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posted by martyb on Friday May 15 2020, @11:24AM   Printer-friendly
from the no-Earth-shattering-kaboom dept.

How Do We Know the Nukes Still Work?:

Though the treaty explicitly banning all nuclear weapons tests has not yet entered into force, the United States has not detonated a nuclear weapon since 1992. The American nuclear strategy still relies on the nuclear weapons working, but without full-scale tests, the Department of Energy's National Labs now operate the Stockpile Stewardship program, which relies on theory, simulations, and experiments to deliver annual weapons assessments to the federal government.

[...] "The [Stockpile Stewardship program] has gone through a number of administrations, and the Defense Department hasn't said that we have to go back to testing," Victor "Vic" Reis, former assistant secretary of energy for defense programs at the Department of Energy and one of the program's architects, told Gizmodo. "We understand enough of what's happening with the current stockpile of weapons—they're safe and reliable."

Reis teamed up with senior scientists and military personnel to draft a program that could validate the performance of the weapons and simulate the effects of aging on the weapons and their safety—what he called Science Based Stockpile Stewardship. [...] However, there wasn't nearly enough computing capacity to run all of the required simulations. Fortunately, Reis had previously been the director of DARPA and convinced a manager there to lead what would become the Accelerated Strategic Computing Initiative, a program that would significantly increase the computing power available to the weapons labs. Today, the Stockpile Stewardship program operates on a three-pillared approach, combining theory, simulation, and experiment, and runs mainly out of those three labs as well as the Nevada National Security Site.

[...] Understanding how the weapons age is a crucial component to the simulations. "There's a whole aspect of what happens to various materials and how they interact with metals, or with components of the devices themselves, that's all aging. We have no data on what happens when something is 40 years old," Irene Qualters, associate laboratory director for simulation and computation at Los Alamos National Lab, told Gizmodo.

[...] Reis told Gizmodo that he thinks the strategy should last at least another generation. The U.S. has found an effective workaround to true nuclear testing—it's not quite as showy as nuking ships in the Pacific, but scientists each year report to Congress with 100 percent confidence that the nuclear arsenal is reliable.

"But beyond 20 to 25 years, who knows," Reis said. Future politicians will eventually have to decide what to do about the aging nuclear arsenal.


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  • (Score: 2) by Phoenix666 on Friday May 15 2020, @03:34PM (12 children)

    by Phoenix666 (552) on Friday May 15 2020, @03:34PM (#994656) Journal

    MAD doesn't work on fanatics. Muslims and Christians, for example.

    MAD works on Christians fine, because none of them are sure they're going to go to heaven. I surmise Muslims feel the same way.

    Fanaticism is not limited to the religious. Marxists commit lots of atrocities in the name of ideology, and they're atheists. If we want to go on pure numbers then Marxists have killed orders of magnitude more people in pursuit of their beliefs than all others have in pursuit of theirs.

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  • (Score: 1, Insightful) by Anonymous Coward on Friday May 15 2020, @04:39PM (4 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Friday May 15 2020, @04:39PM (#994690)

    Fanaticism is not limited to the religious. Marxists commit lots of atrocities in the name of ideology, and they're atheists. If we want to go on pure numbers then Marxists have killed orders of magnitude more people in pursuit of their beliefs than all others have in pursuit of theirs.

    Please. Hitler? 50 million?

    Also, is this some dick measuring contest here?

    • (Score: -1, Flamebait) by Anonymous Coward on Friday May 15 2020, @06:21PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Friday May 15 2020, @06:21PM (#994721)

      What does Hitler have to do with anything? It was the International Jews and race traitors in the allied nations that killed everyone in WW2, including their own Jewish people. Hitler was just defending his country from them. Watch Adolf Hitler: The Greatest Story Never Told.

    • (Score: 1) by khallow on Friday May 15 2020, @09:04PM (2 children)

      by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Friday May 15 2020, @09:04PM (#994761) Journal

      Please. Hitler? 50 million?

      Yes, Stalin and Mao easily match [hawaii.edu] that. Notice in that list, Hitler was attributed with 21 million deaths, while both Stalin and Mao were attributed with over 60 millions deaths

      • (Score: 2) by The Vocal Minority on Saturday May 16 2020, @04:17AM

        by The Vocal Minority (2765) on Saturday May 16 2020, @04:17AM (#994876) Journal

        I think it is also arguable how much you could actually call Hitler religious, at least in the traditional sense.

      • (Score: 2) by dry on Saturday May 16 2020, @05:00AM

        by dry (223) on Saturday May 16 2020, @05:00AM (#994885) Journal

        So an Eastern Orthodox and Buddhist beat the Catholic. Nothing like a religious upbringing to make someone moral.

  • (Score: 5, Insightful) by DannyB on Friday May 15 2020, @04:54PM (3 children)

    by DannyB (5839) Subscriber Badge on Friday May 15 2020, @04:54PM (#994694) Journal

    MAD works on Christians fine, because none of them are sure they're going to go to heaven.

    Interesting.

    My understanding is that Christians don't believe they are worthy of going to heaven, but have no doubt that they are going despite that unworthiness.

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    • (Score: 2) by Phoenix666 on Friday May 15 2020, @09:10PM (1 child)

      by Phoenix666 (552) on Friday May 15 2020, @09:10PM (#994763) Journal

      Well, everyone wants more time to be really, really good so they'll make up for their sins and make the cut.

      --
      Washington DC delenda est.
      • (Score: 2) by DannyB on Monday May 18 2020, @02:10PM

        by DannyB (5839) Subscriber Badge on Monday May 18 2020, @02:10PM (#995773) Journal

        The whole point of Christianity, as repeated throughout the entire new testament, is that it is impossible to be good enough to make up for ones sins. It is impossible for us do ever do anything that could make the cut. That's the bad news.

        The word "gospel" means good news, which is that God offers grace and forgives sins for those who believe Jesus died and rose from the dead to pay for their sins.

        Whether you, or I, or anyone specifically believes that is a different concern than the fact that the previous two paragraphs are the core message of Christianity.

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    • (Score: 2) by Common Joe on Saturday May 16 2020, @10:13AM

      by Common Joe (33) <common.joe.0101NO@SPAMgmail.com> on Saturday May 16 2020, @10:13AM (#994940) Journal

      This is denomination based.

      Catholics believe you might or might not go to heaven depending on whether you've committed a mortal sin (compared to a venial sin) and if you've confessed or not. If you die between committing the mortal sin and confession, you're burning for eternity.

      On the other hand, a lot of protestants (I thinking Baptists, but there are other denominations too) believe "If you believe in Jesus [that Jesus is "the Son of God"], then you're going to heaven". This, of course, gets mocked by some people because this could in theory allow Baptists to commit all sorts of horrific sins and still get into heaven. The counter to that is that Jesus knows if you're really trying to be good -- which goes against their simple "if only you believe in Jesus" argument. (This is all overly simplified, of course.)

      I haven't even dived into the "What if a baby dies before being baptised? Can he/she go to heaven?" question. That's an interesting set of arguments to listen to (assuming you don't auto-retch when listening to religious arguments).

      It also doesn't get into whether you're talking to a guy on the street or a fully trained theologian. (My explanation is a combination of both street and official doctorine.)

      Both belief systems I mentioned have their basis from parts of the Bible.

      When you add scientific / logical perspective into the fray, both arguments have a very difficult time holding up. (For the Catholics: space-time is based on the universe we live in, so how can the when we confess affect our afterlife? For the Baptists: Reality has taught us to be reserved about what we believe (is time really a constant?), thus how can we just simply believe in something without proof? Was Jesus just a man or was he part / all god? How can God have a son and still be one entity?)

      Disclaimers: Answers are the compliments of my upbringing, but not necessarily my current view points. Answers are here not to be taken as a challenge, but only for information / entertainment value.

  • (Score: 1, Informative) by Anonymous Coward on Friday May 15 2020, @04:55PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Friday May 15 2020, @04:55PM (#994695)

    You assumed incorrectly. Dying for the cause of mohammadism is a guaranteed path to mus heaven.
    Know your enemy.

  • (Score: 3, Insightful) by Azuma Hazuki on Saturday May 16 2020, @12:27AM (1 child)

    by Azuma Hazuki (5086) on Saturday May 16 2020, @12:27AM (#994820) Journal

    > none of them are sure they're going to heaven

    ...uhhhh. Do you just, like, not talk to anyone but yourself...?

    > Blah blah atheism is a religion, hurp-a-derr false equivalence, you're a mean mean lady so fuck you

    Yeah. Shut up, kid. [/thnikkaman]

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    • (Score: 2) by Phoenix666 on Saturday May 16 2020, @04:03AM

      by Phoenix666 (552) on Saturday May 16 2020, @04:03AM (#994872) Journal

      ...uhhhh. Do you just, like, not talk to anyone but yourself...?

      Back atcha. Do you not talk to anyone but rank stereotypes that swirl in your head?

      > Blah blah atheism is a religion, hurp-a-derr false equivalence, you're a mean mean lady so fuck you

      Yeah. Shut up, kid. [/thnikkaman]

      You're responding to stuff I didn't write because it's easier (preferable?) than considering my larger point that zealotry is zealotry and really requires no deity at all?

      For what it's worth, I don't care if you're a mean, mean lady. I'm mean. Acting daft is a greater sin.

      --
      Washington DC delenda est.