NASA thinks that the technologies needed to launch an interstellar probe to Alpha Centauri at a speed of up to 0.1c could be ready by 2069:
In 2069, if all goes according to plan, NASA could launch a spacecraft bound to escape our solar system and visit our next-door neighbors in space, the three-star Alpha Centauri system, according to a mission concept presented last week at the annual conference of the American Geophysical Union and reported by New Scientist. The mission, which is pegged to the 100th anniversary of the moon landing, would also involve traveling at one-tenth the speed of light.
Last year, Representative John Culberson called for NASA to launch a 2069 mission to Alpha Centauri, but it was never included in any bill.
Meanwhile, researchers have analyzed spectrographic data for the Alpha Centauri system and found that small, rocky exoplanets are almost certainly undiscovered due to current detection limits:
The researchers set up a grid system for the Alpha Centauri system and asked, based on the spectrographic analysis, "If there was a small, rocky planet in the habitable zone, would we have been able to detect it?" Often, the answer came back: "No."
Zhao, the study's first author, determined that for Alpha Centauri A, there might still be orbiting planets that are smaller than 50 Earth masses. For Alpha Centauri B there might be orbiting planets than are smaller than 8 Earth masses; for Proxima Centauri, there might be orbiting planets that are less than one-half of Earth's mass.
In addition, the study eliminated the possibility of a number of larger planets. Zhao said this takes away the possibility of Jupiter-sized planets causing asteroids that might hit or change the orbits of smaller, Earth-like planets.
(For comparison, Saturn is ~95 Earth masses, Neptune is ~17, Uranus is ~14.5, and Mars is ~0.1.)
Planet Detectability in the Alpha Centauri System (DOI: 10.3847/1538-3881/aa9bea) (DX)
(Score: 2) by Runaway1956 on Wednesday December 20 2017, @04:38PM (3 children)
At a guess, the fastest way to do it, would be to use a YUGE conventional rocket array at this end, and reach max velocity pretty quickly. Deceleration would take vastly more time, using solar sails and something like an ion engine. But, that's just a guess. I haven't read the article either. ;^)
(Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday December 20 2017, @07:00PM (1 child)
Yes, we know. This much is obvious. When the topic is interstellar rocket science, I always turn to Runaway!
(Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Thursday December 21 2017, @12:14AM
Sadly, most articles like this are short on the underlying science, engineering and state of development of the various promising technologies.
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(Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Wednesday December 20 2017, @11:55PM
I think conventional YUGE rockets hit an asymptote of diminishing returns long before they get to 0.1C. Voyager is only doing Mach 50, and a lot of that is due to gravity assist. Chemical energy release makes hot gas, so there are mach concerns even if you can increase the density and decrease your mach number, pretty quickly we're going to run out of alloys that can contain such a pressures.
The solar sail decel is a nice thought, but somehow I doubt it would be enough - very little power coming from the sun until the last few days of approach at 0.1C.
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