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Repetitive skills like pattern recognition, information retrieval, optimization and planning are most vulnerable to automation. On the other hand, social and cognitive skills such as creativity, problem-solving, drawing conclusions about emotional states and social interactions are least vulnerable.
The most resilient competencies (those least likely to be displaced by AI) included critical thinking, teamwork, interpersonal skills, leadership and entrepreneurship.
Yuval Harari, a historian at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, described the rise of AI as a "cascade of ever-bigger disruptions" in higher education rather than a single event that settles into a new equilibrium. The unknown paths taken by AI will make it increasingly difficult to know what to teach students.
Perhaps we can all be employed as therapists, counseling each other about our feelings of irrelevance?
(Score: 2) by maxwell demon on Friday May 10 2019, @06:46PM (3 children)
The question is not what machines currently can do, but what they will be able to to. Think about what was possible 20 years ago, and what is possible today. And then extrapolate that development into the next 20 years.
And yes, there are jobs that will be safe for quite some time. For example, I don't expect plumbers to be replaced by robots any time soon. But it's not true that only middle management jobs will be replaced. Basically, if your job is done in an office and doesn't require much creativity, it might get replaced by a machine; even if a machine cannot do all of it, having machines and one human to handle the few hard cases is cheaper than having ten humans doing the job. And if self-driving cars hold their promise, the same is true for all the driving jobs (taxi, bus, truck).
The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
(Score: 2) by The Mighty Buzzard on Friday May 10 2019, @07:20PM (2 children)
I was. I know how easy it is to pick the low-hanging fruits compared to being able to pick the ones at the top of the tree though. Everyone currently working has very few worries on this front based on that.
They might eventually but you're not going to see widespread use outside a few cities who are the equivalent of "that guy who just has to have all the new tech on day one" in the next ten years at the very least; I'd say closer to twenty or more. For "might" not "will". Self-driving vehicles being desired by the US public is still far from a given.
My rights don't end where your fear begins.
(Score: 2) by maxwell demon on Friday May 10 2019, @09:21PM (1 child)
For driving jobs it doesn't matter what car private people want to own. The companies only care about the bottom line, and when self-driving cars are cheaper than drivers, they will use them.
The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
(Score: 2) by The Mighty Buzzard on Friday May 10 2019, @09:54PM
I wasn't talking citizens thinking that's something they want to use. I was thinking citizens thinking that's something they even want to allow on their roads. At this moment, they're in DO NOT WANT mode.
My rights don't end where your fear begins.