Submitted via IRC for SoyCow1984
[...] The team used a mathematical model to simulate these epidemic patterns for each of the 20 most common types of enterovirus.
To build the model, they used Japanese enterovirus surveillance data. Japan keeps incredibly detailed information on enterovirus outbreaks, and the team used 14 years' worth of information to build the model (from 2000-2014).
They then tested the model, and found that it was able to predict subsequent outbreaks in 2015 and 2016 for most types of enterovirus.
Source: https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/08/180824090618.htm
(Score: 0, Troll) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday August 26 2018, @05:27AM
Crap, I can predict outbreaks and fatality rates for every virus you care to name - for 2016 and 2017. Just how detailed a prediction do you want?