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posted by Fnord666 on Saturday March 07 2020, @01:43PM   Printer-friendly
from the sunny-disposition dept.

Paper that claimed the Sun caused global warming gets retracted:

A paper published last June was catnip for those who are desperate to explain climate change with anything but human-caused greenhouse gas emissions. It was also apparently wrong enough to be retracted this week by the journal that published it, even though its authors objected.

The paper's headline conclusion was that it described a newly discovered cycle in the motion of the Sun, one that put us 300 years into what would be a thousand-year warming period for the Earth. Nevermind that we've been directly measuring the incoming radiation from the Sun and there has been no increase to explain the observed global warming—or that there is no evidence of a 2,000 year temperature cycle in the paleoclimate record.

Those obvious issues didn't stop some people from taking this study as proof that past warming was natural, and only mild and unavoidable warming lies in our future.


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  • (Score: 4, Informative) by dry on Sunday March 08 2020, @12:01AM (1 child)

    by dry (223) on Sunday March 08 2020, @12:01AM (#968017) Journal

    Actually most of the models have been fairly accurate, after plugging in the actual CO2 numbers rather then the original guesses, which were often wrong.
    The other problem is the media reporting, scientist predicts a 2 degree raise in temperatures, reporter asks about the extreme possibilities, scientist says there's a 0.01% of a feedback cycle causing 10 degrees of warming and reporter writes article about how temperatures are going to rise by 10 degrees.

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  • (Score: 1) by khallow on Thursday March 12 2020, @02:23PM

    by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Thursday March 12 2020, @02:23PM (#970223) Journal
    Most models are fairly accurate once you adjust them for reality. Here, you're glossing over that these models are attempting to predict global warming based on a certain level of greenhouse gases emissions not actual CO2-equivalent content, and thus, ignoring sinks of these gases in the environment.

    While the media hasn't helped, a lot of the hysteria is driven by the scientists themselves - both by pushing extreme scenarios and by omission, not speaking out when exaggerated claims are made.