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Automation could wipe out 375-800 million jobs globally in the next 13 years, including 16-54 million in the U.S. But don't worry, there's a new job waiting for you:
The McKinsey Global Institute cautions that as many as 375 million workers will need to switch occupational categories by 2030 due to automation.
[...] "The model where people go to school for the first 20 years of life and work for the next 40 or 50 years is broken," Susan Lund, a partner for the McKinsey Global Institute and co-author of the report, told CNN Tech. "We're going to have to think about learning and training throughout the course of your career."
[...] "The dire predictions that robots are taking our jobs are overblown," Lund said. "Yes, work will be automated, [but] there will be enough jobs for everyone in most areas." The authors don't expect automation will displace jobs involving managing people, social interactions or applying expertise. Gardeners, plumbers, child and elder-care workers are among those facing less risk from automation.
Also at Bloomberg.
(Score: 1) by tftp on Friday December 01 2017, @02:44AM
There will be no revolution. First, any number of starving people are not capable of attacking anything that is protected even with today's weapons, let alone Robocops and Terminators. Second, the starving people can be geographically isolated from objects of their anger. Third, it might be more convenient for a society that maintains millions of robots to just feed the unwanted masses (see basic income.)
But in any case only in Middle ages one baron could be richer than another because he had more peasants. Today head count means liabilities. Only smart heads are assets. Without some transition from the current economic model we will end up with a handful of rich men living in palaces on tropical islands and with a continent full of "everyone else," not customers and not makers, living on scraps that robots once a week drop from helicopters. The difficulty in this transition lies in the fact that the power belongs to industrial giants, and not to the government. Why would the owners of robot factories give up their positions? What can be offered to them? The throne of God-Emperor? Might be not enough, as they will be already at that level.
If anyone thinks that it's impossible to create such a ghetto - it's easy. Robots will build cities on a designated territory, where no natural resources exist, and offer them for free, along with the basic income. All jobless will fly there, propelled by a mighty kick of suddenly elevated rent. And then, one day, they will get an offer of the true VR...