Speculating about the next years, Fred Lambert writes that once there are good all-electric options across the car market internal combustion engines will be as good as dead.
Before 2025, there's going to be a point where there's not going to be a single car buyer in their right mind who's going to want to buy a new gasoline car. Not a single one. Because they're going to look at the market, they're going to look at what's out there, and all the different electric car models that are out there now. By that point, by 2025, there's going to be dozens and dozens of more EV models than what's available today. And attractive ones!
It's going to be hard for someone to justify buying a gas-powered car at that point, because they're going to think about the resale value of it.
I think the resale value of gasoline cars is going to drop massively in the next five years, and predicted value is going to drop even more drastically. Buying a gasoline car right now is a bad choice. Buying a gasoline car within the next five years is going to be just a financial suicide for most people.
Earlier on SN:
Every Electric Vehicle on Sale in the US for 2019 and Its Range (2019)
Australian Plan to Ban Petrol and Diesel Cars (2019)
Have We Reached Peak Car? (2018)
(Score: 2) by Rupert Pupnick on Tuesday July 09 2019, @12:48PM (2 children)
For context, the maximum theoretical BTE is given by thermodynamics as 1 - (Tint/Tenv) where Tint is the internal combustion temperature and Tenv is the environmental temperature in absolute temperature (e.g. deg K). For a a combustion temperature of 1500 deg F in a room temperature setting it’s about 73%.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermal_efficiency [wikipedia.org]
(Score: 2) by Rupert Pupnick on Tuesday July 09 2019, @02:57PM
Sorry typo, that’s 1 - (Tenv/Tint)
(Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday July 09 2019, @07:18PM
Thanks. Your comment and ones like it are the rich nuggets among the quartz and mica.