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Maine's ranked-choice voting will be used in a federal general election for the first time, after previously using it in the primary system.
Live coverage at FiveThirtyEight, CNN, NBC, WSJ, Fox, CBSN (video), and Ballotpedia.
Update: Democrats have taken the House of Representatives, while Republicans have retained control of the Senate.
Georgia's Brian Kemp Opens 'Cyber Crimes' Investigation Into State Democrats, 2 Days Before Election
Georgia Secretary of State and Republican gubernatorial candidate Brian Kemp opened an investigation into the state's Democratic Party Sunday, alleging a failed attempt to hack the Georgia voter registration system.
Previously: Exact Match Requirements Eased in Georgia Ahead of Midterms
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Hey, wait a minute!! I want a divorce!! ... you're not Clint Eastwood!!
(Score: 5, Informative) by takyon on Wednesday November 07 2018, @08:33AM (5 children)
It was a blue wave.
1. The House of Representatives is a better measure of the mood of the country, since all of them are up for reelection every 2 years. And the Democrats picked up around 26-30 seats. Even with Republican-led gerrymandering in effect [wikipedia.org].
2. The Senate races were stacked against Democrats. 8 Republican incumbents vs. 24 Democrat incumbents. This is apparently the greatest mismatch ever for Democrats. Yet Dems managed to offer a legitimate challenge in Texas which is not supposed to happen.
3. Democrats have picked up 6 Governor seats so far.
4. The ex-felon voting rights amendment in Florida changes the voting demographics. We could see more Puerto Ricans arrive in Florida too (hundreds of thousands have relocated recently following hurricanes). If Trump is not performing well in 2020, he could lose Florida due to the new Democratic-leaning voters.
It looks like about 21 Republicans are up in 2020. If the President's popularity doesn't increase before then, that becomes a really bad omen.
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(Score: 2) by c0lo on Wednesday November 07 2018, @11:34AM (2 children)
Yeah, right. Incorrigible optimist as always.
Trump can now play more divisive politics, he has the House as a scape goat for his failures; what do you reckon is more probable for his supporters:
- they will suddenly gain some ability to think with their brain and see beyond the blame deflection; *or*
- they will continue to believe whatever chaotic finger-pointing justification Trump tweets last, because so they want to?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
(Score: 2) by takyon on Wednesday November 07 2018, @11:54AM (1 child)
Without a proper foil (you can only whine about Retired Obama and Heart(?)broken Hillary for so long in 2018), Trump made the election a referendum on his own performance. He explicitly encouraged this [time.com].
Polling showed an increase in Republican enthusiasm following the Kavanaugh hearings. Midterm turnout was unusually high. And yet the Democrats still gained seats. We can mostly ignore the Senate results for the reasons stated above.
Many of Trump's Republican supporters are reluctant supporters. His devoted base is a smaller portion of the electorate.
All Democrats need to do to win in 2020 is run someone who can avoid completely alienating Republicans, and can siphon off the "mainstream" ones (the Jeb Bush supporters/swamp creatures). Or let Trump be his own worst enemy and scare them off in some other direction, no matter who the Democrat is.
Note that I am not predicting a Democratic win in 2020. A lot can happen in 2 years. But I believe Trump can pull a Jimmy Carter.
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(Score: 2) by VLM on Wednesday November 07 2018, @12:26PM
The -D center is gone, so ...
(Score: 2) by VLM on Wednesday November 07 2018, @12:09PM (1 child)
A bathtub ripple, perhaps. Nate Silver on 538 promised 40 to 60 new D seats, the hilarious actual results are being actively buried in the legacy media.
(Score: 4, Interesting) by takyon on Wednesday November 07 2018, @12:38PM
I see, from the forecast on the morning of the 6th:
Which is exactly what happened, just closer to 30 than the 39-40 which was given the highest chance of occurring in 538's forecast (2.8% each).
Democrats started at 193, and are at 222 now according to CNN. That's 29 seats gained. 14 seats are still in play. They could easily get to 35-36 seats gained, which is near the middle of the 538 estimate, and not far off your 40.
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