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posted by mrpg on Thursday March 15 2018, @01:00AM   Printer-friendly
from the like-the-flu dept.

How can we understand the process by which an attack type popularized in the West Bank became the tactic of choice for a white supremacist in the United States? The best way to do so—and to predict the spread of new tactics—may come from an unconventional source: epidemiology, the science of the spread of disease.

[...] Just as in epidemiology, where an outbreak in one area triggers concern in neighboring regions, so too should an outbreak in one operational area serve as a warning to other, geographically related areas. Thus, at this point the outbreak in Israel should have indicated the likelihood that the tactic would spread, at least elsewhere in the region. Here an understanding of vectors is key. A fairly broad definition of a vector is that it is a carrier that transmits a given infectious agent between organisms.

[...] Employing an epidemiological perspective will give security forces and operational planners more time to prepare for the arrival of the tactic and may ultimately save lives. Understanding when the prevalence of a tactic has reached outbreak levels can provide a warning to other operational environments. Monitoring vectors can provide warning of how and where a tactic may spread and whether it is likely that the tactic will reach pandemic or hyperendemic proportions. Even if epidemiological language is not employed, there is still value in an epidemiological approach to describing the prevalence and media coverage of tactics in operating environments.

VEHICLE RAMMING, FROM THE MIDDLE EAST TO CHARLOTTESVILLE: HOW DO TACTICS SPREAD?


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  • (Score: 3, Interesting) by VLM on Thursday March 15 2018, @02:16PM

    by VLM (445) on Thursday March 15 2018, @02:16PM (#652943)

    Damn, all those people run over by cars as per

    an attack type popularized in the West Bank became the tactic of choice for a white supremacist in the United States

    Oh I see its all mere propaganda.

    The thing about the Atomwaffen Division is its exactly the same as DnD in the 80s or violent video games today. If, for the sake of argument, given a statistical pool, if a huge fraction of the pool is (DnD players, Alt right, whatever) while at the same time a microscopic fraction is nuts as a microscopic fraction of the population has always been nuts since time immemorial, them by definition especially if you cherry pick examples, you'll find plenty of examples of people in the set of intersection of (giant popular group) and (ridiculously small fraction of crazies).

    For example one pyromaniac was in the Division, at least per the Wikipedia article. Likewise I have an extremely strong suspicion that you can cherry pick and glorify a similar coincidental relationship between drinking tap water and being a pyromaniac. I mean, you're not seriously claiming the pyro never drank plain old tap water, seriously?

    At least for Generation Z(yklon) being in the alt right isn't any more unusual or dangerous than playing DnD in the 80s or playing video games in the 90s till now. I would be shocked if you could NOT find someone in such an immense and popular movement for any and all crimes. Surely someone on the alt-right has spat on the sidewalk, surely someone on the alt-right has cheated while playing blackjack, surely someone on the alt right has not colored crayons within the lines, none of that is really surprising in any way.

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