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Arthur T Knackerbracket has found the following story:

[A] new study suggests that unrestrained deforestation, converting rainforest to agricultural land, could expand the areas at risk of wildfires by more than 70 percent by the end of the century.

[...] It showed that policies such as the construction and paving of new highways, increased deforestation and reducing the effectiveness of protected areas could dramatically increase the risk of wildfires.

Crucially, when coupled with the IPCC´s CMIP5 pessimistic climate change scenario, which projects increased greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions throughout the 21st century, the area with high probability of wildfires could increase by up to 110%.

[...] According to the DETER/INPE deforestation alerts, between July 2018-2019, 5,364 km² of forests—an area the size of the island of Trinidad—were cleared, and another 4,405 km² were affected forest fires.

[...] Conservation units and indigenous lands may not be safe. The results from the model indicate that more than 1 million km² within indigenous lands or protected areas would be subject to an increased likelihood of occurrence of wildfires, threatening both ecosystems and human populations in these areas.

The adoption of measures aimed at reducing deforestation and GHG emissions, however, can significantly reduce the probability of wildfires, even with the intensification of droughts in the Amazon by the end of the century.

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