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posted by mrpg on Tuesday June 19 2018, @06:22AM   Printer-friendly
from the scary dept.

Google is training machines to predict when a patient will die

A woman with late-stage breast cancer went to a hospital, fluids flooding her lungs. She saw two doctors and got a radiology scan. The hospital's computers read her vital signs and estimated a 9.3% chance she would die during her stay.

Then came Google's turn. An new type of algorithm created by the company read up on the woman — 175,639 data points — and rendered its assessment of her death risk: 19.9%. She died in a matter of days.

The harrowing account of the unidentified woman's death was published by Google in May in research highlighting the healthcare potential of neural networks, a form of artificial intelligence software that is particularly good at using data to automatically learn and improve. Google had created a tool that could forecast a host of patient outcomes, including how long people may stay in hospitals, their odds of readmission and chances they will soon die.

What impressed medical experts most was Google's ability to sift through data previously out of reach: notes buried in PDFs or scribbled on old charts. The neural net gobbled up all this unruly information then spat out predictions. And it did so far faster and more accurately than existing techniques. Google's system even showed which records led it to conclusions.

Scalable and accurate deep learning with electronic health records (open, DOI: 10.1038/s41746-018-0029-1) (DX)


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  • (Score: 2) by takyon on Tuesday June 19 2018, @08:13AM

    by takyon (881) <takyonNO@SPAMsoylentnews.org> on Tuesday June 19 2018, @08:13AM (#694875) Journal

    If you have some simple details about patients, then the predictions may seem a lot less impressive.

    For example, the age of the patient. The older, the more likely they are to die. Has a history of heart failure: simple true/false with no additional details. If true, boost that death percentage. Oxygen saturation. If it is dipping below 90%, that is not good news for the patient. And of course, the condition the patient is being treated for. Some conditions are more dire than others.

    Google does it with 175,639 data points. Can it be done almost as well with just 5 or 10? Well, the study is open access.

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