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posted by martyb on Sunday January 13 2019, @02:53PM   Printer-friendly
from the Magnetic-north!=north-pole dept.

Something strange is going on at the top of the world. Earth’s north magnetic pole has been skittering away from Canada and towards Siberia, driven by liquid iron sloshing within the planet’s core. The magnetic pole is moving so quickly that it has forced the world’s geomagnetism experts into a rare move.

On 15 January, they are set to update the World Magnetic Model, which describes the planet’s magnetic field and underlies all modern navigation, from the systems that steer ships at sea to Google Maps on smartphones.

The most recent version of the model came out in 2015 and was supposed to last until 2020 — but the magnetic field is changing so rapidly that researchers have to fix the model now. “The error is increasing all the time,” says Arnaud Chulliat, a geomagnetist at the University of Colorado Boulder and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA’s) National Centers for Environmental Information.

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-00007-1


Original Submission

Related Stories

South Atlantic Anomaly: Study Reveals Magnetic Pole ‘Wobble’ has been Growing for 1000 Years 10 comments

[...] At the heart of the matter, geologists believe, is a disturbance in the outer core of the Earth’s interior (2900km below the surface). This superheated pool of molten metal is what generates the magnetic field.

“If we look at our best numerical simulations of a magnetic field reversal, this is the type of pattern we see right before a reversal,” says Professor Tarduno. “We don’t know if the current (anomaly) will lead to a full reversal.”

If the anomaly continues to grow, a larger patch of near-orbit and our planet will become increasingly exposed to harmful rays and solar storms.

The last time Earth’s magnetic poles reversed was some 780,000 years ago.

South Atlantic Anomaly: Study reveals magnetic pole ‘wobble’ has been growing for 1000 years


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  • (Score: 2) by FatPhil on Sunday January 13 2019, @03:07PM (10 children)

    by FatPhil (863) <{pc-soylent} {at} {asdf.fi}> on Sunday January 13 2019, @03:07PM (#785912) Homepage
    I did see somewhere vaguely respectable that some geologists thought that the occasional pole flip was possibly to be upon us soon. Maybe this instability is a precursor to that. I'm not sure how much hard science, rather than things just being believable, there is behind the models people currently have - it's really not a simple subject at all. Even Einstein rejected the model that's currently favoured when he was told of it, it's pretty wacky: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lWHxmJf6U3M
    --
    Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people; the smallest discuss themselves
    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 13 2019, @03:26PM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 13 2019, @03:26PM (#785917)

      I recall seeing something similar. The geologic record showing that the poles swap with some previously consistent frequency every X centuries or so. But if I’m remembering correctly, we were something like 400 years overdue for a swap today.

      • (Score: 3, Informative) by HiThere on Sunday January 13 2019, @06:03PM

        by HiThere (866) Subscriber Badge on Sunday January 13 2019, @06:03PM (#785948) Journal

        The timing isn't all that consistent or regular. There's an average, but there's a lot of variation. There's also a lot of variation in how rapidly they flip, but that's even more difficult to pin down.

        --
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    • (Score: 2) by Immerman on Sunday January 13 2019, @06:06PM (7 children)

      by Immerman (3985) on Sunday January 13 2019, @06:06PM (#785950)

      As I recall we also have an additional pole forming in the Indian Ocean, along with several other anomalies suggesting that the Earth's magnetic field is on the verge of collapsing into a chaotic mess as the poles prepare to flip. At least by geological timescales anyway - we might remain on the verge for millenia before it happens.

      Might be a good time to stock up on sunscreen - when the magnetosphere collapses, the ozone layer will likely be stripped way down by the solar wind in short order.

      • (Score: 2, Interesting) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 13 2019, @08:29PM (1 child)

        by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 13 2019, @08:29PM (#785995)

        Until recently sunscreen selectively blocked only the wavelengths that caused sunburn, but not skin cancer. Since people's bodies werent able to warn them they were getting dangerous amounts of exposure, people got too much sun with too little tan. So skin cancer rates have skyrocketed. It is almost exactly like the obesity epidemic caused by advocating low-fat (ie, high carb) diets. So watch out.

        In the U.S. in 1935, one’s estimated lifetime risk of melanoma was 1 in 1,500 [4]. In the U.S. in the year 2000, the lifetime risk of melanoma was estimated at 1 in 75 persons. In Australia, the lifetime risk has been estimated at 1 in 25 [4]. These stark numbers have placed melanoma in the category of an “epidemic.”

        https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20541680 [nih.gov]

        • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @07:44AM

          by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @07:44AM (#786344)

          Until recently sunscreen selectively blocked only the wavelengths that caused sunburn, but not skin cancer.

          citation required

      • (Score: 2) by FatPhil on Sunday January 13 2019, @09:12PM (4 children)

        by FatPhil (863) <{pc-soylent} {at} {asdf.fi}> on Sunday January 13 2019, @09:12PM (#786015) Homepage
        I recommend latitudes starting with a '6', but am too lazy to do the trig that demonstrates by how much it's an improvement.
        --
        Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people; the smallest discuss themselves
        • (Score: 2) by Azuma Hazuki on Monday January 14 2019, @01:02AM (1 child)

          by Azuma Hazuki (5086) on Monday January 14 2019, @01:02AM (#786160) Journal

          It varies as the sine of the latitude, IIRC. So sin(66).

          --
          I am "that girl" your mother warned you about...
          • (Score: 3, Interesting) by FatPhil on Monday January 14 2019, @09:19AM

            by FatPhil (863) <{pc-soylent} {at} {asdf.fi}> on Monday January 14 2019, @09:19AM (#786378) Homepage
            That's the insolation (or anything else incoming from the sun) per unit surface area ratio, because of the tilt. However, the interations with the atmosphere scale with the apparent thickness of the atmosphere at that latitude, and those rays have to cut through a thicker slice of atmosphere to even get to the ground, so there's a further attenuation of the strength.

            Which raises an interesting question - has the aurora record changed significantly, and does it corroborate the magnetometers' readings?
            --
            Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people; the smallest discuss themselves
        • (Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Monday January 14 2019, @02:08AM (1 child)

          by JoeMerchant (3937) on Monday January 14 2019, @02:08AM (#786218)

          Does Isla Santa Cruz @ 0.64 degrees South count?

          --
          🌻🌻 [google.com]
          • (Score: 2) by FatPhil on Monday January 14 2019, @09:09AM

            by FatPhil (863) <{pc-soylent} {at} {asdf.fi}> on Monday January 14 2019, @09:09AM (#786375) Homepage
            As long as you carry a tin-foil parasol, sure.
            --
            Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people; the smallest discuss themselves
  • (Score: 3, Funny) by inertnet on Sunday January 13 2019, @04:58PM (2 children)

    by inertnet (4071) on Sunday January 13 2019, @04:58PM (#785933) Journal

    They're stealing the north pole!

    • (Score: 1, Funny) by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @06:04AM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @06:04AM (#786303)

      They're stealing the north pole!

      All part of the lefts' plot to end Christmas!

      • (Score: 2) by Freeman on Monday January 14 2019, @06:40PM

        by Freeman (732) on Monday January 14 2019, @06:40PM (#786547) Journal

        They can have that weird Santa guy. "Santa Claus: Kindly old elf or CIA Spook?" https://www.gocomics.com/calvinandhobbes/2009/01/29/ [gocomics.com] May as well fix that: "Santa Claus: Kindly old elf or CIA SpookGoogle?

        --
        Joshua 1:9 "Be strong and of a good courage; be not afraid, neither be thou dismayed: for the Lord thy God is with thee"
  • (Score: 4, Funny) by requerdanos on Sunday January 13 2019, @06:18PM (3 children)

    by requerdanos (5997) Subscriber Badge on Sunday January 13 2019, @06:18PM (#785956) Journal

    Earth’s Magnetic Field is Acting up and Geologists Don’t Know Why

    So they are asking, essentially, "Giant magnets, how do they work?"

    It's to do with the alignment of atoms and their collective positive and negative charges pointing in a particular direction relative to the collection.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 13 2019, @10:13PM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 13 2019, @10:13PM (#786052)

      No, that's not what they're asking.

      What they're asking has to do with the collective alignment and movement of all the atoms in the Earth's iron core. If you have the answer to that question, do share!

    • (Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Monday January 14 2019, @02:12AM

      by JoeMerchant (3937) on Monday January 14 2019, @02:12AM (#786221)

      the alignment of atoms and their collective positive and negative charges pointing in a particular direction relative to the collection.

      Yeah, a collection of ~10^49 iron atoms, mostly...

      Stick that in your 163 Q-bit quantum computer and smoke it for awhile...

      --
      🌻🌻 [google.com]
  • (Score: 3, Informative) by MostCynical on Sunday January 13 2019, @07:20PM (6 children)

    by MostCynical (2589) on Sunday January 13 2019, @07:20PM (#785977) Journal

    Every300,000 years [nasa.gov] or so.

    There is some disagreement about what happens [phys.org] after [livescience.com] it flips [news.com.au]

    --
    "I guess once you start doubting, there's no end to it." -Batou, Ghost in the Shell: Stand Alone Complex
    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 13 2019, @11:09PM (5 children)

      by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 13 2019, @11:09PM (#786097)

      No disagreement: what happens is that North Pole becomes South Pole, and penguins begin their epic 13,800 km migration.

      • (Score: 2) by MostCynical on Sunday January 13 2019, @11:24PM

        by MostCynical (2589) on Sunday January 13 2019, @11:24PM (#786105) Journal

        DreamWorks no doubt already working on the screenplay

        --
        "I guess once you start doubting, there's no end to it." -Batou, Ghost in the Shell: Stand Alone Complex
      • (Score: 1, Funny) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 13 2019, @11:28PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 13 2019, @11:28PM (#786111)

        Here is a video of what will happen: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9dfWzp7rYR4 [youtube.com]

      • (Score: 2) by RandomFactor on Monday January 14 2019, @01:57AM (1 child)

        by RandomFactor (3682) Subscriber Badge on Monday January 14 2019, @01:57AM (#786214) Journal

        What is that in Ice Hockey rinks?

        --
        В «Правде» нет известий, в «Известиях» нет правды
        • (Score: 3, Funny) by TheFool on Monday January 14 2019, @05:31AM

          by TheFool (7105) on Monday January 14 2019, @05:31AM (#786288)

          American or International rinks?

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @07:46PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @07:46PM (#786591)

        That's the day they go extinct. The North Pole has Polar Bears.

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @01:45AM (1 child)

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @01:45AM (#786203)

    Warming

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @03:07AM

      by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @03:07AM (#786232)

      People

  • (Score: 2) by Username on Monday January 14 2019, @12:40PM (1 child)

    by Username (4557) on Monday January 14 2019, @12:40PM (#786422)

    People haven't used a map and compass since the 90s when GPS became status quo. I'm getting real sick of fake news, and this end is nigh bullshit.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @04:32PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @04:32PM (#786474)

      Even with GPS, in many cases navigation is still based on compass bearings (i.e., headings are expressed relative to magnetic north).

      For example, all the headings indicated on airport charts are compass headings. Runways are numbered based on their orientation relative to compass directions. As magnetic north moves, from time to time all the runways at an airport will have to be renumbered (including new paint jobs) and all the charts updated to indicate new headings.

      However, I would not expect any significant navigational problems as long as compasses still work. There are already processes in place to deal with magnetic north moving around. The news here is simply that things need updating earlier than previously expected.

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @02:56PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 14 2019, @02:56PM (#786443)

    Thank God we got GPS up and running before this mess happened!

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