Stories
Slash Boxes
Comments

SoylentNews is people

posted by martyb on Saturday August 01 2020, @02:47PM   Printer-friendly
from the any-correlation-with-Wooly-Bear-Caterpillars? dept.

North Atlantic climate far more predictable following major scientific breakthrough:

A team of scientists led by UK Met Office has achieved a scientific breakthrough allowing the longer-term prediction of North Atlantic pressure patterns, the key driving force behind winter weather in Europe and eastern North America.

[...] Published in Nature, the study analyzed six decades of climate model data and suggests decadal variations in North Atlantic atmospheric pressure patterns (known as the North Atlantic Oscillation) are highly predictable, enabling advanced warning of whether winters in the coming decade are likely to be stormy, warm and wet or calm, cold and dry.

However, the study revealed that this predictable signal is much smaller than it should be in current climate models. Hence 100 times more ensemble members are required to extract it, and additional steps are needed to balance the effects of winds and greenhouse gasses. The team showed that, by taking these deficiencies into account, skillful predictions of extreme European winter decades are possible.

Journal Reference:
D. M. Smith, A. A. Scaife, R. Eade, et al. North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply, Nature (DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0)


Original Submission

 
This discussion has been archived. No new comments can be posted.
Display Options Threshold/Breakthrough Mark All as Read Mark All as Unread
The Fine Print: The following comments are owned by whoever posted them. We are not responsible for them in any way.
  • (Score: 2, Funny) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 01 2020, @04:08PM (2 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 01 2020, @04:08PM (#1029868)

    I'm worried about grounding. Pretty much every building with electricity is connected to a conductive pole stuck in the ground. Humans have basically stuck billions of poles in the ground all over the earth and are pumping electrons into them. Does this sound insane to anyone else?

    Starting Score:    0  points
    Moderation   +2  
       Funny=2, Total=2
    Extra 'Funny' Modifier   0  

    Total Score:   2  
  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 01 2020, @04:11PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 01 2020, @04:11PM (#1029869)

    Where are all these electrons going? Are we sure they aren't eventually accumulating in the core or something?

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 01 2020, @04:48PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 01 2020, @04:48PM (#1029888)

    It isn't a joke, if too much charge accumulates the planet is going to split open. Mars looks like a planet that happened to.