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posted by martyb on Saturday August 08 2020, @11:27AM   Printer-friendly
from the is-crime-data-report-trustworthy? dept.

I imagine most people here already know the stats, it's nothing new, but I found it interesting to review.

Many Americans Are Convinced Crime Is Rising In The U.S. They're Wrong:

"People estimated their risks for a whole host of bad-news life events — robbery, burglary, job loss and losing their health insurance. But the survey didn't just ask respondents to rate their chances: It also asked whether those things had actually happened to them in the last year.

And that combination of questions revealed something important about American fear: We are terrible at estimating our risk of crime — much worse than we are at guessing the danger of other bad things. Across that decade, respondents put their chance of being robbed in the coming year at about 15 percent. Looking back, the actual rate of robbery was 1.2 percent. In contrast, when asked to rate their risk of upcoming job loss, people guessed it was about 14.5 percent — much closer to the actual job loss rate of 12.9 percent."

[...] "In 2019, according to a survey conducted by Gallup, about 64 percent of Americans believed that there was more crime in the U.S. than there was a year ago. It's a belief we've consistently held for decades now, but as you can see in the chart below, we've been, just as consistently, very wrong."

Like I said, more of the same, but might be worth a discussion.


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  • (Score: 2) by Runaway1956 on Saturday August 08 2020, @07:12PM

    by Runaway1956 (2926) Subscriber Badge on Saturday August 08 2020, @07:12PM (#1033572) Journal

    That troll mod didn't come from me.

    I'll point out that many of us have advocated reading your news from many news sources, around the world. Yes, they're all biased. Chinese news sources are going to hype Chinese policy, etc. But, if you're not reading any Chinese news, you're missing out on a lot of news.

    The trick is to balance all of it. Some incident in say - ohhh - Beirut. The Russians have a slant, the Chinese have their point of view, Iran has their own ideas, and Israel offers their perspective. And, mainstream United States media mostly babbles meaninglessly while Trump suggests that terrists done it.

    IMHO, Al Jazeera and Euro news sources nailed it early, and nailed it accurately: six years of negligence on the part of corrupt Beirut officials caused the blast. Add in a couple idiots at the port allowing welding operations to take place in proximity to flammables, which in turn were too damned close to the explosives. Big fucking boom, because no one could do their job properly.

    Starting Score:    1  point
    Karma-Bonus Modifier   +1  

    Total Score:   2