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posted by Fnord666 on Wednesday May 13 2020, @08:42PM   Printer-friendly
from the not-completely-unexpected dept.

COVID-19 resurges in reopened countries; Wuhan sees first cluster in a month:

The World Health Organization on Monday called for continued vigilance as several areas that have eased lockdown restriction began to see a resurgence in COVID-19 cases—and the United States begins unbuttoning as well.

The Chinese city of Wuhan—where the pandemic began last December—saw its first cluster of cases in at least a month. The city began reopening in early April.

The cluster was just six cases: an 89-year-old symptomatic man and five asymptomatic cases. All of the infected lived in the same residential community.

[...] NPR's Emily Feng reported from Beijing that "The rise of such hard-to-detect asymptomatic cases has alarmed public health authorities in China, who have ramped up contact tracing and testing efforts."

China state media announced Tuesday that it has ordered all residents of Wuhan—roughly 11 million persons—to be tested within the next 10 days.

Likewise, the mayor of Seoul shut down bars and restaurants over the weekend—just days after South Korea had eased restrictions and allowed businesses to reopen—due to a spike of 86 new COVID-19 cases. Authorities identified a 29-year-old who visited five nightclubs and a bar while infected with the virus, sparking an outbreak of at least 54 cases, according to NPR. The uptick also led South Korean officials to delay the reopening of schools.


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  • (Score: 2) by The Mighty Buzzard on Friday May 15 2020, @11:09AM (2 children)

    Yes [cebm.net], in fact [news-medical.net] I do [medrxiv.org]. Enjoy the bitchslap.

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  • (Score: 1) by chr on Saturday May 16 2020, @09:27AM (1 child)

    by chr (4123) on Saturday May 16 2020, @09:27AM (#994932)

    I was curious and looked at the paper you referenced in medrxiv.org. It's not very convincing in my opinion.

    Have you actually read the paper and did it really convince you?

    Now, I really am curious about this topic so I wonder if you have any better references?

    PS.
    A person, 'Bio', had commented the article and I found his critique well founded. His first point was e.g.:

    1. I find not including time as a factor in the model bewildering. After all, time is the single most important factor for the number of cases for most of the countries in the model. The model is only log(cases) ~ population + temperature. But for example, in half a month's time, population and temperature won't change much, while the number of cases could increase several fold for some countries. Time is a critical factor to model and is more important than temperature and population. Not including time, the model in the paper cannot be stable. Basically as time changes, your conclusions likely will change.

    • (Score: 2) by The Mighty Buzzard on Saturday May 16 2020, @11:46AM

      Which? I've read not just that one but several and linked three. I'm not convinced beyond all argument but unless a solid refutation (Of fact not methodology. Methodologies vary between sources.) appears, it's what I'm going with. Google is your friend if it's something you're actually interested in and haven't already made up your mind.

      Oh, and dude's objection is irrelevant to me since it appears to have no causal link with temperature but a very likely one with amounts and angle of sunlight, which produces vitamin D in folks, which is less efficiently produced in folks with lots of melanin in their skin, which fits like a glove with what we're seeing.

      --
      My rights don't end where your fear begins.