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posted by martyb on Tuesday July 31 2018, @08:41AM   Printer-friendly
from the hot-off-the-press! dept.

The unprecedented temperatures seen over Summer 2018 are a sign of things to come—and a direct result of climate change, according to new Oxford University research.

In the newly published report, researchers from the Environmental Change Institute (ECI) at the School of Geography and Environment, Oxford University, who worked in collaboration with the World Weather Attribution network (WWA), reveal that climate change more than doubled the likelihood of the European heatwave, which could come to be known as regular summer temperatures.

Dr. Friederike Otto, Deputy Director of the ECI at the University of Oxford, said: "What was once regarded as unusually warm weather will become commonplace – in some cases, it already has."

The research compares current temperatures with historical records at seven weather stations in northern Europe – two in Finland, one each in Denmark, the Irish Republic, the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden.

These stations were selected because current temperature data could be accessed in real time, and they possess digitised records extending back to the early 1900s. The scientists also used computer models to assess the impact of man-made climate change.

https://phys.org/news/2018-07-heatwave-triggered-climate.html

-- submitted from IRC


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  • (Score: 1, Funny) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday July 31 2018, @10:25AM (1 child)

    by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday July 31 2018, @10:25AM (#715118)

    The important thing is that they got a paper published to put on the cv.

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  • (Score: 2) by looorg on Tuesday July 31 2018, @10:39AM

    by looorg (578) on Tuesday July 31 2018, @10:39AM (#715124)

    Sounds more like it. Sitting now playing around with the national weather service climate scenarios and I don't think they concur with their report even tho they are in charge of at least one of the weather stations used.

    http://www.smhi.se/klimat/framtidens-klimat/klimatscenarier?area=swe&var=t&sc=rcp85&seas=ar&dnr=99&sp=en&sx=0&sy=558#sc=rcp85&seas=som [www.smhi.se]

    So depending on which model I'm to believe in for the next 100 years the temperature is either going to rise with 2C to 4C during the summers, the winter temperature might rise with as much as 8C. It's a bit odd tho since most of the bars before the middle of the 1980's seem to indicate that there will be lower the average and it's just in the last decade or so that they have been above average. So what is to say that is the trend and this just isn't the extreme? Interestingly this new high temperatures are also going to coincide with a lot more rain, as much as 30% more rain; even more rains during the summers. So I'm starting to guess that this comes down to whom you want to believe.