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posted by martyb on Sunday September 24 2017, @11:02AM   Printer-friendly
from the Programming-Jobs dept.

Commentary from The Guardian

The rationale for this rapid curricular renovation is economic. Teaching kids how to code will help them land good jobs, the argument goes. In an era of flat and falling incomes, programming provides a new path to the middle class – a skill so widely demanded that anyone who acquires it can command a livable, even lucrative, wage.

This narrative pervades policymaking at every level, from school boards to the government. Yet it rests on a fundamentally flawed premise. Contrary to public perception, the economy doesn't actually need that many more programmers. As a result, teaching millions of kids to code won't make them all middle-class. Rather, it will proletarianize the profession by flooding the market and forcing wages down – and that's precisely the point.


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  • (Score: 1) by khallow on Monday September 25 2017, @06:55AM

    by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Monday September 25 2017, @06:55AM (#572570) Journal
    As noted by the other replier, pvanhoof, no the onus is not on me.

    This article offers a logical hypothesis that matches all the data and action we have.

    The "data and action" is ridiculously paltry. As I noted, not a single bit of evidence was provided aside from the observation that cheaper labor prices would theoretically benefit those who employ programmers. That's it.

    Now let me provide a few pieces of contrary evidence. The first one is why should we have the expectation that this will work? As kurenai.tsubasa noted [soylentnews.org], one doesn't use marketing in isolation to get more entrants. They just pay more. The paying more is already happening and thus, we see an increase in programmers. Second, employers already have easy ways to hire cheap, foreign programmers and the supply of those is growing quite fast. And to anticipate a rebuttal here, why are the programmers gulled by marketing in the US going to be better programmers than their Indian counterparts?

    Moving on, we have the investment horizon. Businesses are notorious for not thinking very far ahead in today's climate. So why are they going to put money into marketing programming jobs now just so they can have cheaper labor costs in twenty years? Not seeing it because it's past the next quarter.

    Since you asked, here's my theory on the matter. This is just standard corporate status signaling via charity themes aligned with the business's markets. It may help dull criticism of H1-B games in US and similar attempts across the developed world to import developing world programmers or outsource to developing world destinations (a reasonable concern giving widespread immigration and outsourcing concerns among the developed world public).