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Automation could wipe out 375-800 million jobs globally in the next 13 years, including 16-54 million in the U.S. But don't worry, there's a new job waiting for you:
The McKinsey Global Institute cautions that as many as 375 million workers will need to switch occupational categories by 2030 due to automation.
[...] "The model where people go to school for the first 20 years of life and work for the next 40 or 50 years is broken," Susan Lund, a partner for the McKinsey Global Institute and co-author of the report, told CNN Tech. "We're going to have to think about learning and training throughout the course of your career."
[...] "The dire predictions that robots are taking our jobs are overblown," Lund said. "Yes, work will be automated, [but] there will be enough jobs for everyone in most areas." The authors don't expect automation will displace jobs involving managing people, social interactions or applying expertise. Gardeners, plumbers, child and elder-care workers are among those facing less risk from automation.
Also at Bloomberg.
(Score: 2) by All Your Lawn Are Belong To Us on Friday December 01 2017, @04:28PM (1 child)
You're right that they got things right. But a lot of what they got right reflected the ways computers of the day were used. TOS: They had cartridges, but they were of cassette tape size. Very long lasting technology, but existed in the day. TNG: They had "isolinear chips", mimicing USB sticks of the day. Sure I still use USB sticks today, but it's more common to have cloud resources. In Voyager they were all but gone. Voyager used "gel pack" biopower cells - gel cell batteries were common then with just a little treknobabble that they were bio based. In TOS you had to be at the console where the computer terminal was (and it was a terminal link to the big ship's mainframe.) (You also had the revolution of M-5's Engrams not completely dissimilar from notions of Neural Nets - they get some things right.) But the time of TNG you get Picard's ready room 'laptop' style display (common then) and PADDs (just around the corner). We also got voice control (a future harbinger of Siri), where in TOS it was all button-pressing.
Mobile, you're right they had communicators and tricorders. But communicators in TOS and even TNG were refined versions of walkie-talkies; how many people use their smartphones in speakerphone mode when unnecessary? (Sure, some, but they use them more like phones than two-way radio.) Tricorders were general-purpose gadgets to some degree, but the TOS tricorder clearly used a tiny little CRT - because nobody predicted color LCD display. The TNG tricorder buttons were very clearly for predefined functions (BIO - GEO - MET), not the touchscreen customize-for-button. In fact, both had buttons - nobody predicted touchscreen on that scale. So they had the things, just used like you'd expect in the days of production.
The book or article I read made a compelling case that whatever the technology was, it was expressed in terms familiar to the day. (Because you have the paradox of presenting the future, yet the viewer/reader must be able to relate to it all somehow.) So you get the future you mention, but used in terms of how we utilize tech today. Also because if you know what the future will be like..... then you make it and get rich. :)
This sig for rent.
(Score: 2) by Grishnakh on Friday December 01 2017, @04:34PM
We also got voice control (a future harbinger of Siri), where in TOS it was all button-pressing.
TOS had some voice control and feedback too.