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posted by martyb on Saturday August 08 2020, @11:27AM   Printer-friendly
from the is-crime-data-report-trustworthy? dept.

I imagine most people here already know the stats, it's nothing new, but I found it interesting to review.

Many Americans Are Convinced Crime Is Rising In The U.S. They're Wrong:

"People estimated their risks for a whole host of bad-news life events — robbery, burglary, job loss and losing their health insurance. But the survey didn't just ask respondents to rate their chances: It also asked whether those things had actually happened to them in the last year.

And that combination of questions revealed something important about American fear: We are terrible at estimating our risk of crime — much worse than we are at guessing the danger of other bad things. Across that decade, respondents put their chance of being robbed in the coming year at about 15 percent. Looking back, the actual rate of robbery was 1.2 percent. In contrast, when asked to rate their risk of upcoming job loss, people guessed it was about 14.5 percent — much closer to the actual job loss rate of 12.9 percent."

[...] "In 2019, according to a survey conducted by Gallup, about 64 percent of Americans believed that there was more crime in the U.S. than there was a year ago. It's a belief we've consistently held for decades now, but as you can see in the chart below, we've been, just as consistently, very wrong."

Like I said, more of the same, but might be worth a discussion.


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  • (Score: 1) by hemocyanin on Saturday August 08 2020, @07:13PM (2 children)

    by hemocyanin (186) on Saturday August 08 2020, @07:13PM (#1033574) Journal

    From the Democratic inverse of Rush: https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/05/health/health-care-open-letter-protests-coronavirus-trnd/index.html [cnn.com]

    "We created the letter in response to emerging narratives that seemed to malign demonstrations as risky for the public health because of Covid-19," according to the letter writers, many of whom are part of the University of Washington's Division of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.
    "Instead, we wanted to present a narrative that prioritizes opposition to racism as vital to the public health, including the epidemic response. We believe that the way forward is not to suppress protests in the name of public health but to respond to protesters demands in the name of public health, thereby addressing multiple public health crises."

  • (Score: 1) by fustakrakich on Saturday August 08 2020, @10:08PM

    by fustakrakich (6150) on Saturday August 08 2020, @10:08PM (#1033658) Journal

    You will not topple them from their pedestal.

    --
    La politica e i criminali sono la stessa cosa..
  • (Score: 3, Insightful) by Phoenix666 on Sunday August 09 2020, @01:07PM

    by Phoenix666 (552) on Sunday August 09 2020, @01:07PM (#1033777) Journal

    Jesus, that's cynical, isn't it? They give themselves a free pass on protesting by categorizing it as a public health matter, and therefore co-equal to coronavirus. They have turned the hypocrisy dial to 11.

    --
    Washington DC delenda est.