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posted by takyon on Wednesday January 16 2019, @05:46PM   Printer-friendly
from the Why-Not-Re-Referendum? dept.

Brexit vote: What just happened and what comes next?

With only approximately two more months before a default no-deal "hard Brexit," the British Parliament has decisively rejected Prime Minister May's proposed plan for leaving the European Union.

There is a no confidence vote in works which, if successful, will dissolve the government and force another general election.

See also: Live: Latest as MPs debate no confidence vote


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  • (Score: 4, Insightful) by zocalo on Wednesday January 16 2019, @08:48PM

    by zocalo (302) on Wednesday January 16 2019, @08:48PM (#787549)
    Quite. Losing the vote does not automatically mean a general election, despite what Corbyn might have wanted. There's a "grace period" whereby any potential PM can try to get a consensus (good luck with that, to be sure) to form the next Government. No party cutrently has a majority, so that could just as easily be a Tory MP as a Labour MP as long as they can form a large enough coalition and secure enough their own party's backing to win the Commons vote and then go to the Queen and seek permission to form a Government.

    Of course, why would a Tory Brexiteer want to take the reins now? They had a chance of that when Cameron stood down and they had a completely clean slate to start with, but instead they ran for hills and left it to May - a Remainer who has zero ability for compromise, great when you need a firm hand, shit when you need to compromise and make a deal - to pick up the reins and - more importantly - any blame. Now they've seen the cards, it's pretty obvious they know it's a bust and just want May to fall on her sword and stand down so they can try and seize the prize.

    Labour's a different matter - the prospective PM would currently have to be Corbyn because of the way the Labour party works and, quite frankly, I can't recall a UK party leader that has been so reluctant to commit to any specific course of action, again hardly a trait that you want in negotiations. Not that there's going to much negotiation left at this point; at best he might have to sort out a few tweaks to the deal or just opt for something like Norway+. I doubt either option is going to overcome the furore over the inevitable delay to Brexit required, swing 230 MP's votes to support it, and avoid the public backlash either option will generate from those who don't agree.

    At this point it's just like a version Game of Thrones, only with intrigue and backstabbing levels of tea and biscuits instead of magical swords and dragons, and a lengthy queue instead of a giant wall.
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