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Commercial Drones Are Way More Popular Than the FAA Expected

posted by janrinok on Monday May 13 2019, @02:57AM   Printer-friendly
from the no-flying-cars dept.

MrPlow writes:

Submitted via IRC for Fnord666

The Federal Aviation Authority (FAA) has unveiled its predictions for the future of drones, and the findings came as a surprise, even to the FAA itself. Non-commercial drone growth has greatly exceeded expectations, increasing by 170 percent last year, despite officials thinking that it would only grow by 44 percent. This also forced experts to race back to the drawing board and re-write its predictions for the entire industry as a result.

The percentages are impressive, but it's worth bearing in mind that the actual numbers aren't huge: the total number of commercial drones registered with the FAA now sits at 277,000. By contrast, there are about 1.25 million personal drones in the US, expected to rise to 1.4 million by 2023.

In that same year, the FAA now predicts there will be 835,000 commercial drones, which represents a tripling of the total over the next five years. Their original prediction was that there'd be about 452,000 commercial drones flying by 2022, but based on their unexpectedly fast takeup, that figure now looks likely to be achieved in early 2020 instead.

The full report notes that "the significant growth in this sector over the past year demonstrates the uncertainty and potential of the market." It goes on to say that while the FAA does not expect the current growth rate to continue, "nevertheless, the sector will be much larger than what we understood as recently as last year."

Source: https://www.engadget.com/2019/05/06/commercial-drones-are-way-more-popular-than-the-faa-expected/

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  • (Score: 2) by c0lo on Monday May 13 2019, @03:29AM (4 children)

    by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Monday May 13 2019, @03:29AM (#842829) Journal

    What problem?
    Sure not this one:

    This also forced experts to race back to the drawing board and re-write its predictions for the entire industry as a result.

    --
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
    Starting Score:    1  point
    Karma-Bonus Modifier   +1  
    Total Score:   2  

  • (Score: 1) by khallow on Monday May 13 2019, @05:37AM (3 children)

    by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Monday May 13 2019, @05:37AM (#842873) Journal
    Well, the less activities that experts have to pontificate on due to the natural viscosity of high taxation, the less injuries due to racing that these experts will experience. I think it's pretty straightforward.

    • (Score: 2) by c0lo on Monday May 13 2019, @05:45AM (2 children)

      by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Monday May 13 2019, @05:45AM (#842874) Journal

      the less injuries due to racing that these experts will experience

      I thought... injuries in clueless experts is a feature for society, to keep their population low.

      --
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford

      • (Score: 1) by khallow on Monday May 13 2019, @05:53AM (1 child)

        by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Monday May 13 2019, @05:53AM (#842877) Journal
        Why do you hate clueless experts so much? *pout*

        • (Score: 2) by c0lo on Monday May 13 2019, @06:10AM

          by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Monday May 13 2019, @06:10AM (#842886) Journal

          I don't so much.

          --
          https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford