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posted by martyb on Saturday August 08 2020, @11:27AM   Printer-friendly
from the is-crime-data-report-trustworthy? dept.

I imagine most people here already know the stats, it's nothing new, but I found it interesting to review.

Many Americans Are Convinced Crime Is Rising In The U.S. They're Wrong:

"People estimated their risks for a whole host of bad-news life events — robbery, burglary, job loss and losing their health insurance. But the survey didn't just ask respondents to rate their chances: It also asked whether those things had actually happened to them in the last year.

And that combination of questions revealed something important about American fear: We are terrible at estimating our risk of crime — much worse than we are at guessing the danger of other bad things. Across that decade, respondents put their chance of being robbed in the coming year at about 15 percent. Looking back, the actual rate of robbery was 1.2 percent. In contrast, when asked to rate their risk of upcoming job loss, people guessed it was about 14.5 percent — much closer to the actual job loss rate of 12.9 percent."

[...] "In 2019, according to a survey conducted by Gallup, about 64 percent of Americans believed that there was more crime in the U.S. than there was a year ago. It's a belief we've consistently held for decades now, but as you can see in the chart below, we've been, just as consistently, very wrong."

Like I said, more of the same, but might be worth a discussion.


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  • (Score: 2) by Runaway1956 on Saturday August 08 2020, @06:45PM (3 children)

    by Runaway1956 (2926) Subscriber Badge on Saturday August 08 2020, @06:45PM (#1033551) Journal

    Street value is usually about 1/10 the value of the weapon. Pawn shop value is only about 1/3 to 1/2 the value of the weapon, street value even lower. The exception is when an individual is looking for a murder weapon, or a gang is arming up for a gang war, then all bets are off. You might get $500 for a worthless cheap automatic pistol that sells for $200 anywhere in America.

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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @08:06PM (2 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 08 2020, @08:06PM (#1033608)

    Intrigues me how you know so much about criminal firearms sales. Hmm.

    • (Score: 2) by Bot on Saturday August 08 2020, @09:39PM (1 child)

      by Bot (3902) on Saturday August 08 2020, @09:39PM (#1033651) Journal

      Yeah he talks about guns almost as much as a leftist. That's suspect.

      --
      Account abandoned.
      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday August 10 2020, @03:59AM

        by Anonymous Coward on Monday August 10 2020, @03:59AM (#1034181)

        Everyone is suspect around there. Just about the only person I believe here anymore is when NCommander says something neat about computing.