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posted by Fnord666 on Sunday January 26 2020, @08:52PM   Printer-friendly
from the long-road-to-recovery dept.

The past 10 months have not been good for Boeing for all sorts of reasons—capped off by the failure of the company's Starliner commercial crew vehicle to achieve the right orbit in its uncrewed premier in December. But the biggest of the company's problems remains the 737 Max, grounded since last spring after two crashes that killed 346 people between them. Combined, the crashes are the worst air disaster since September 11, 2001.

Both were at least partially caused by a sensor failure with no redundancy and a problem with MCAS (the new software controlling the handling of the aircraft) that the air crews had not been trained to overcome.

Boeing executives are now telling the company's 737 Max customers that the software fix required to make the airliner airworthy will not be approved in the near future, and that it will likely be June or July before the Federal Aviation Administration certifies the aircraft for flight again—meaning that the aircraft will have been grounded for at least 16 months.

The FAA, for its part, has not committed to any timeframe for re-certifying the aircraft. In an emailed statement, an FAA spokesperson said, "We continue to work with other safety regulators to review Boeing's work as the company conducts the required safety assessments and addresses all issues that arise during testing."


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  • (Score: 0, Troll) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 26 2020, @09:25PM (17 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 26 2020, @09:25PM (#949011)

    A little regulation is good, too much is bad, partly because too many regulations means a higher chance of bad ones.

    The FAA has a long tradition of "whatever you are already doing is fine, but anything new is almost impossible." This is true even if the old way is inferior, or even completely inappropriate. Desperate to avoid triggering the FAA's phobia of anything new, Boeing built an aircraft that was inherently unsafe, which breezed through regulatory approval not just in spite of its flaws, but in fact because of them. Boeing easily could have modified the aircraft to properly support the new engines, but it was easier to approve a bad airplane that was more like an old one, than a much better and safer airplane that would have been a little different.

    While everyone at Boeing who knew this aircraft was dangerous is culpable, let's not overlook the fact that the reason they felt they had to do it was because the regulations all but required them to.

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  • (Score: 5, Informative) by c0lo on Sunday January 26 2020, @11:01PM (15 children)

    by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Sunday January 26 2020, @11:01PM (#949038) Journal

    While everyone at Boeing who knew this aircraft was dangerous is culpable, let's not overlook the fact that the reason they felt they had to do it was because the regulations all but required them to.

    Bullshit. It's because Boeing was losing market share and the Congress allowed them to be cheap rather than safe.

    A bit of history of how 737MAX got to be [theguardian.com]:

    The story begins in 2011. Europe’s new Airbus 320neo, with its superb fuel efficiency and low operating costs, had picked up 667 orders at the Paris air show, a record for a commercial aircraft. Worse, American Airlines had done the unthinkable: it had ordered 130 of the new Airbus and 130 of the older one. ... Boeing had to respond. But instead of developing a whole new plane that could carry heavier, fuel-efficient engines, it made the fateful decision to bolt them on to a variant of its 737 series.
    ...
    In the world of aerospace, such judgment calls should have required an entire recertification process and verification by a third party. That did not happen. For decades, regulation in the US has been hamstrung by the libertarian charge that government is inefficient and always wrong, taxes are a coercive infringement of individual liberty, and regulation inhibits private sector dynamism. The Federal Aviation Authority has an enviable technical reputation, but over the past decade it has suffered from successive budget cuts and government shutdowns as the Republican party has waged war on federal spending and federal agencies. Donald Trump, before the crashes, said he wanted to privatise the agency and scale it back even more.

    Delegating certification to regulated entities [brookings.edu]

    The FAA is responsible for certifying the safety of commercial aircraft like the 737 Max. For reasons discussed more fully below, it delegated much of the testing and inspection work to Boeing. Congress authorized the delegation, provided that the FAA monitored Boeing. In 2018, before the 737 Max accidents, Congress actually expanded the FAA’s authority to delegate. This general arrangement is used by air safety regulators in other countries and is “well established and is common practice.” Those in favor of such delegation generally argue that it leverages limited agency resources by drawing on the expertise and resources of private industry.

    The independent task force commissioned by the FAA to investigate the 737 Max situation concluded that the FAA failed to adequately monitor Boeing. Boeing employees performed virtually all of the analysis of the 737 Max safety system that contributed to the accidents, which was in turn reviewed by two FAA employees who were relatively unfamiliar with the complex underlying safety systems.
    ...
    The 737 Max illustrates that delegation by an agency to a regulated entity is more likely to cause problems:
    - when the regulated entity has incentives not to fully inform the regulator,
    - when the agency struggles to monitor the exercise of the delegation due to technical complexity and limited resources,
    - and when the regulated entity has political influence over the agency.

    --
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
    • (Score: -1, Disagree) by khallow on Monday January 27 2020, @01:38AM (11 children)

      by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Monday January 27 2020, @01:38AM (#949097) Journal

      For decades, regulation in the US has been hamstrung by the libertarian charge that government is inefficient and always wrong

      Even when libertarians are right, they are wrong. Failure is always hamstrung by the naysayers.

      Bullshit. It's because Boeing was losing market share and the Congress allowed them to be cheap rather than safe.

      Oh look, more consequences of overregulation. One national level competitor who is too big to fail. Clearly, the libertarians' fault for that one.

      • (Score: 2) by c0lo on Monday January 27 2020, @08:30PM (10 children)

        by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Monday January 27 2020, @08:30PM (#949541) Journal

        Even when libertarians are right, ....

        In this universe, libertarians are never right.

        --
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
        • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday January 28 2020, @04:11AM (9 children)

          by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday January 28 2020, @04:11AM (#949854)

          They tend to be more left than right, but there's a bunch who are right: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Right-libertarianism [wikipedia.org]

          • (Score: 2) by c0lo on Tuesday January 28 2020, @04:34AM (8 children)

            by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday January 28 2020, @04:34AM (#949878) Journal

            but there's a bunch who are right

            The stupidest kind, IMHO, aligning themselves along the idea of "the legislated right to be greedy" (aka "individualism" in polite-speak) with a mixture of "free market fairy" mysticism. Will lead in less than one generation to "the law of the jungle - the one who commands more power prevails" - the majority of useful idiots will not be among the victors.

            Even the anarchists are more realistic in their utopic dreams: at least they promote voluntary, cooperative institutions; would there be more of like-minded, there is a (even so remote) chance for a stable society to resist for some time - but the equilibrium will be unstable.

            Both of the above may have their place in a mostly-empty world, but will end in a world-burning pyre if attempted on (a slightly over-populated) Earth. Dream of them when the asteroid belt colonization is past the point of self-sufficiency.

            --
            https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
            • (Score: 1) by khallow on Tuesday January 28 2020, @05:35AM (7 children)

              by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday January 28 2020, @05:35AM (#949907) Journal

              The stupidest kind, IMHO, aligning themselves along the idea of "the legislated right to be greedy" (aka "individualism" in polite-speak) with a mixture of "free market fairy" mysticism. Will lead in less than one generation to "the law of the jungle - the one who commands more power prevails" - the majority of useful idiots will not be among the victors.

              So what? You aren't covering yourself in glory with this straw man. Even if the "stupidest kind" were as idiotic as claimed, they aren't in charge. Your two minute hate doesn't change anything.

              Both of the above may have their place in a mostly-empty world, but will end in a world-burning pyre if attempted on (a slightly over-populated) Earth. Dream of them when the asteroid belt colonization is past the point of self-sufficiency.

              That caveat applies as well to whatever you think would be better.

              • (Score: 2) by c0lo on Tuesday January 28 2020, @05:52AM (5 children)

                by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday January 28 2020, @05:52AM (#949919) Journal

                So what? You aren't covering yourself in glory with this straw man.

                Was a statement of my opinion on right-libertarianism.
                Feel free to skip over and save yourself the time you waste making assumption about my motives.

                Your two minute hate doesn't change anything.

                remark classified as baseless and irrelevant anyway

                Both of the above may have their place in a mostly-empty world, but will end in a world-burning pyre if attempted on (a slightly over-populated) Earth. Dream of them when the asteroid belt colonization is past the point of self-sufficiency.

                That caveat applies as well to whatever you think would be better.

                And...???
                I mean, besides bashing a strawman with my nickname stuck on it, is there more that you want to convey?

                --
                https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
                • (Score: 1) by khallow on Tuesday January 28 2020, @06:47AM (4 children)

                  by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday January 28 2020, @06:47AM (#949947) Journal

                  Was a statement of my opinion on right-libertarianism.

                  And my statement on how stupid a straw man it was was opinion too. But not so stupid.

                  And...??? I mean, besides bashing a strawman with my nickname stuck on it, is there more that you want to convey?

                  Yes, I think you're giving libertarianism a raw deal. We've tried top down governance and we end up with stuff like Boeing, broken markets with too big to fail firms bailed out every time they get into trouble (or as now, merely want increase profits a bit).

                  Further, read your links next time. Next time, throw away the link that blames roughly 1% of the population for the actions of the rest.

                  • (Score: 2) by c0lo on Tuesday January 28 2020, @07:08AM (3 children)

                    by c0lo (156) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday January 28 2020, @07:08AM (#949956) Journal

                    Yes, I think you're giving libertarianism a raw deal.

                    You say it like the libertarianism cares that much about the raw deal that I get to it.
                    Or, are you actually afraid that others will start to share my opinion? (I don't know, like, maybe, the way you are afraid of Germany trying to get rid of fossils until 2050?)

                    We've tried top down governance and we end up with stuff like Boeing, broken markets with too big to fail firms bailed out every time they get into trouble (or as now, merely want increase profits a bit).

                    Yes, when top-down governance failed, the right libertarianism is The Solution. Must be, right?

                    --
                    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoFiw2jMy-0 https://soylentnews.org/~MichaelDavidCrawford
                    • (Score: 1) by khallow on Tuesday January 28 2020, @12:12PM (2 children)

                      by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday January 28 2020, @12:12PM (#950029) Journal

                      You say it like the libertarianism cares that much about the raw deal that I get to it. Or, are you actually afraid that others will start to share my opinion? (I don't know, like, maybe, the way you are afraid of Germany trying to get rid of fossils until 2050?)

                      The pattern is already set. A bunch of idiots use the power of the state to screw things up and kill hundreds of people. The medical analogy is iatrogenesis [wikipedia.org] - causing disease and other harm through the treatments that were supposed to help.

                      The problem here is that just like the German example above, this will hurt millions of people or more. I get to deal with the blowback just like everyone else. It's interesting how so much is rationalized on imaginary harm while present day, real world harm gets glossed over. German energy policies result in more expensive electricity and increased net green house gases emissions for a scheme that's supposed to end German nuclear power and reduce global greenhouse gases by a trivial amount?

                      It's just thrashing. And it's grossly insulting that the people actually interested in fixing these sorts of problems are getting blamed for it.

                      Yes, when top-down governance failed, the right libertarianism is The Solution. Must be, right?

                      Your reasoning not mine. But given your earlier "legislated right to be greedy" I guess this is what we can expect from you on the subject.

                      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday January 28 2020, @02:23PM (1 child)

                        by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday January 28 2020, @02:23PM (#950063)

                        A bunch of idiots use the power of the state to screw things up and kill hundreds of people.

                        Which idiots and what people are killed?

                        German energy policies result in ... increased net green house gases emissions

                        Citation needed.

                        And it's grossly insulting that the people actually interested in fixing these sorts of problems are getting blamed for it.

                        Uh, and who are those fabled people?

                        Your reasoning not mine.

                        Aww, how sweet. You just happen to agree.
                        Look, there's no shame of being sarcasm impaired. The good soylentils will mark it especially for you, if you just admit it.

                        • (Score: 1) by khallow on Tuesday January 28 2020, @09:46PM

                          by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday January 28 2020, @09:46PM (#950256) Journal

                          A bunch of idiots use the power of the state to screw things up and kill hundreds of people.

                          Which idiots and what people are killed?

                          The 737 MAX accidents. First, the people passing laws on regulating passenger aircraft and the people doing the regulation created a too big to fail situation with a single US manufacturer of large passenger jets and enormous barriers of entry to anyone else wanting to enter that market. Second, the big to fail manufacturer was having trouble so Congress gave them a pass - as you remarked [soylentnews.org] upon earlier.

                          The regulators created a huge cost differential between the regulations on an upgrade of an existing plane versus anything new as noted [soylentnews.org] in the AC post you initially replied to - that includes pilot training requirements BTW.

                          Finally, we have to consider the bizarre engineering shortcuts: a safety system that was optional, and a sensor that was a single point of failure for a lethal crash when there were back up sensors on the plane. I think shortscreen [soylentnews.org] got that right in that the shortcuts were put in solely to get past regulatory requirements.

                          So to summarize, we have a regulatory agency that went for appearances over safety, and a too big to fail firm that got all kinds of breaks from the state (including protection from competitors) and still screwed up badly enough to kill hundreds of people.

              • (Score: 1) by khallow on Tuesday January 28 2020, @07:01AM

                by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday January 28 2020, @07:01AM (#949954) Journal

                idea of "the legislated right to be greedy" (aka "individualism" in polite-speak)

                Reading over this crap again. The "right to be greedy" is actually deeper than mere legislation. It covers things like freedom of speech and the rights to a fair trial, which usually are constitutionally mandated in democracies. It covers all rights that enable us to act on our own rather than at the behest of others.

                To defend others who say and do the wrong things using these freedoms, or who are massively unpopular (say because they're rich), takes a pretty strong moral character. I hope you one day can develop that character or at least learn to respect it in others.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 27 2020, @03:16AM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 27 2020, @03:16AM (#949146)

      The story begins in 2011.

      It was a dark and stormy night...

      Thanks Obama!

      And you too, Jimmy Cartier! For all that nice de-regulation

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 27 2020, @05:25PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 27 2020, @05:25PM (#949406)

        More like thanks Nixon, Ford, Carter, and Reagan. Carter may have done air but both parties fucked up.

    • (Score: 2) by FatPhil on Monday January 27 2020, @11:42AM

      by FatPhil (863) <reversethis-{if.fdsa} {ta} {tnelyos-cp}> on Monday January 27 2020, @11:42AM (#949261) Homepage
      There's a remarkable breakdown of accountability. There are too many layers between which matters just turn into someone else's problem. FAA offloading regulatory powers just being one example. The question is - when did the the rest of the world say "if the FAA are happy with it, then I'm sure it's fine"? Since when has the Fedaral anything been answerable to the rest of the world?
      --
      Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people; the smallest discuss themselves
  • (Score: 5, Insightful) by shortscreen on Monday January 27 2020, @06:49AM

    by shortscreen (2252) on Monday January 27 2020, @06:49AM (#949212) Journal

    No engineer would have connected only one sensor when a backup sensor already exists on the aircraft. That bit could only have been part of management's plan to minimize changes to avoid triggering regulatory requirements.