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posted by martyb on Saturday August 08 2020, @11:27AM   Printer-friendly
from the is-crime-data-report-trustworthy? dept.

I imagine most people here already know the stats, it's nothing new, but I found it interesting to review.

Many Americans Are Convinced Crime Is Rising In The U.S. They're Wrong:

"People estimated their risks for a whole host of bad-news life events — robbery, burglary, job loss and losing their health insurance. But the survey didn't just ask respondents to rate their chances: It also asked whether those things had actually happened to them in the last year.

And that combination of questions revealed something important about American fear: We are terrible at estimating our risk of crime — much worse than we are at guessing the danger of other bad things. Across that decade, respondents put their chance of being robbed in the coming year at about 15 percent. Looking back, the actual rate of robbery was 1.2 percent. In contrast, when asked to rate their risk of upcoming job loss, people guessed it was about 14.5 percent — much closer to the actual job loss rate of 12.9 percent."

[...] "In 2019, according to a survey conducted by Gallup, about 64 percent of Americans believed that there was more crime in the U.S. than there was a year ago. It's a belief we've consistently held for decades now, but as you can see in the chart below, we've been, just as consistently, very wrong."

Like I said, more of the same, but might be worth a discussion.


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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @05:01PM (4 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @05:01PM (#1033497)

    Yeah well, when your gun crimes stats go off the charts it's prooooobably not because of gun restrictions.

  • (Score: 4, Interesting) by Runaway1956 on Saturday August 08 2020, @06:41PM

    by Runaway1956 (2926) Subscriber Badge on Saturday August 08 2020, @06:41PM (#1033547) Journal

    Citations needed for "gun crimes go off the charts".

    1. The term "gun crime" is worthless, useless, misleading propaganda. The issue is CRIME, not "gun crime". Guns don't commit crimes. Criminals are happy to use a gun to commit a crime, but guns don't commit crimes.

    2. Just like crime is a far lesser problem than most Americans believe it to be, so-called "gun crimes" are a far lesser problem than Americans perceive them to be.

    For years, the CDC, SPLC, and others have hyped up "gun crime", to make you quiver in fear of guns. What does the FBI have to say on the subject?

    https://www.facebook.com/TippingPointonOAN/videos/fbi-gun-violence-stats/974775459341498/ [facebook.com]
    https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2018/crime-in-the-u.s.-2018/tables/expanded-homicide-data-table-8.xls [fbi.gov]

    If the gun lobby people were really interested in decreasing the number of people killed with firearms, they would simply STOP WORRYING about "assualt rifles" and concentrate on handguns. For every person killed with a rifle (of any sort) about 30 people are killed with a handgun.

  • (Score: 1) by hemocyanin on Saturday August 08 2020, @07:20PM (1 child)

    by hemocyanin (186) on Saturday August 08 2020, @07:20PM (#1033581) Journal

    Crimes are acts which are against the law. Lawful self-defense is not a crime and would have upward effect on crime stats.

  • (Score: 2) by Bot on Saturday August 08 2020, @09:37PM

    by Bot (3902) on Saturday August 08 2020, @09:37PM (#1033648) Journal

    Let's find a middle ground. Like, permitting guns and banning SSRIs https://thoughtcatalog.com/jeremy-london/2019/09/37-mass-shooters-who-were-on-antidepressants/ [thoughtcatalog.com]

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