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posted by fyngyrz on Thursday April 12 2018, @08:59AM   Printer-friendly
from the they're-all-ryan-through-their-smiles dept.

Many media outlets are saying "Paul Ryan Retires" (For example, Vox's original headline.) This doesn't mean he won't still be there until the new Congress is seated in January 2019.

Vox reports:

More and more Republicans are looking at how the 2018 elections are shaping up and deciding they want no part of them--with Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI) and Rep. Dennis Ross (R-FL) just the latest to announce they won't run for reelection this year.

This makes 25 House Republicans and three GOP senators who are calling it quits, not counting several more who are stepping down to run for another political office (or who have already resigned). That's the highest such number[1] for just one party in decades.

Revealingly, only nine House Democrats and zero Democratic senators have so far made the same choice. (Sen. Al Franken of Minnesota resigned due to scandal, but his seat has already been filled by Tina Smith, who will run this fall.) That's a dramatic discrepancy.

Though the explanations offered for these decisions differ, and though many of these GOP-held seats are in no real danger of flipping to Democrats, these retirements are revealing how members of Congress currently view the national political environment. That is: they think there's a real possibility of a Democratic wave.

But the trend is more meaningful even than that. These very retirements could help make such a wave even bigger, because it's generally easier for the opposition party to flip open seats than it is to knock off incumbents.

[...] According to FiveThirtyEight's numbers,[2] the only time in the past 40 years there's been a bigger partisan discrepancy in [the who's not running for reelection stats] was 2008, which turned out to be a Democratic wave year.


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  • (Score: 1, Insightful) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @09:50AM (14 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @09:50AM (#665828)

    >The democratic party seems clueless.
    Assertion without argument. Auto-rejected.

    >People I know who are politically involved are only still associated with them because they feel trapped.
    Assertion without argument. Trapped how? why? by whom ?

    >Just check out who they had give the state of the union address response.
    I'm sure that grammar works better in it's native Russian.

    >It was basically a guy version of hillary clinton, they are even continuing to push an aristocratic dynasty.
    No. just, no. Go back to school, kid, the words you use do not mean what you think they do.

    Your trolling is terribly weak. I guess you get what you pay for .... in Rubels.

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  • (Score: 1, Informative) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @09:56AM (9 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @09:56AM (#665830)

    Assertion without argument? You have to continue reading. They are still pushing reptile-like corporatist dynasty types. The rest of your post goes downhill from there (not knowing what the state of the union address response is, etc). Anyway, Trump is orange.

    • (Score: -1, Troll) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @10:08AM

      by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @10:08AM (#665832)

      Responding to myself.

      I started thinking maybe I need to spell it out since some people may not actually consider anything wrong with it:
      They are still pushing reptile-like corporatist dynasty types, and their "base" (the people who do organizing and campaigning) does not like this and as a result are looking for any alternative to the dnc.

    • (Score: -1, Redundant) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @10:32AM (4 children)

      by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @10:32AM (#665835)

      1) Hey kid, you're the one who confuses Aristocracy for Corporatism.

      2) Also you literally did not provide an argument initially for why they would be trapped. And to be fair, even your reply (because it wasn't an argument, just a description of a third-hand anecdote) makes little sense. People actively looking for an alternative are not trapped. And there were alternatives, they were unelectable, realistically speaking, but voting for Bernie feels a lot better that voting for Hillary

      , especially when you get Trump anyway

      . There are valid moral choices. Nobody is trapped.

      addendum: the 'SOTUR' bit was a run-on sentence, and one delivers a reply to an address, one does not 'give' and address. (though one may 'give' a speech)
      Snark about your writing was both valid and correct.

      • (Score: -1, Redundant) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @10:45AM (3 children)

        by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @10:45AM (#665839)

        Whatever, I tried to help. You want to continue being clueless living in your bubble rather than admit your association with the dnc is a sunk cost. If enough people do the same youll get a repeat of the last election.

        • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @10:51AM (2 children)

          by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @10:51AM (#665841)

          weaksauce ad-hominem attempt, i never voted DNC in my life, i was just pointing out your poor argumentation skills.

          Also, if you think what you write is 'helping', it's better not to help.

          • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @10:52AM (1 child)

            by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @10:52AM (#665842)

            Im not arguing anything... what argument? Im simply stating facts.

            • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @11:24AM

              by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @11:24AM (#665851)

              Go to bed kid, you're tired.

    • (Score: 2, Flamebait) by realDonaldTrump on Thursday April 12 2018, @10:40AM (1 child)

      by realDonaldTrump (6614) on Thursday April 12 2018, @10:40AM (#665838) Homepage Journal

      You see me on the Fake News Media, I'm orange. Believe me, I'm not orange. Bad tint, saturation & WHITE BALANCE, very Fake! Watch me on Fox News or CNBC, those guys know how to use a camera. Fair & Balanced!!!!

      • (Score: 5, Touché) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @12:15PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @12:15PM (#665869)

        Yup, Fox News has a great white balance.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @04:18PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @04:18PM (#665999)

      Dude, the AC who attacked your point as invalid based on his own autistic-style "arguments" is just noise.
      I completely get what you are saying. Oh, and he wants proof that the Democrats are out of touch and clueless? Remember the Dems lost the election to FREAKING DONALD TRUMP, a joke that never should have had a chance at winning a national election if he were running against a competent candidate?
      If the Democratic party still haven't internalized the reason they lost that one (not had it stolen from them, but actively LOST it), then yeah, there is no hope for them. The party's main problem is they need new blood in their leadership. The oldsters at the helm gave shown they can't adapt or accept fault for their party's current state.

  • (Score: 1, Funny) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @02:41PM (3 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @02:41PM (#665943)

    I'm sure that grammar works better in it's native Russian.

    "I'm sure that grammar works better in it is native Russian." Learn how "it's" and "its" work, moron.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @03:48PM (2 children)

      by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @03:48PM (#665974)

      Better check possessive forms. In this case "it" is used as a noun and so "it's" is proper use.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @04:21PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @04:21PM (#666000)

        I suppose you think "her's" is correct as well?
        Learn elementary school English first, my confused friend.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @05:02PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 12 2018, @05:02PM (#666023)

        When in doubt the apostrophe is used to concatenate words and no apostrophe is for possessive [oxforddictionaries.com]

        It is a relatively obscure bit of grammar that doesn't come up too often and violates the general rule for 's possessive forms. This mole hill is getting out of hand!