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posted by cmn32480 on Saturday August 29 2015, @04:38AM   Printer-friendly
from the we-just-need-a-test-world-to-play-around-with dept.

From The Guardian

Those who reject the 97% expert consensus on human-caused global warming often invoke Galileo as an example of when the scientific minority overturned the majority view. In reality, climate contrarians have almost nothing in common with Galileo, whose conclusions were based on empirical scientific evidence, supported by many scientific contemporaries, and persecuted by the religious-political establishment. Nevertheless, there's a slim chance that the 2–3% minority is correct and the 97% climate consensus is wrong.

To evaluate that possibility, a new paper published in the journal of Theoretical and Applied Climatology examines a selection of contrarian climate science research and attempts to replicate their results.

Alas the results weren't good for that 3%...

Cherry picking was the most common characteristic they shared. We found that many contrarian research papers omitted important contextual information or ignored key data that did not fit the research conclusions.

The article also notes,

..there is no cohesive, consistent alternative theory to human-caused global warming. Some blame global warming on the sun, others on orbital cycles of other planets, others on ocean cycles, and so on. There is a 97% expert consensus on a cohesive theory that's overwhelmingly supported by the scientific evidence, but the 2–3% of papers that reject that consensus are all over the map, even contradicting each other. The one thing they seem to have in common is methodological flaws like cherry picking, curve fitting, ignoring inconvenient data, and disregarding known physics.

Link to published paper


Original Submission

 
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  • (Score: 4, Insightful) by MichaelDavidCrawford on Saturday August 29 2015, @05:37AM

    by MichaelDavidCrawford (2339) Subscriber Badge <mdcrawford@gmail.com> on Saturday August 29 2015, @05:37AM (#229341) Homepage Journal

    or ocean cycles, or the natural comings and goings of the ice ages.

    What are we going to do about it?

    At least if global warming were caused by human activity we could stop those activities.

    I don't see any arguments that the earth won't be uninhabitable for our grandchildren.

    --
    Yes I Have No Bananas. [gofundme.com]
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  • (Score: 5, Funny) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 29 2015, @05:48AM

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 29 2015, @05:48AM (#229344)

    I can assure you that global warming is caused by the Sun.

  • (Score: 2) by Gravis on Saturday August 29 2015, @06:30AM

    by Gravis (4596) on Saturday August 29 2015, @06:30AM (#229355)

    Suppose global warming were caused by the sun or ocean cycles, or the natural comings and goings of the ice ages.
    What are we going to do about it?

    we could try our hand at geo-engineering but it's an extreme measure that should only be tried when all other options are exhausted.

    I don't see any arguments that the earth won't be uninhabitable for our grandchildren.

    the earth with still be inhabitable but less pleasant and many animal species will go extinct. you seem to forget that humans can adapt to live in some of the harshest environments.

    we have people that live...
    - in Antarctica,
    - under the hole in the ozone in Austrailia
    - in big underwater metal tubes called submarines
    - in microgravity while flying around the planet at 17000 MPH
    - on the equator and get hit by hurricanes every year
    - in a pineapple under the sea

    Do not underestimate humans, we are Earth's mightiest super predators and we will do anything to survive.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 29 2015, @07:42AM

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 29 2015, @07:42AM (#229368)

      we could try our hand at geo-engineering but it's an extreme measure that should only be tried when all other options are exhausted.

      My personal favorite (most bang for buck) is adding iron dust to the Pacific ocean. It is the limiting nutrient over a huge area.

      • (Score: 2) by MichaelDavidCrawford on Saturday August 29 2015, @07:58AM

        by MichaelDavidCrawford (2339) Subscriber Badge <mdcrawford@gmail.com> on Saturday August 29 2015, @07:58AM (#229375) Homepage Journal

        I thought of that about a year ago. Good to know someone is looking into it.

        --
        Yes I Have No Bananas. [gofundme.com]
        • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 29 2015, @11:51AM

          by Anonymous Coward on Saturday August 29 2015, @11:51AM (#229401)

          I just saw your heading

          Scuttle container ships full of scrap iron

          That won't work. It is too deep and too calm, the stuff would just sit on the bottom.
          The best way is ionic iron already in solution. As an alternative, really finely ground iron oxide powder (rust). The main problem is spreading it. You need to spread 100,000 tons evenly over half the ocean surface.

  • (Score: 3, Insightful) by andersjm on Saturday August 29 2015, @07:57AM

    by andersjm (3931) on Saturday August 29 2015, @07:57AM (#229374)

    or ocean cycles, or the natural comings and goings of the ice ages.

    What are we going to do about it?

    If that were the case, then the best thing to do would be to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to counteract it.

  • (Score: 2) by MichaelDavidCrawford on Saturday August 29 2015, @09:24AM

    by MichaelDavidCrawford (2339) Subscriber Badge <mdcrawford@gmail.com> on Saturday August 29 2015, @09:24AM (#229392) Homepage Journal

    The wavelength of 60 Hz - or 50 Hz in Europe - Alternating Current is quite long, thousands of miles. This implies that it penetrates deep into the Earth, heating it.

    My father, a EE, once complained that buried power cables lose much of their electricity to absorption by the Earth.

    How much? Could this contribute significantly to global warming?

    --
    Yes I Have No Bananas. [gofundme.com]
    • (Score: 2, Informative) by khallow on Saturday August 29 2015, @11:15AM

      by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Saturday August 29 2015, @11:15AM (#229398) Journal
      Even if we used all the power we generated to heat the Earth, we would still contribute something like 1 part in 10,000 of the heating alleged to be due to human-produced greenhouse gases. The loss of power is easily quantifiable BTW. According to the US Energy Information Administration, 6% of power [eia.gov] in the US is lost due to transmission and distribution. This includes energy losses from electricity absorbed by the Earth.
      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday August 31 2015, @11:51PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Monday August 31 2015, @11:51PM (#230530)

        ...and the other 94% is lost when it reaches its intended load.

        Generally, the power used by Earthlings stays on Earth, with the exceptions of space lasers, and whatnot. Which part of the Earth gets heated probably doesn't matter much, holistically, unless we are starting to discuss how the temperature change affects the absorption of the sun's energy.