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posted by mrpg on Thursday March 15 2018, @01:00AM   Printer-friendly
from the like-the-flu dept.

How can we understand the process by which an attack type popularized in the West Bank became the tactic of choice for a white supremacist in the United States? The best way to do so—and to predict the spread of new tactics—may come from an unconventional source: epidemiology, the science of the spread of disease.

[...] Just as in epidemiology, where an outbreak in one area triggers concern in neighboring regions, so too should an outbreak in one operational area serve as a warning to other, geographically related areas. Thus, at this point the outbreak in Israel should have indicated the likelihood that the tactic would spread, at least elsewhere in the region. Here an understanding of vectors is key. A fairly broad definition of a vector is that it is a carrier that transmits a given infectious agent between organisms.

[...] Employing an epidemiological perspective will give security forces and operational planners more time to prepare for the arrival of the tactic and may ultimately save lives. Understanding when the prevalence of a tactic has reached outbreak levels can provide a warning to other operational environments. Monitoring vectors can provide warning of how and where a tactic may spread and whether it is likely that the tactic will reach pandemic or hyperendemic proportions. Even if epidemiological language is not employed, there is still value in an epidemiological approach to describing the prevalence and media coverage of tactics in operating environments.

VEHICLE RAMMING, FROM THE MIDDLE EAST TO CHARLOTTESVILLE: HOW DO TACTICS SPREAD?


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  • (Score: 5, Informative) by c0lo on Thursday March 15 2018, @03:22AM (4 children)

    by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Thursday March 15 2018, @03:22AM (#652764) Journal

    When people block your car and start to beat on it, you should assume that they mean you serious harm.

    When you are scared and 200 meters away from the perceived danger and in your car, the normal reaction is to back the fuck away in your car instead of heading towards the place you see "danger". When he got into his car, nobody was banging it.

    Spare me, that shit wasn't flight-ing the scene, he was in a fighting mood.

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  • (Score: 0, Offtopic) by Sulla on Thursday March 15 2018, @05:45AM (2 children)

    by Sulla (5173) on Thursday March 15 2018, @05:45AM (#652791) Journal

    I think you downplay just how easily people get scared, scatter, and make bad decisions. Thinking people might kill you or you might die doesn't spark rational decision making and deductions of best possible routes out of a situation for a lot of people. From what I have seen of people involved in car accidents just before it happens is that they freak out and either go deer-in-the-headlights or make rash decisions. This guy committed involuntary manslaughter when he got scared and tried to take a known route out of the area that happend to have a ton of people in the road at the time. Swirved to miss blocked traffic (not hitting car infront of him) and hid pedestrians.

    I had a situation where I was gradually slowing to a stop In an area with ice and my exploder decided it wanted to try and explode. My passengar unable to cope with the situation freaked out, I slowed down my thought process and realized if I let the fishtail happen I would roll when I got caught on the curb. I fishtailed my car back and forth until I was far enough from the curb that I could let it do a full circle without any issues. Let the ice do what it wanted and swing me around losing all the momentum and then I was back on my way with a new lesson that Tudor/University likes to have worse ice buildup than other intersections.

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    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday March 15 2018, @06:00AM

      by Anonymous Coward on Thursday March 15 2018, @06:00AM (#652795)

      That's bullshit and you know it. Try it on this tune [youtube.com], it will be easy for you to admit it

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday March 15 2018, @10:31AM

      by Anonymous Coward on Thursday March 15 2018, @10:31AM (#652878)

      This guy committed involuntary manslaughter when he got scared and tried to take a known route out of the area that happend to have a ton of people in the road at the time. Swirved to miss blocked traffic (not hitting car infront of him) and hid pedestrians.

      While my personal opinion of the situation is in agreement that it was likely involuntary manslaughter, from my observation of the situation, yours is not an entirely accurate representation of what happened:
      1. The car was slowing down as he approached the crowd.
      2. A pedestrian hit the rear of his car with something like a baseball bat.
      3. The car accelerated, hitting the crowd
      4. The car then rear-ended another vehicle, which had already been enveloped by the crowd of people.

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday March 15 2018, @08:53PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday March 15 2018, @08:53PM (#653102)

    Half the people on the road are looking at their cell phone. By the time they become aware of a dangerous situation, they're right in the middle of it. It's too late to avoid the problem.