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posted by martyb on Saturday August 08 2020, @11:27AM   Printer-friendly
from the is-crime-data-report-trustworthy? dept.

I imagine most people here already know the stats, it's nothing new, but I found it interesting to review.

Many Americans Are Convinced Crime Is Rising In The U.S. They're Wrong:

"People estimated their risks for a whole host of bad-news life events — robbery, burglary, job loss and losing their health insurance. But the survey didn't just ask respondents to rate their chances: It also asked whether those things had actually happened to them in the last year.

And that combination of questions revealed something important about American fear: We are terrible at estimating our risk of crime — much worse than we are at guessing the danger of other bad things. Across that decade, respondents put their chance of being robbed in the coming year at about 15 percent. Looking back, the actual rate of robbery was 1.2 percent. In contrast, when asked to rate their risk of upcoming job loss, people guessed it was about 14.5 percent — much closer to the actual job loss rate of 12.9 percent."

[...] "In 2019, according to a survey conducted by Gallup, about 64 percent of Americans believed that there was more crime in the U.S. than there was a year ago. It's a belief we've consistently held for decades now, but as you can see in the chart below, we've been, just as consistently, very wrong."

Like I said, more of the same, but might be worth a discussion.


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  • (Score: -1, Troll) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @06:44PM (3 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @06:44PM (#1033549)

    Hemo, we know you are scared, but that does not give you the right to lie. This is why you get modded troll. You either need to grow some ovaries, or start telling the truth.

    Starting Score:    0  points
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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @06:46PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @06:46PM (#1033555)

    Why grow an ovary, when we've got you around?

  • (Score: 2, Insightful) by hemocyanin on Saturday August 08 2020, @07:24PM (1 child)

    by hemocyanin (186) on Saturday August 08 2020, @07:24PM (#1033586) Journal

    So it's an ad hominem mod, not one based in substance. And you wonder why liberals look askance at the authoritarian left?

    • (Score: -1, Flamebait) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @08:08PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @08:08PM (#1033612)

      Remember, hemo, ad hominem is saying you are wrong because you are a frightened idiot. What we are saying here is that you are a frightened idiot because you are wrong. Not the same thing at all. So, just stop it, you coward!