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posted by mrpg on Saturday March 03 2018, @12:35PM   Printer-friendly
from the dont-do-it dept.

A study conducted by the MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research analysed revenue and costs for over 1100 Lyft and Uber drivers, with the conclusion that most earn below minimum wage for their state and about 30% actually lose money when all the costs of owning and operating their vehicles are taken into account.

"A Median driver generates $0.59 per mile of driving, and incurs costs of $0.30 per mile", "On an hourly basis, the median profit was $3.37 per hour".

Because actual vehicle operating costs are significantly lower than the IRS allowance of $0.54/mile, many drivers report incomes that are substantially lower that their actual incomes, leading to a large pool of untaxed income (although it is small for each driver).

Techcrunch has a summary


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  • (Score: -1, Flamebait) by Ethanol-fueled on Saturday March 03 2018, @01:20PM (2 children)

    by Ethanol-fueled (2792) on Saturday March 03 2018, @01:20PM (#647033) Homepage

    Buncha goddamn Jews. FU\uck them.

    • (Score: -1, Offtopic) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @02:05PM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @02:05PM (#647045)
      Then how do you explain MIT hanging Aaron Swartz out to dry? That goes against the stereotype of banding together and helping eachother advance.
      • (Score: -1, Offtopic) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @02:09PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @02:09PM (#647046)

        Did the women scream because the man grinned, or did the man grin because the women screamed? Regardless of how much scholars investigated this matter, they never arrived at an answer.

        What was certain, however, was that the woman whose corpse the man just tossed into a dumpster would not be missed; it was truly a victory for men's rights.

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @02:01PM (3 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @02:01PM (#647041)

    Ive noticed that as more and more data analysis is reported via blog posts and code/data shared on sites like github, the more negative my outlook for these academic studies. Its seems like I can never get to the raw data and code to replicate it myself, the paper has superfluous BS added in but is missing a clear explanation of the assumptions, is behind a paywall, etc. For example, in this case I saw 'MIT study' and so didnt bother to click the link. If instead something had indicated free and open data analysis I would have done so.

    • (Score: 4, Interesting) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @02:36PM (2 children)

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @02:36PM (#647057)

      I'll ask again -- can we have a bot (or something) that auto-re-submits articles at some time in the future? In this case, in 6 months--

      This link suggests that the full paper will be available, just not yet,
          http://ceepr.mit.edu/publications/working-papers/681 [mit.edu]
      Clicking on the "Full Paper" link pops up this message:

      For Sponsors Only

      As a benefit to our Associates, the latest Working Papers are embargoed for a period of up to six months before becoming accessible to the public. If you are interested in becoming an Associate or learning more about the benefits of sponsorship, please click here.

      This page http://ceepr.mit.edu/about [mit.edu] says that,
      > CEEPR is jointly sponsored at MIT by the MIT Energy Initiative (MITEI), the Department of Economics, and the Sloan School of Management. Financial support comes from a variety of sources, including state and federal government research funds, foundation grants and contributions from our corporate and government Associates (see Support).

      This is like the MIT Media Lab funding model where (as I understand it) the sponsors fund the lab as a whole, not specific research. In exchange, sponsors have early access to results from the whole lab.

      How does this compare to the German model where university research and staffing are often closely tied to corporate research labs (at least in engineering areas that I'm familiar with)?

      • (Score: 1) by tftp on Saturday March 03 2018, @09:33PM

        by tftp (806) on Saturday March 03 2018, @09:33PM (#647277) Homepage
        Configure a web page watcher to that url. When it changes you get an email. Then you can post.
      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday March 04 2018, @08:02AM

        by Anonymous Coward on Sunday March 04 2018, @08:02AM (#647548)

        I'll ask again -- can we have a bot (or something) that auto-re-submits articles at some time in the future? In this case, in 6 months--

        That's an awesome idea! Grab the sources [github.com] and let us know when you've finished writing the new feature.

        Soylentils are amazing. Thanks for offering to write it. You go, girlfriend!

  • (Score: 2) by Grishnakh on Saturday March 03 2018, @02:35PM (31 children)

    by Grishnakh (2831) on Saturday March 03 2018, @02:35PM (#647055)

    If it were really *that* unprofitable to drive for Uber/Lyft, why would anyone still be doing it? Workers can't work almost for free and still pay their rent; eventually the house of cards collapses. This seems pretty suspicious. Also, Uber/Lyft aren't *that* much cheaper than regular cabs (perhaps half as much at times, certainly not by an order of magnitude), and with cabs the driver doesn't normally own and maintain the car, and still makes an apparently decent paycheck. If Uber/Lyft were really such a bad deal, it wouldn't be as popular for drivers as it is.

    • (Score: 2, Informative) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @02:38PM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @02:38PM (#647058)

      second reference in the pdf linked in tfa:

      McGee C (2017) Only 4 percent of Uber drivers remain after a year says report. URL:
      https://www.cnbc.com/2017/04/20/only-4-percent-of-uber-drivers-remain-after-a-year-says-report.html [cnbc.com]

      • (Score: 1, Informative) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @03:11PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @03:11PM (#647074)

        This goes to another link which is partly hidden behind a website subscription,
            https://www.theinformation.com/articles/how-uber-will-combat-rising-driver-churn [theinformation.com] (I didn't give them my email address).

        Visible at the bottom of "theinformation" page is this line:
        Correction: A prior version of this article said about 4% of people who sign up for an Uber driver account still drive for Uber one year later. It’s roughly 3%.

    • (Score: 1, Insightful) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @03:00PM (2 children)

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @03:00PM (#647068)

      Because the real minimum wage is $0, always has been, always will be. In light of that, $3.50 is greater than $0, and if you already have the vehicle it's gonna cost you in upkeep anyways.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @03:07PM (1 child)

        by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @03:07PM (#647071)

        I don't think anyone would get out of bed for a penny per hour.

    • (Score: 5, Interesting) by canopic jug on Saturday March 03 2018, @05:11PM (11 children)

      by canopic jug (3949) Subscriber Badge on Saturday March 03 2018, @05:11PM (#647137) Journal

      If it were really *that* unprofitable to drive for Uber/Lyft, why would anyone still be doing it? Workers can't work almost for free and still pay their rent;

      No. They can't pay their rent doing that. However, many of them can't (or won't) do math either.

      They used to do something similar to pizza drivers in the US and people still fell for it even back then when the education was much better. Back in the day, one friend bragged about getting a fairly high paying pizza delivery job because he had is own car. I talked him into doing a cost-benefit analysis, taking into account the cost of fuel, and we saw quickly that he'd be losing a lot of money on the deal and depending on heavy tips to break even. Amortizing maintenance costs per hour driven cut into the tips noticeably as well. Needless to say there were better, far more fun ways to go broke so he quit that day.

      --
      Money is not free speech. Elections should not be auctions.
      • (Score: 3, Insightful) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @05:52PM (5 children)

        by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @05:52PM (#647153)

        If you need any evidence of people doing things because they can't do the math and get dazzled by the exceptions, just look at how many MLM schemes there are.

        • (Score: 3, Informative) by bzipitidoo on Saturday March 03 2018, @06:52PM (3 children)

          by bzipitidoo (4388) on Saturday March 03 2018, @06:52PM (#647186) Journal

          Or look at farming. Farmers have been squeezed for decades, forced to get bigger and bigger. You can't justify a million dollars worth of state of the art farm equipment without a lot of acreage to farm. You can't work crops a measly 2 or 4 rows at a time any more, like you could 50 years ago. You'll lose money if you try it. Lot of farmers did just that. Spend $100,000 on seed, plant and grow and harvest the crops, and at the end of it all, get $105,000, or maybe $95,000, or less, depending on the commodity prices. And they'd extend their loans and try again next year, hoping for better prices. Eventually, when they have nothing more to put up as collateral, the bank won't loan them any more and they have to quit. Yes, most farmers were bad at finance. Banks too sometimes got burned. Land values could collapse any time, and then suddenly the collateral isn't enough to cover the loans.

          There was a joke about a farmer who won the lottery. When asked what he would do with the money he said he'd just farm until it was all gone.

          Anyway, there's more to this financial ineptitude than mere lack of math skills. It seems more a mental issue. People engaging in wishful thinking, refusing to see that their fantastic idea isn't a goldmine, or even novel. And refusing to do the math, rather than inability. They don't want to know.

          • (Score: 3, Interesting) by HiThere on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:29PM (1 child)

            by HiThere (866) Subscriber Badge on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:29PM (#647213) Journal

            That's not as much of a joke as you think. My grandfather wanted to be a farmer, but would work as a licensed electrician for a few years every decade to build up a nest-egg that he would slowly deplete by farming. He knew he couldn't earn a living farming, but he liked it a lot better than being an electrician. (I, OTOH, never liked farming. It involves an incredible amount of hard physical work, getting up very early, being out on cold, rainy weather, and it's boring. But *he* liked it. And so does at least one of my brothers. Who also doesn't quite break even, and knows that he can't quite break even. If he had a good well he could probably break even, but not turn a profit. OTOH, because they both knew they couldn't break even, they didn't go into debt and get saddled with loans.)

            --
            Javascript is what you use to allow unknown third parties to run software you have no idea about on your computer.
            • (Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Saturday March 03 2018, @09:53PM

              by JoeMerchant (3937) on Saturday March 03 2018, @09:53PM (#647283)

              People enjoy driving, it's why over-the-road truck drivers will work for poverty level compensation.

              Some people enjoy working with kids and virtually volunteer as teachers' aides in the elementary schools - and that's fine for them.

              If Uber drivers enjoy what they do and know that it's screwing them financially then that's fine, let them drive because they enjoy meeting random strangers in random places at random times on an on-call basis and driving them where they want to go. It can be interesting, even exciting sometimes...

              The problem is that a lot of people will see the short term paycheck and think they're making a living when instead they're actually digging themselves into debt... so that's where fact-based education needs to come in and help those who might not be thinking long-term for themselves.

              When somebody declares bankruptcy, the rest of the world that hasn't declared bankruptcy gets to pick up their tab. I'd rather not be picking up the tabs of any happily deluded Uber drivers, or similarly deceived workers at minimal net-gain jobs.

              --
              🌻🌻 [google.com]
          • (Score: 3, Interesting) by canopic jug on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:27PM

            by canopic jug (3949) Subscriber Badge on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:27PM (#647254) Journal

            Or look at farming. Farmers have been squeezed for decades, forced to get bigger and bigger.

            From my understanding that is because of the tax breaks and other subsidies for large farms.

            If things are left to the market, without subsidies, then the smaller farms turn out to be more efficient at production. However, at least in some areas there is the problem of real estate speculation and farmers get taxed as if they were sitting on an office park or large residential neighborhood. Then in pretty much all areas, due to population pressure, farms that do get sold end up priced as if they were going to be used as office parks or residential neighborhoods. That puts the new farmer in terrible debt from day 0.

            Soil and microclimates are not fungible commodities. There are very, very good reasons that farmsteads were staked out on specific plots, especially during the last centuries when dynamite and machines became available. However, gone is gone [scientificamerican.com] and even if one day people figure out that you can't eat money they won't have anything to work with or on.

            Maybe rockwool and hydroponics will feed the oligarchs and their immediate support system. Maybe not. The book, Make Room! Make Room! [wikipedia.org], and not the movie based on it, is too depressing because in the 50+ years since its publication it has become less and less like science fiction. In some ways the book is too optimistic and doesn't have terminator seeds and monsanto politics.

            --
            Money is not free speech. Elections should not be auctions.
        • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:09PM

          by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:09PM (#647201)

          Are you suggesting the the way Betsy DeVoss made her money is what contributes to Americans being unable to do math, and figure out that Uber is a scam?

          Uber School: have a living room that is empty during the day? Can you read?
          Uber Laundry: amortize your appliances!
          Uber Barber!
          Uber Opioids.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:06PM (2 children)

        by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:06PM (#647198)

        They used to do something similar to pizza drivers in the US and people still fell for it even back then when the education was much better.

        I fondly remember the time when the US school system was ever so slightly better than the abomination we have now. There was slightly less rote memorization and less useless standardized testing! Wow! What a grand system it was for creating worker drones.

        • (Score: 2) by Grishnakh on Sunday March 04 2018, @02:28AM (1 child)

          by Grishnakh (2831) on Sunday March 04 2018, @02:28AM (#647425)

          I went through the US school system in the 80s and very early 90s. It was a complete abomination back then, and that was ~30 years ago now. If it ever wasn't an abomination, it must have been well before I was born.

          • (Score: 2) by canopic jug on Sunday March 04 2018, @11:05AM

            by canopic jug (3949) Subscriber Badge on Sunday March 04 2018, @11:05AM (#647580) Journal

            it must have been well before I was born.

            I think it was only a little before your time. "Reaganomics" had a swift, negative effect on the US schools. Talking with people that went through those schools in the 1970s or earlier gives me the impression that while not great they were acceptable. Of course some particular schools stood out noticeably on either end of the curve. However, the average seemed to have good results. The defund-sabotage-privatize tactics, with the accompanying PR smears, really only started with Reagan and have only ramped up since then. There's so many ways that causes trouble that many dissertations could be written on that.

            However, way earlier, it was possible, if one had ambition and the opportunity to later move, to start out in a one room school and rise high up in research or industry. A long since deceased older colleague of someone I know who was himself born in the 30's went to a one room school and still became a top researcher and academic. The teacher at his school had replaced the desk with his bed and would lie in it the whole day and direct the classroom with the help of a buggy whip. Apparently he could zap with extreme precision and reach every single student at their desk if they got out of line or made an incorrect answer. It was possible to learn. But unlike today rather than metaphorically beating the learning out of students it was beaten into them, sometimes physically. In these times corporeal punishment is avoidable but what needs to be revived is the focus on learning.

            In a different state, another, who was a joker to his dying day, did very well in small business despite having gone to a one room school. One of his best pranks was long running. He told that he and his friends made up a story about another kid who was too far away to do the daily walk to school. So they arranged with their teacher to bring extra homework and tests home to the imaginary student. By graduation time, the imaginary student had gotten his diploma with the minimal passing grade and the teacher gave it to this joker and his friend to bring to the imaginary student. Either the teacher was aware of what they were doing and went along with the prank or was really into getting the students to learn. I mention it only because I'd like to think it was the latter based on the small handful I knew of from that school.

            It's not going to come back on its own however. Some push is needed to bring that goal-oriented teaching back. Defunding and demeaning the teachers [newsok.com] while burying them in irrelevant paperwork [commondreams.org] is not going to do that.

            --
            Money is not free speech. Elections should not be auctions.
      • (Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:09PM (1 child)

        by JoeMerchant (3937) on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:09PM (#647244)

        The pizza driver example is one way for a kid to siphon money out of their parents via the car their parents pay for...

        --
        🌻🌻 [google.com]
        • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @11:43PM

          by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @11:43PM (#647335)

          Mining cryptocurrency involves less work though... ;)

    • (Score: 5, Informative) by Thexalon on Saturday March 03 2018, @06:21PM (4 children)

      by Thexalon (636) on Saturday March 03 2018, @06:21PM (#647163)

      I can think of lots of reasons why an Uber/Lyft driver will do it, even though the wages suck so much:
      1. The $3.37 per hour in their calculations for an Uber/Lyft driver is higher than the "tipped minimum wage". A not totally uncommon occurrence is restaurant and hotel management stealing the tips from their own employees. But why don't the employees that are being robbed by their bosses quit? Very simply, because the only alternative they see is not working at all, and they can't afford that option.

      2. They don't understand asset depreciation, so from their point of view the profits are simply "Pay + tips - gas", not "Pay + tips - gas - cost of car mileage". This makes the pay seem substantially higher than it is.

      3. People can drive for Uber/Lyft with criminal records that will prevent them from getting other legitimate jobs, and also bars them from most government assistance. For example, I know somebody with a misdemeanor assault on her record, and that's enough that she can't get a regular job, so she drives for Lyft to earn money for rent, utilities, and groceries. When your alternative is starving, street hustling a la Eric Garner, or becoming a career criminal, driving for Lyft seems like a good idea.

      4. People can also drive for Uber/Lyft without drug testing. Your driver may be a pothead who is either unable or unwilling to "study for their drug test".

      --
      The only thing that stops a bad guy with a compiler is a good guy with a compiler.
      • (Score: 3, Insightful) by dry on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:17PM (2 children)

        by dry (223) on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:17PM (#647209) Journal

        The land of the free, where doing one stupid thing or even using certain plants, is enough to never have a proper job again.

        • (Score: 2) by Thexalon on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:29PM (1 child)

          by Thexalon (636) on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:29PM (#647214)

          And the actual story of the friend with the misdemeanor assault is much worse than that: She was found guilty of an assault she never committed. Her ex-husband had, unbeknownst to her, hired her roommate and the roommate's boyfriend to frame her. Their initial scheme was to have the ex-husband send harassing text messages to the roommate and blame it on my friend. This failed, because the police were unable to connect the text messages in any way to my friend. 1 hour after the roommate and her accomplice learned this from the police, they switched to plan B: The boyfriend blocked my friend from leaving, pinned her up against the wall, gave her a black eye and a few other bruises, and when my friend scratched him to defend herself, the roommate called the cops and blamed my friend for starting it. 2 people's word against 1, and a bumbling lawyer in his first trial (he had not informed my friend of this) who somehow was unable to bring the substantial evidence that this is what had happened into the trial, was enough to convince a jury that a 110-pound woman had assaulted a 4-time felon twice her size for absolutely no reason.

          Why did the ex do all this, you ask? Because he thought her criminal record would help him take full custody of their child.

          --
          The only thing that stops a bad guy with a compiler is a good guy with a compiler.
          • (Score: 2) by dry on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:07PM

            by dry (223) on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:07PM (#647243) Journal

            The miscarriage of justice is shitty too, along with all the people who are pretty much forced to plead guilty rather then take the lottery of being convicted for worse. Still seems like a minor crime to be banned from having a regular job again. Most people have screwed up at one time. Shit, I ended up in jail for a month when I was young and generally it doesn't affect my employment chances. I also often have a joint before bed, without worries because it is generally illegal here to do drug tests and I'm not using heavy machinery.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday March 04 2018, @02:17AM

        by Anonymous Coward on Sunday March 04 2018, @02:17AM (#647418)

        not totally uncommon

        double negatives don't always not sucks.

    • (Score: 5, Interesting) by istartedi on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:04PM

      by istartedi (123) on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:04PM (#647195) Journal

      It works for a while because they're trashing their vehicle. Think of it as equity extraction. It's a smaller scale version of taking out an equity line on your house and living high off the hog; but then when it runs out you're homeless.

      If you just got laid off, you can drive people around in your late model car and get very high ratings; but you can't afford to buy a comparable vehicle when the existing one starts to have mechanical issues.

      I had this conversation with my sister a while ago, and pointed that out. She insisted that her friend was making good money. Out-of-pocket, he probably was but I'm sure his ride was racking up the miles.

      I learned all of this a long time ago when I did package delivery as a contractor in the late 80s. I was able to do it with a used car that was $5000 when I first possessed it. The delivery company didn't car too much about looks, as long as the car ran. A big part of my life was aggressive oil changes and maintenance. I kept it running right and was able to take it back to school; but shortly after I graduated that puppy was whipped.

      Even starting with a used car and not factoring in depreciation, I realized I was making minimum. The smartest thing I did was to actually pay my self-employment tax. That got me quarters for Social Security. I've run into people who don't have enough quarters yet, and they're in their 40s or even 50s sweating about what will happen. Even minimum wage quarters are better than zeros or really low numbers from some "biz". As an aside, I'm given to understand that the IRS and even Social Security may not even care if you dealt drugs to make the money. Just pay your taxes, pay into the system, and you'll do better in the long run; but I digress.

      The MIT analysis makes sense to me at a gut level, although I haven't actually checked their numbers.

      --
      Appended to the end of comments you post. Max: 120 chars.
    • (Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:57PM

      by JoeMerchant (3937) on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:57PM (#647236)

      If it were really *that* unprofitable to drive for Uber/Lyft, why would anyone still be doing it?

      Because people are not smart about long term repercussions, like depreciation of a vehicle.

      Also, Uber/Lyft aren't *that* much cheaper than regular cabs

      Also, Uber/Lyft owner/drivers aren't nearly as cost-efficient at operating their vehicles as regular professionally maintained fleets of dedicated taxi cabs.

      Lower income + higher costs makes the 30% overall loser result very believable.

      If Uber/Lyft were really such a bad deal, it wouldn't be as popular for drivers as it is.

      Based on what? Think of someone you know with an IQ of 100, now take a moment to consider that half the people in the world are stupider than that. It's not surprising at all that 30% of Uber/Lyft drivers are net-losers, especially with all the stories that circulate about how nice and new the cars are as compared to taxi cabs.

      --
      🌻🌻 [google.com]
    • (Score: 2) by mrpg on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:19PM (2 children)

      by mrpg (5708) <{mrpg} {at} {soylentnews.org}> on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:19PM (#647251) Homepage
      I'll hijack this to talk about lottery. It's unprofitable to buy lottery but people do it. Why? I think due to this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_bias [wikipedia.org]

      A cognitive bias is a systematic pattern of deviation from norm or rationality in judgment.[1] Individuals create their own "subjective social reality" from their perception of the input. An individual's construction of social reality, not the objective input, may dictate their behaviour in the social world.[2] Thus, cognitive biases may sometimes lead to perceptual distortion, inaccurate judgment, illogical interpretation, or what is broadly called irrationality.[3][4][5]

      They think someday they'll win. If they buy 14 and it draws 15 they see it as being close.
      If they buy 23 and it draws 32 they see it as being close. And people don't use a ledger for their lottery.

      Thank you, bye.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday March 04 2018, @12:10AM (1 child)

        by Anonymous Coward on Sunday March 04 2018, @12:10AM (#647351)

        Buying a lottery actually makes more sense if your goal is to get really really rich. For a lot of people it's the best chance for them to have a 100+ million dollars in their lifetime. So if that's your goal then I'd say it's worth a shot. Tons of people spend more on lattes and the odds of them getting 100+ million from that are even lower ;).

        How many poor people in the USA could _work_ their way up to a 100 million dollars? And what are the odds of that happening if they're not one of those with the aptitude and the "energy"? There are some people who can work two jobs but there are many people who'd fall sick if they tried that. In contrast buying a lottery ticket doesn't involve quite as much hard work.
        And there certainly are a number of jackpot winners per year: https://www.powerball.com/winner-stories/jackpot/10 [powerball.com]
        So in contrast how many people per year join the 100+ million dollars group who have achieved it by working hard from poverty? How many have worked hard to try the same thing and never succeeded in their lifetime?

        There are many poor people who slog their way up into lower middle class and then their kids reap the rewards. But that's far from the same thing.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @11:05PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @11:05PM (#647322)

      I'm dubious

      Yes, you are a dubious one.
      I doubt anyone here can't see it, though, so why state the obvious?

      (grin)

    • (Score: 2) by tekk on Sunday March 04 2018, @02:16AM

      by tekk (5704) Subscriber Badge on Sunday March 04 2018, @02:16AM (#647417)

      A big thing is that the costs are largely invisible. If I'm driving for Lyft, the only immediate cost I see is the gas money, but what actually bites you is the increased wear on your car. Driving for them would be far more profitable if you had a throwaway car, used some beat up old thing on its last legs to squeeze a few extra dollars out of it and then when it dies you're done.

    • (Score: 2, Interesting) by sonamchauhan on Sunday March 04 2018, @02:54AM

      by sonamchauhan (6546) on Sunday March 04 2018, @02:54AM (#647443)

      Perhaps because VC money is truly subsidising operations (i.e., they are upping payments to drivers to stop them quitting).

      https://qz.com/967474/the-on-demand-economy-is-a-bubble-and-its-about-to-burst/ [qz.com]

      Uber runs out of money in a year. It's signed a deal to buy 24,000 Volvo SUVs for $1 billion, to be delivered in 2019. The plan is humans drive them first, then they add sensors and software to convert them to driverless models and fire the drivers. No drivers = no payments to drivers = profit!!!

      They're betting the tech will be ready by then.

      BTW, they also have this bright long-term vision to expropriate taxpayer-built roads in cities:

      https://www.gizmodo.com.au/2018/02/uber-and-lyft-have-a-hot-new-idea-for-screwing-over-city-dwellers/ [gizmodo.com.au]
      "WE SUPPORT THAT AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES (AVS) IN DENSE URBAN AREAS SHOULD BE OPERATED ONLY IN SHARED FLEETS."

    • (Score: 2) by All Your Lawn Are Belong To Us on Monday March 05 2018, @03:50PM

      by All Your Lawn Are Belong To Us (6553) on Monday March 05 2018, @03:50PM (#648006) Journal

      Yes. People will. Because if they *think* they'll make money at it they'll try it. They'll learn differently and quit, but a whole new crop of people will be there the next day - people with either free time or people who are desperate.

      When I worked as a cab driver in a very small (not urban) population, I just barely kept my head above water. I loved it - I'd do it for the rest of my life if it were profitable. But it wasn't. What is missing in the study above is how ride-hailing compares to conventional taxi services for sustainability.

      Consider Multi-Level-Marketing. [wikipedia.org] 99% of people who join one will NOT make any money at it at all. Yet Amway still exists [cmu.edu], people still think they can make money at it, despite knowledge to the contrary [finance-guy.net].

      Finally, bear in mind that just because it is overall unprofitable to participants does not mean there aren't drivers who do make money at it. Some will. Just like some people in the up-line really do make money with Amway. Just not enough, apparently, and one can question whether it is therefore societally worthwhile to allow the service to exist. (That's not a "no," just that the question should be asked.)

      --
      This sig for rent.
  • (Score: 2) by Runaway1956 on Saturday March 03 2018, @04:22PM (5 children)

    by Runaway1956 (2926) Subscriber Badge on Saturday March 03 2018, @04:22PM (#647112) Journal

    It costs $.30 per mile to operate a typical Uber vehicle? Really? That includes purchase cost, fuel, all maintenance (including wash/wax/detail) insurance, TTL, EVERYTHING? Tolls on tollroads? Self employment taxes? Seriously, dig deep, and add it all up. What is the median insurance rate? Does Uber cover any of that? Are all of these drivers really for sure insured, or do their insurance companies believe that the cars are "privately owned, private use"? The laws are quite different for vehicles for hire, and the insurance is very different.

    I strongly suspect that $.30/mile is a very low figure. Sure, if you're driving a fifteen year old vehicle that is in excellent condition, and you owe nothing on it, you don't have things like depreciation eating you up. If you're driving a new car, you need to depreciate with every mile driven. Those in-between cars? Mehh - it will get complicated pretty quickly. Bottom line - if your car dies, what does it cost to replace it, and how long will it take to pay for it at Uber rates?

    And, of course, it needs to be noted that you're not going to drive very long if your car is such a POS that nobody wants to ride in it. Even well maintained ten year old cars may be objectionable to a lot of potential customers.

    • (Score: 2) by Grishnakh on Saturday March 03 2018, @04:53PM (2 children)

      by Grishnakh (2831) on Saturday March 03 2018, @04:53PM (#647133)

      10 years old for a car isn't that old these days: lots of cars are at least that old, and still look great. Styling hasn't changed that much in the last 10-15 years; it's not like the 50s-70s where styling was changing fast and cars were falling apart in 50k miles. Now it's not unusual to see a nice Japanese car with 150k miles still driving like new. You can go buy a pretty nice 10yo car now for a few thousand dollars cash that still works great, and if you can do your own maintenance and repairs, it's really dirt cheap to operate a vehicle like that, as the parts are cheap (just don't buy a German car).

      I do wonder, however, how many of these Uber/Lyft drivers are properly insured, and how many simply don't tell their insurance. Your probability of having a crash aren't all *that* high, so it's quite possible many are just skating by without their insurance companies agreeing to or knowing of their commercial usage.

      As for being "objectionable", those customers should be using one of the higher-tier services like Uber Black. You're not guaranteed to get a really new car with the regular services.

      • (Score: 1, Informative) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @05:46PM (1 child)

        by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @05:46PM (#647149)

        There is a CPM calculator here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1RjLsjD9JHDFyLw2J0HHE6_7dEyLuqn8K0E8U5vR-dRc [google.com] where you can crunch the numbers yourself.

        But to your insurance question, Uber and Lyft have insurance for the drivers while on the clock. They are notorious for sticking drivers in three ways: First is that their coverage is contingent, which means that any accident results in cross-insurer arbitration and that can take forever. Second is that they only cover you when you are on the clock and it is your job to prove you were on the clock, which gives them the opportunity to weasel out of it. Third is the duty to mitigate, they argue that you should have avoided the route or done something different, such as not driven at all when waiting for a ride, etc.

        • (Score: 2) by All Your Lawn Are Belong To Us on Monday March 05 2018, @03:55PM

          by All Your Lawn Are Belong To Us (6553) on Monday March 05 2018, @03:55PM (#648010) Journal

          And Fourth, when/if your personal driving insurance catches a whiff that you're Uber/Lyft driving without having told them (which must occur in an accident), your coverage there - the one that having your vehicle licensed depends on - can be retroactively dropped from that point for failure to tell them you're operating your vehicle commercially which puts you in a different risk class.

          --
          This sig for rent.
    • (Score: 1) by khallow on Saturday March 03 2018, @05:44PM

      by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Saturday March 03 2018, @05:44PM (#647147) Journal

      It costs $.30 per mile to operate a typical Uber vehicle?

      What's surprising about that? Get a vehicle that does well over 30 MPG, has good reliability (in particular, low maintenance costs), is already heavily depreciated because it is several years old, and a reasonable commercial insurance policy. The rest is just minor costs for a high mileage driver - or paid for by the passenger (toll roads). And if you're not a high mileage driver, only come out when fares are higher.

    • (Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:06PM

      by JoeMerchant (3937) on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:06PM (#647242)

      Well, according to the summary the net income after the standard $0.54/mile deduction is quite low, so self-employment taxes are equally low.

      I do believe that a smartly purchased, efficient, used vehicle can be overall operated for $0.30 per mile, and the smarter Uber/Lyft drivers are doing that.

      I also believe that there are Uber/Lyft drivers out there in new-purchased Lexus and similarly high depreciation, low efficiency vehicles who are actually spending net more than $0.54 per mile on their "premium" service, but it makes them feel good to be delivering a "premium" service for an extra buck or two and that feels like they are getting compensated for their higher expenses, even though they aren't even coming close.

      Do these drivers all do their own maintenance, or are they paying a dealer 5x as much, or an independent mechanic 3x as much, to do it for them?

      Uber/Lyft are exploiting weaknesses in the mass psychology of immediate reward vs. deferred expenses. Some Libtard can follow-up their "minimum wage jobs are just for training, or pocket money for kids who live with their parents" with something about Uber/Lyft being an "opportunity for people to extract some of the value tied up in their vehicle while they are between jobs." If we all had a UBI sufficient to pay for basic food, shelter and healthcare, I might tend to agree, I might even tend to agree to abolishing minimum wage - but only after everyone's basic needs are met.

      --
      🌻🌻 [google.com]
  • (Score: 3, Interesting) by epitaxial on Saturday March 03 2018, @06:50PM (6 children)

    by epitaxial (3165) on Saturday March 03 2018, @06:50PM (#647185)

    If the wages are so terrible why do so many people drive for them?

    • (Score: 2) by Nuke on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:53PM

      by Nuke (3162) on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:53PM (#647233)

      If the wages are so terrible why do so many people drive for them?

      Read the earler posts.

    • (Score: 3, Informative) by julian on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:05PM (3 children)

      by julian (6003) Subscriber Badge on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:05PM (#647241)

      Churn. Uber is always cycling through new drivers because it doesn't take long to figure out the pay sucks for most people. It's also still a relatively new industry, or at least a new spin on an old industry, so there's still plenty of people willing to give it a shot. Eventually they are going to run out of rubes as word spreads about how terrible the pay really is. Prices will then go up, and will probably be higher than a traditional cab company. Uber can't leverage the economy of scale that comes from centralizing maintenance of all those vehicles.

      • (Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:12PM (2 children)

        by JoeMerchant (3937) on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:12PM (#647248)

        P.T. Barnum covered this: "There's a sucker born every minute."

        --
        🌻🌻 [google.com]
        • (Score: 2) by julian on Saturday March 03 2018, @09:17PM (1 child)

          by julian (6003) Subscriber Badge on Saturday March 03 2018, @09:17PM (#647272)

          I don't know where the equilibrium point will finally settle at. Uber needs to constantly recruit new drivers to replace the ones who get burnt out after a short period of time, but the world is only birthing so many "suckers" every year. There's a large and ever increasing supply, but it's not infinite. Given that Uber has yet to be profitable for even a single quarter, they're operating on borrowed time--not to mention money. Prices will have to go up sooner or later.

          • (Score: 2) by leftover on Saturday March 03 2018, @09:56PM

            by leftover (2448) on Saturday March 03 2018, @09:56PM (#647286)

            I doubt it will ever live to the ride price equilibrium. Long before that, the drop in driver availability will shine a light on Uber's market value bubble. Their only actual asset is their smartphone app.

            --
            Bent, folded, spindled, and mutilated.
    • (Score: 1) by sonamchauhan on Sunday March 04 2018, @02:58AM

      by sonamchauhan (6546) on Sunday March 04 2018, @02:58AM (#647444)

      MLMs. Lotteries. Gambling. Motorcycle-riding. Drug usage. Overeating. Binging and purging. Procrastination (the last one is a favorite of mine... ok, off to work I go).

  • (Score: 1, Disagree) by west on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:20PM (9 children)

    by west (6884) on Saturday March 03 2018, @07:20PM (#647210)

    if someone finds it worth while to occupy a specific employment then who and the hell are you, for any reason, to tell them its not ok?!?!?!

    this article is worthless. who cares that some jobs suck. no one is making you do it!
    if someone wants to do it WHY WOULD YOU STOP THEM?
    just because they don't have the same value metrics and motivations than you does not mean they are WRONG.

    just because the job is not alright for YOU doesn't mean its not the right choice in its context for EVERYONE!

    I don't frikken get these sorts of articles. they are worthless!

    • (Score: 2) by Nuke on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:00PM (1 child)

      by Nuke (3162) on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:00PM (#647240)

      Frustrated Uber driver yourself? Carry on, no-one's stopping you. This article is for the amusement of non-Uber drivers and I enjoyed every word of it.

      • (Score: 2, Funny) by west on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:29PM

        by west (6884) on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:29PM (#647255)

        if you enjoyed it then its it worth while. alright you got me there. i guess its good to point out that being an uber driver sucks. but im sure that some people like it.

    • (Score: 3, Informative) by JoeMerchant on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:15PM (3 children)

      by JoeMerchant (3937) on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:15PM (#647250)

      I don't frikken get these sorts of articles. they are worthless!

      They are informative. Many people will engage in work that net costs them money because the relationship is deceptive. Articles like this help to educate and inform people about what they might be getting into if they choose to do this.

      I'm not going as far as to say that Uber/Lyft should come with warning labels for potential employees, but I certainly do see the value of published independent analysis.

      --
      🌻🌻 [google.com]
      • (Score: 1) by west on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:35PM (2 children)

        by west (6884) on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:35PM (#647257)

        i think its sort of common sense. your using a car. you have a car. you know what gas costs.
        you can uber for a week, see that your not doing well, and stop.

        if you dont know immediately that uber is not for you i bet your not the person to actually research specific employment details.

        really. did reading this improve your life beond seeing uber get shit on one more time?
        did this article stop someone from ubering? is that significant? they can uber one time and stop. its fine.

        i see all this uber stuff. they are a private business and their employees are free to leave and if so uber will have to pay more or stop existing.

        uber is fine. relax people! if uber is breaking laws in your area then prosecute.
        its all good people. uber is fine.

        • (Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Saturday March 03 2018, @09:47PM (1 child)

          by JoeMerchant (3937) on Saturday March 03 2018, @09:47PM (#647281)

          you can uber for a week, see that your not doing well, and stop.

          This might work for you, or even me, but most people forget about the cost of: insurance, tires, regular maintenance, irregular maintenance, depreciation due to miles driven, risk to health from being on the road, and other hidden costs that add up to far more than the cost of gas.

          seeing uber get shit on one more time?

          If you dig in my post history, I've been giving Uber shit for these reasons, for years. If, like 99.999% of Uber drivers, you've never read or maybe just never believed _my_ personal ranting, maybe this story circulating in the press will reach a few more of them and potentially improve their lives - got them to think for an extra minute about what they're doing and helped them to make a better choice.

          Uber is fine, they're legal to operate, let people do as they choose, but don't help Uber profit by hiding the true long term costs to their drivers. If seeing Uber get shit bores or annoys you, go read something else, that choice will hurt you far less than an Uber driver who ends up declaring bankruptcy and therefore gets bailed out by the rest of us.

          --
          🌻🌻 [google.com]
          • (Score: 1) by west on Saturday March 03 2018, @09:59PM

            by west (6884) on Saturday March 03 2018, @09:59PM (#647288)

            i get your position and dont think it is unfounded but i do not agree.
            alright if the uber bashing is indeed helping people then i stand corrected but, eh, i dont really see it.

    • (Score: 2) by NotSanguine on Sunday March 04 2018, @05:13AM (1 child)

      if someone finds it worth while to occupy a specific employment then who and the hell are you, for any reason, to tell them its not ok?!?!?!

      For your convenience, I've quoted TFS below. Please tell me where *anyone* is saying "its[sic] not ok?!?!?!"?
      AFAICT, they're just pointing out that those who do a certain job don't make very much money. That may well discourage some people from doing said job, but as long as the analysis comes to a factual conclusion, who the hell are you to tell these folks not to publish their findings?

      this article is worthless. who cares that some jobs suck. no one is making you do it!
      if someone wants to do it WHY WOULD YOU STOP THEM?
      just because they don't have the same value metrics and motivations than you does not mean they are WRONG.

      Again, who is trying to stop anyone from doing this job?

      Or did I miss the part in TFS or TFA where the authors cautioned current or prospective Uber/Lyft drivers that they would be beaten, robbed, jailed, murdered, ridiculed or otherwise punished in any way for keeping/taking such a job?

      Wouldn't you prefer to know more about the compensation associated with a certain type of job rather than less?

      just because the job is not alright for YOU doesn't mean its not the right choice in its context for EVERYONE!

      Who said that? Not TFS and not TFA, AFAICT. The TFA [mit.edu] says that:

      This paper provides one of the first detailed estimates of ride-hailing profit. We combine the self-reported revenue, mileage and vehicle choices from over 1,100 Uber and Lyft drivers with detailed vehicle operational cost parameters for insurance,maintenance, repairs, fuel and depreciation, using a combination of estimates from Edmunds and data from the U.S. EPA and Kelly Blue Book.

      There doesn't seem to be any attempt to do anything other than provide an accurate estimate of income earned vs. the costs of doing the job.

      Are you claiming that folks are somehow being forced to do *anything* by the publication of this article?
      Please do share your reasoning.

      I don't frikken get these sorts of articles. they are worthless!

      That's great! I'm glad you're expressing yourself.

      I'd suggest that if you don't "get" such articles and believe they are worthless, perhaps you might just not read them.

      Given your previous statements, I feel it important to note that is a suggestion, not an order, nor does it contain any threat or attempt at coercion.

      TFS tates:

      A study conducted by the MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research analysed revenue and costs for over 1100 Lyft and Uber drivers, with the conclusion that most earn below minimum wage for their state and about 30% actually lose money when all the costs of owning and operating their vehicles are taken into account.

      "A Median driver generates $0.59 per mile of driving, and incurs costs of $0.30 per mile", "On an hourly basis, the median profit was $3.37 per hour".

      Because actual vehicle operating costs are significantly lower than the IRS allowance of $0.54/mile, many drivers report incomes that are substantially lower that their actual incomes, leading to a large pool of untaxed income (although it is small for each driver).

      --
      No, no, you're not thinking; you're just being logical. --Niels Bohr
      • (Score: 1) by west on Sunday March 04 2018, @01:56PM

        by west (6884) on Sunday March 04 2018, @01:56PM (#647614)

        are you trying to miss the point, lol?

        let me un-hyperbole my argument since it seems to have triggered you into a post almost as long as the original, haha.

        "i think these uber articles are a little too common".

        lots of job markets are like this. whoopty-dew.

    • (Score: 2) by All Your Lawn Are Belong To Us on Monday March 05 2018, @03:58PM

      by All Your Lawn Are Belong To Us (6553) on Monday March 05 2018, @03:58PM (#648013) Journal

      I'll bite.

      Because the taxes I pay will end up footing the bills for their medical coverage. Because the food I donate to food banks will be eaten by them - which I don't begrudge in the slightest, but I abhor the notion that the upper tiers of their company rake in millions in salary while their lowest of the low require charity to survive.

      In short: Because they are privatizing their profits while shifting their social losses to the public.

      So, yes. I'll work at stopping them. BECAUSE THERE IS A SOCIETAL COST WE ALL PAY FOR THE GREED OF UBER AND LYFT.

      Clear enough?

      --
      This sig for rent.
  • (Score: 1, Informative) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:56PM (4 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday March 03 2018, @08:56PM (#647266)

    Uber used to buy cars and lease them to the drivers but uber was losing money doing that. Uber downloads the expense of the cars (fuel, depreciation, maintenance, insurance, etc.) to the drivers and skims the profits (middleman). Tells you everything you need to know about using your own car for ubering.

    • (Score: 1) by west on Saturday March 03 2018, @10:53PM (3 children)

      by west (6884) on Saturday March 03 2018, @10:53PM (#647315)

      lots of commercial shipping companies require truckers to furnish their own semi trucks. its common.
      if their business model is successful then its a good business model.
      nothing immoral is happening here.

      • (Score: 2) by NotSanguine on Sunday March 04 2018, @05:26AM (2 children)

        lots of commercial shipping companies require truckers to furnish their own semi trucks. its common.
        if their business model is successful then its a good business model.
        nothing immoral is happening here.

        Who said anything about immorality? Well, besides you.

        There are many businesses that sell stuff at way above market rates. There are many businesses that hire people at *below* market rates.

        Is that immoral? Probably not. At the same time, should the above become common knowledge, it's likely that those businesses won't do as well as those that don't attempt to gouge their customers or lowball their employees/contractors.

        If you can't be profitable without one or both, your business process/model is either flawed or there isn't an appropriate niche for it.

        Providing a product/service at a reasonable cost (that has reasonable profit built in) and paying reasonable wages to your workers is just good business. You'll likely have more customers and better workers too, thus enhancing your business prospects.

        I'm all about Caveat Emptor [wikipedia.org]. As such, what's wrong with looking at costs vs. revenue for a particular type of job?

        --
        No, no, you're not thinking; you're just being logical. --Niels Bohr
        • (Score: 1) by west on Sunday March 04 2018, @02:01PM (1 child)

          by west (6884) on Sunday March 04 2018, @02:01PM (#647616)

          maybe not immorality but yes people CLEARLY have a problem, otherwise why the article?

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