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posted by martyb on Saturday August 08 2020, @11:27AM   Printer-friendly
from the is-crime-data-report-trustworthy? dept.

I imagine most people here already know the stats, it's nothing new, but I found it interesting to review.

Many Americans Are Convinced Crime Is Rising In The U.S. They're Wrong:

"People estimated their risks for a whole host of bad-news life events — robbery, burglary, job loss and losing their health insurance. But the survey didn't just ask respondents to rate their chances: It also asked whether those things had actually happened to them in the last year.

And that combination of questions revealed something important about American fear: We are terrible at estimating our risk of crime — much worse than we are at guessing the danger of other bad things. Across that decade, respondents put their chance of being robbed in the coming year at about 15 percent. Looking back, the actual rate of robbery was 1.2 percent. In contrast, when asked to rate their risk of upcoming job loss, people guessed it was about 14.5 percent — much closer to the actual job loss rate of 12.9 percent."

[...] "In 2019, according to a survey conducted by Gallup, about 64 percent of Americans believed that there was more crime in the U.S. than there was a year ago. It's a belief we've consistently held for decades now, but as you can see in the chart below, we've been, just as consistently, very wrong."

Like I said, more of the same, but might be worth a discussion.


Original Submission

 
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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @03:36PM (5 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @03:36PM (#1033469)

    Well, why do you just hang on his posterior, and let him talk through you?

  • (Score: 1, Troll) by Phoenix666 on Sunday August 09 2020, @01:16PM (4 children)

    by Phoenix666 (552) on Sunday August 09 2020, @01:16PM (#1033786) Journal

    Cheap shots are cheap, and require no insight or wit. The truly hilarious thing is trolls are too dull to realize that every time they troll, what they're really doing is flashing a giant neon sign about how low brow and torpid they themselves are.

    --
    Washington DC delenda est.
    • (Score: 1, Flamebait) by aristarchus on Sunday August 09 2020, @08:11PM (3 children)

      by aristarchus (2645) on Sunday August 09 2020, @08:11PM (#1033985) Journal

      every time they troll, what they're really doing is flashing a giant neon sign about how low brow and torpid they themselves are.

      A hit! A palpable hit! You have sore wounded me, Phoenix666! I am hurt very badly by your insinuation. But perhaps the weapon you wield has more than one edge?

      • (Score: 2) by Phoenix666 on Monday August 10 2020, @11:12AM (2 children)

        by Phoenix666 (552) on Monday August 10 2020, @11:12AM (#1034280) Journal

        I don't think of you as a troll, but does this mean you are self-identifying as one?

        --
        Washington DC delenda est.
        • (Score: 2) by aristarchus on Tuesday August 11 2020, @12:34AM (1 child)

          by aristarchus (2645) on Tuesday August 11 2020, @12:34AM (#1034639) Journal

          道可道,非常道

          The Troll that can be trolled is not really a troll.

          That trolling is a shameful thing, and that no one of sense would accept to be called ‘troll’, all are agreed; but what trolling is, and how many its species are, and whether there is an excellence of the troll, is unclear.

          Pseudo-Aristotle, On Trolling [cambridge.org].

          There was an aristarchus submission [soylentnews.org] on this?

          • (Score: 2) by Phoenix666 on Tuesday August 11 2020, @01:30PM

            by Phoenix666 (552) on Tuesday August 11 2020, @01:30PM (#1034890) Journal

            道可道,非常道

            老子死了.

            Being a foil, a critic, or even a wag is fine, but being a troll (intentionally) is a waste of time. Dishing out troll mods instead of responding sucks more. Discourse is the way, not silencing.

            --
            Washington DC delenda est.