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posted by martyb on Saturday August 08 2020, @11:27AM   Printer-friendly
from the is-crime-data-report-trustworthy? dept.

I imagine most people here already know the stats, it's nothing new, but I found it interesting to review.

Many Americans Are Convinced Crime Is Rising In The U.S. They're Wrong:

"People estimated their risks for a whole host of bad-news life events — robbery, burglary, job loss and losing their health insurance. But the survey didn't just ask respondents to rate their chances: It also asked whether those things had actually happened to them in the last year.

And that combination of questions revealed something important about American fear: We are terrible at estimating our risk of crime — much worse than we are at guessing the danger of other bad things. Across that decade, respondents put their chance of being robbed in the coming year at about 15 percent. Looking back, the actual rate of robbery was 1.2 percent. In contrast, when asked to rate their risk of upcoming job loss, people guessed it was about 14.5 percent — much closer to the actual job loss rate of 12.9 percent."

[...] "In 2019, according to a survey conducted by Gallup, about 64 percent of Americans believed that there was more crime in the U.S. than there was a year ago. It's a belief we've consistently held for decades now, but as you can see in the chart below, we've been, just as consistently, very wrong."

Like I said, more of the same, but might be worth a discussion.


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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @03:55PM (3 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @03:55PM (#1033479)

    Could you prepare a list of all the cities in the world that experience temperatures of -30 (did you mean F or C?) routinely? Most Americans these days think that it's cold when standing water gets a skimming of ice on it. Canadians aren't a lot different - the major cities in Canada, that is, the major population centers, are only a few degrees further north than Detroit and Chicago.

  • (Score: 2) by barbara hudson on Saturday August 08 2020, @05:24PM

    by barbara hudson (6443) <barbara.Jane.hudson@icloud.com> on Saturday August 08 2020, @05:24PM (#1033510) Journal
    Here in Montreal we get -30 in the winter, and it's cold on either scale. Throw in wind chill and it's pretty nasty. Fortunately, most of the real cold nights are in the -20 to -25 range, so cars start without much problem. Calgary and Edmonton are other major Canadian cities where it gets too damn cold. Toronto gets off easy - 2" of snow is a "major snowstorm ".

    The Europeans who first came to North America were not prepared for how cold it gets even in the north-eastern US. The Fahrenheit scale originally stopped at zero degrees because they couldn't imagine things getting colder than that. Increased travel proved that idea wrong. Winters are getting shorter and warmer overall, and summers hotter and longer. It's why you can now grow oranges in Vancouver, for example. But more people are dying of heat than cold already, and that's going to get worse.

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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @06:27PM (1 child)

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @06:27PM (#1033542)

    Could you prepare a list of all the cities in the world that experience temperatures of -30 (did you mean F or C?) routinely?

    Love it, man! Drown 'em in paperwork! Are you a lawyer?

    -30, F or C, (imagine Kelvin!) is damn cold! It's not routinely that cold south of Barrow, Alaska, but will get that cold in Springfield

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @10:00PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @10:00PM (#1033657)

      -30 Kelvin doesn't exist.