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posted by martyb on Saturday August 08 2020, @11:27AM   Printer-friendly
from the is-crime-data-report-trustworthy? dept.

I imagine most people here already know the stats, it's nothing new, but I found it interesting to review.

Many Americans Are Convinced Crime Is Rising In The U.S. They're Wrong:

"People estimated their risks for a whole host of bad-news life events — robbery, burglary, job loss and losing their health insurance. But the survey didn't just ask respondents to rate their chances: It also asked whether those things had actually happened to them in the last year.

And that combination of questions revealed something important about American fear: We are terrible at estimating our risk of crime — much worse than we are at guessing the danger of other bad things. Across that decade, respondents put their chance of being robbed in the coming year at about 15 percent. Looking back, the actual rate of robbery was 1.2 percent. In contrast, when asked to rate their risk of upcoming job loss, people guessed it was about 14.5 percent — much closer to the actual job loss rate of 12.9 percent."

[...] "In 2019, according to a survey conducted by Gallup, about 64 percent of Americans believed that there was more crime in the U.S. than there was a year ago. It's a belief we've consistently held for decades now, but as you can see in the chart below, we've been, just as consistently, very wrong."

Like I said, more of the same, but might be worth a discussion.


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  • (Score: 2, Insightful) by r1348 on Saturday August 08 2020, @12:39PM (3 children)

    by r1348 (5988) on Saturday August 08 2020, @12:39PM (#1033417)

    Edgelord award of the day.

    Starting Score:    1  point
    Moderation   0  
       Flamebait=1, Insightful=1, Total=2
    Extra 'Insightful' Modifier   0  
    Karma-Bonus Modifier   +1  

    Total Score:   2  
  • (Score: 3, Insightful) by Bot on Saturday August 08 2020, @09:24PM (2 children)

    by Bot (3902) on Saturday August 08 2020, @09:24PM (#1033642) Journal

    OTOH I bet their testicles that they didn't include things like the libor scandal in their estimation of "crime".

    In fact given that at AFAIK three different countries (italy spain and england) kept secrets on the documentation the respective governments used to justify fighting covid 19, I'd say the victims of crime this year is like 99% of the population.

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    • (Score: 2) by r1348 on Sunday August 09 2020, @06:05AM (1 child)

      by r1348 (5988) on Sunday August 09 2020, @06:05AM (#1033673)

      Italy released all documentation yesterday.

      • (Score: 3, Informative) by Bot on Sunday August 09 2020, @07:01AM

        by Bot (3902) on Sunday August 09 2020, @07:01AM (#1033690) Journal

        I know Conte released PARTIAL documentation after a row with the TAR (administrative court) and that the decisions in Alzano and Nembro are still under wraps. Considering what emerges from the partial documentation (lockdown as a purely political act just like all other 'emergency' measures of the soviet republic of italy) it's either:
        A- the omissis (unreleased stuff) contain even graver scandals
        B- the omissis are relatively harmless and will be released to troll those protestors (very tame on part of the political right) that ask for glasnost.

        ofc for the mainstream media the responsibility of Conte as the executor of a worldwide plan against his own task force judgement is secondary news.

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