tuesday August 29 2017, @05:38PM

    by DeathMonkey (1380) on Tuesday August 29 2017, @05:38PM (#560962) Journal

    Yep, Houston sucks. But, it beats unemployment.

    That's a bit a trickier problem to tackle.

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday August 29 2017, @06:22PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday August 29 2017, @06:22PM (#560990)

    Did you know that the current flooding is caused by rain?
    I have it on the best of terms that rainfall isn't limited to coastal areas. Source: me, being inland, outside, getting rained on.

  • (Score: 2) by Spamalope on Tuesday August 29 2017, @09:54PM (3 children)

    by Spamalope (5233) on Tuesday August 29 2017, @09:54PM (#561178) Homepage

    Politically connected developers create extensive paved areas upstream of your home without corresponding flood control except on paper. Yep, that's the resident's fault alright.

    Realtors block expansion of Clear Creek's drainage because it would be unsightly and hurt property value (or, it appears to happen - might have been a planned in advance 'savings'). The development based on the new drainage was already built naturally. Smaller version of the corruption that's lead to NOLA still not having fully working levee pumps. (Nagan diverted all the levee cash, but NOLA flooding was the presidents fault in the news. WTF? The president doesn't have anything to do with this stuff - good or bad - it's state and local)

    This whole area is flat as hell. There are massive retention ponds. A normal cat 4 hurricane causes mostly wind damage, not inland flooding.

    Why build and live here? Galveston bay + buffalo bayou make one of the best deep water ports in the world. The flat territory is perfect for heavy freight trains. The area is a oil and natural gas producing place. Add the intercoastal waterway and this spot is in the top 10 best shipping locals. The chemical industry here is enormous because the raw material and bulk shipping is here. Lots of satellite industries are here either as support, or because shipping is cheaper from here.

    Otherwise - it's a big nope. Miserably hot and humid. Though Clear Lake on the edge of the bay is one of the biggest pleasure ports in the world. (at least by # of private boats big enough to need a marina)

    • (Score: 2) by bob_super on Wednesday August 30 2017, @12:22AM (1 child)

      by bob_super (1357) on Wednesday August 30 2017, @12:22AM (#561239)

      > NOLA flooding was the presidents fault in the news. WTF? The president doesn't have anything to do with this stuff

      TWO DAYS before Katrina made landfall, I was watching the news in Chicago, and they said that if the eye hits at the wrong place (West) as a Cat 3 or 4, NOLA's gonna flood, especially the lower neighborhoods.

      The asshole in the White House and his useless FEMA director fucked up the sluggish Federal response to the hurricane, then claimed out loud that nobody predicted what would happen.
      Sure it's primarily local, but the Feds always help for major disasters (like the current one). They just dropped the ball, which is a shame in itself. But they dared claim out loud and repeatedly that we had collective hallucinations of meteorologists predicting what happened, which is ... Trumpish level or denial of reality.

      Do we have directors for NOAA and FEMA, yet?

      • (Score: 1) by khallow on Wednesday August 30 2017, @11:14AM

        by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Wednesday August 30 2017, @11:14AM (#561429) Journal

        The asshole in the White House and his useless FEMA director fucked up the sluggish Federal response to the hurricane, then claimed out loud that nobody predicted what would happen.

        They certainly couldn't have predicted the even more sluggish state and local response to Hurricane Katrina. And much of the sluggish Federal response was due to a poorly thought out years-long reorganization where no one was in charge at the Federal level at the time. Object lesson for that sort of thing, that if you're going to shuffle around emergency services, you need to have a plan as to what happens when those services are needed during the course of the transition.

    • (Score: 1) by khallow on Wednesday August 30 2017, @10:45AM

      by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Wednesday August 30 2017, @10:45AM (#561423) Journal

      A normal cat 4 hurricane causes mostly wind damage, not inland flooding.

      A normal cat 4 hurricane moving at 3 MPH routinely causes a ridiculous amount of inland flooding. And some degree of inland flooding is expected from any hurricane that goes inland.