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posted by cmn32480 on Saturday August 29 2015, @04:38AM   Printer-friendly
from the we-just-need-a-test-world-to-play-around-with dept.

From The Guardian

Those who reject the 97% expert consensus on human-caused global warming often invoke Galileo as an example of when the scientific minority overturned the majority view. In reality, climate contrarians have almost nothing in common with Galileo, whose conclusions were based on empirical scientific evidence, supported by many scientific contemporaries, and persecuted by the religious-political establishment. Nevertheless, there's a slim chance that the 2–3% minority is correct and the 97% climate consensus is wrong.

To evaluate that possibility, a new paper published in the journal of Theoretical and Applied Climatology examines a selection of contrarian climate science research and attempts to replicate their results.

Alas the results weren't good for that 3%...

Cherry picking was the most common characteristic they shared. We found that many contrarian research papers omitted important contextual information or ignored key data that did not fit the research conclusions.

The article also notes,

..there is no cohesive, consistent alternative theory to human-caused global warming. Some blame global warming on the sun, others on orbital cycles of other planets, others on ocean cycles, and so on. There is a 97% expert consensus on a cohesive theory that's overwhelmingly supported by the scientific evidence, but the 2–3% of papers that reject that consensus are all over the map, even contradicting each other. The one thing they seem to have in common is methodological flaws like cherry picking, curve fitting, ignoring inconvenient data, and disregarding known physics.

Link to published paper


Original Submission

 
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  • (Score: 1, Insightful) by khallow on Saturday August 29 2015, @11:50AM

    by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Saturday August 29 2015, @11:50AM (#229400) Journal
    The funny thing is that the very first paper linked, the John Cook et al paper which supports the claim of "97%" in the story is a great example of research that can't be replicated unless you cut the same corners [forbes.com] the original researchers did. And the story writer wasn't even satisfied with the size of the disagreement, calling it a "2-3% minority".
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