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posted by martyb on Saturday August 08 2020, @11:27AM   Printer-friendly
from the is-crime-data-report-trustworthy? dept.

I imagine most people here already know the stats, it's nothing new, but I found it interesting to review.

Many Americans Are Convinced Crime Is Rising In The U.S. They're Wrong:

"People estimated their risks for a whole host of bad-news life events — robbery, burglary, job loss and losing their health insurance. But the survey didn't just ask respondents to rate their chances: It also asked whether those things had actually happened to them in the last year.

And that combination of questions revealed something important about American fear: We are terrible at estimating our risk of crime — much worse than we are at guessing the danger of other bad things. Across that decade, respondents put their chance of being robbed in the coming year at about 15 percent. Looking back, the actual rate of robbery was 1.2 percent. In contrast, when asked to rate their risk of upcoming job loss, people guessed it was about 14.5 percent — much closer to the actual job loss rate of 12.9 percent."

[...] "In 2019, according to a survey conducted by Gallup, about 64 percent of Americans believed that there was more crime in the U.S. than there was a year ago. It's a belief we've consistently held for decades now, but as you can see in the chart below, we've been, just as consistently, very wrong."

Like I said, more of the same, but might be worth a discussion.


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  • (Score: -1, Troll) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @06:21PM (4 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @06:21PM (#1033537)

    The crimes that are increasing are hillbillies with guns assaulting people, white jerk lawyers and spouses brandishing guns, and white supremacists attacking Americans exercising their First Amendment Rights. All the increase is crime is due to conservative right-wing nut-jobs, "standing their ground" because they are too scared to respond like a real human being, and that they have a gun. Oh, and they are refusing to wear a mask. Mad dogs, Crazy Karens, Runaway1956.

    Starting Score:    0  points
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  • (Score: 2) by Runaway1956 on Saturday August 08 2020, @07:23PM (3 children)

    by Runaway1956 (2926) Subscriber Badge on Saturday August 08 2020, @07:23PM (#1033583) Journal

    It isn't a crime to beat down Anonymous Cowards caught in the act of insulting and assaulting our intelligence.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @07:44PM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @07:44PM (#1033600)

      So fascism. I like all these admissions you keep making. Hope you can keep it in your pants so we don't have to go all WWII on y'all.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @08:11PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @08:11PM (#1033617)

        QOTD

        It was pity stayed his hand. "Pity I don't have any more bullets," thought Frito. -- _Bored_of_the_Rings_, a Harvard Lampoon parody of Tolkein

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @09:21PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @09:21PM (#1033641)

      It isn't a crime to beat down Anonymous Cowards caught in the act of insulting and assaulting our intelligence.

      What about a certain Runaway? Is it a crime to beat him down while "caught in the act of insulting and assaulting our intelligence"? Just asking.