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Automation could wipe out 375-800 million jobs globally in the next 13 years, including 16-54 million in the U.S. But don't worry, there's a new job waiting for you:
The McKinsey Global Institute cautions that as many as 375 million workers will need to switch occupational categories by 2030 due to automation.
[...] "The model where people go to school for the first 20 years of life and work for the next 40 or 50 years is broken," Susan Lund, a partner for the McKinsey Global Institute and co-author of the report, told CNN Tech. "We're going to have to think about learning and training throughout the course of your career."
[...] "The dire predictions that robots are taking our jobs are overblown," Lund said. "Yes, work will be automated, [but] there will be enough jobs for everyone in most areas." The authors don't expect automation will displace jobs involving managing people, social interactions or applying expertise. Gardeners, plumbers, child and elder-care workers are among those facing less risk from automation.
Also at Bloomberg.
(Score: 2) by Grishnakh on Thursday November 30 2017, @10:46PM
The dishwasher saves you from having to manually scrub and rinse every individual dish. It doesn't save on moving the dishes between the eating table and the kitchen, or putting the clean ones back in the cupboard.
Eventually we'll have robots (humanoid ones) that can do those simple tasks, but it'll be a while probably. But as the other poster noted, Asimo is doing some interesting stuff.
Repair jobs like plumbing probably will take a lot longer because they require some intelligence, as well as every job being a little different.
However, there's only so many plumbers we need as a society. How many hours have you hired a plumber for in the past year? I haven't used one at all, even though my house is from 1940. Stuff just doesn't break that much, so you don't need that many plumbers to service a population. Same for many other trades jobs (e.g., auto mechanics are needed less and less as cars become more reliable and have longer service intervals).
I contend that at some point, there's going to be a lot more introverts than suitable jobs for them, while the extroverts will have an easier time with automation because they can happily do all the human-contact jobs that can't be automated (or where people prefer having a human, like with fine dining waiters), as well as the highly-social jobs like management. Of course, the introverts could just take the social jobs and deal with it, but what if they start having personality tests to discriminate against them, after they find that introverts make for unpleasant customer service people after a while?