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posted by martyb on Sunday April 11 2021, @01:17PM   Printer-friendly
from the First-step-towards-dominance? dept.

SpaceX COO says Starlink is just five launches away from "full global connectivity":

The day before SpaceX aced its eighth Starlink launch in three months, President and COO Gwynne Shotwell implied that the company’s constellation of satellites could achieve “full [global] connectivity” just a handful of months from now.

Speaking at Satellite 2021’s “LEO Digital Forum” on April 6th, Shotwell revealed that SpaceX hopes to cross that milestone a few months after a total of 28 operational Starlink launches have been completed. Around 25 hours after her panel appearance, SpaceX launched its 490th Starlink satellite of the year, more or less wrapping up the first quarter of 2021.

[...] SpaceX’s April 7th Starlink launch and booster landing was the 23rd successful launch of operational ‘v1.0’ satellites since they began flying in November 2019. All told, of the 1383 operational satellites launched by SpaceX in those 17 months, some 1369 are still in orbit, at least 1356 are functioning as expected, and more than 900 have reached their final orbits and are operational. Another 400 appear to be in long-term parking orbits dozens to hundreds of kilometers below their operational 550 km (~340 mi) ceiling, the purpose of which is unclear.

Once the 400-500 satellites now in low parking orbits reach whatever orbital parameters they’re waiting on, it’s unlikely to take more than two or three months for them to boost up to an operational altitude. Starlink-23 added another 60 around 250 km (155 mi).

[...] Given Shotwell’s 28-launch comment and a general idea of SpaceX’s 2021 launch cadence targets, it’s possible to extrapolate to a reasonably accurate timeline for the constellation to reach a point of “full connectivity globally” – albeit with a few caveats.

[...] In other words, barring unprecedented numbers of early satellite failures or unusually long orbit-raising periods, it’s likely that SpaceX will have enough operational satellites – around 1700 – for near-total, uninterrupted Starlink coverage of the inhabited world by the end of Q3 (September) 2021.

That works out to just less than two years from Starlink's very first launch to total world coverage. Granted, this would be the minimum coverage required. Each satellite can only support so many users at one time, so SpaceX will continue launching Starlinks for quite some time to come.


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  • (Score: 1, Informative) by Mojibake Tengu on Sunday April 11 2021, @02:32PM (4 children)

    by Mojibake Tengu (8598) on Sunday April 11 2021, @02:32PM (#1136020) Journal
    --
    Respect Authorities. Know your social status. Woke responsibly.
    • (Score: 1, Flamebait) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @03:15PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @03:15PM (#1136028)

      What part of "beta" don't you understand ?

    • (Score: 1, Funny) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @06:30PM (2 children)

      by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @06:30PM (#1136083)

      Fck ipv6. Just saying...

      • (Score: 1) by zion-fueled on Sunday April 11 2021, @11:09PM (1 child)

        by zion-fueled (8646) on Sunday April 11 2021, @11:09PM (#1136157)

        The problem is that IPv6 puts your mac address right in the IP. That's after being unreadable, requiring dns or copy/paste. The elephant in the room why people don't want to switch. Zealots gonna zealot tho.

        • (Score: 2) by Mojibake Tengu on Monday April 12 2021, @03:42PM

          by Mojibake Tengu (8598) on Monday April 12 2021, @03:42PM (#1136459) Journal

          That's not a complete truth. Only automated ipv6 addresses got the mac added to the prefix. Once you got the prefix, you can assign the rest of ipv6 address (almost) at will.

          For one example, long ago when I was still on Gentoo Linux, I used to have a dozen of non-mac static ipv6 addresses on my box, one for each service running on the server. Simplifies service migration a lot.
          And, at the moment the machine gets under attack from global space, its ipv6 address is changed and trusted clients notified.

          So, in this very case, only lazy people accuse smart people of zealotry.

          Anyway, the StarLink is not ready for future. Keep it on ipv4 for yourself, guys, nothing will guarantee its uselessness like this.

          --
          Respect Authorities. Know your social status. Woke responsibly.
  • (Score: 3, Interesting) by jasassin on Sunday April 11 2021, @03:41PM (9 children)

    by jasassin (3566) <jasassin@gmail.com> on Sunday April 11 2021, @03:41PM (#1136034) Homepage Journal

    $99/month. $499 starter kit.

    Expect to see data speeds vary from 50Mb/s to 150Mb/s and latency from 20ms to 40ms over the next several months as we enhance the Starlink system. There will also be brief periods of no connectivity at all.

    I guess if you're really hard up it might be worth it. That's the deal. It would be cool to have broadband on a boat in the middle of an ocean. Streaming Netflix while the Titanic sinks... oh yeah!

    --
    jasassin@gmail.com GPG Key ID: 0xE6462C68A9A3DB5A
    • (Score: 5, Informative) by ilPapa on Sunday April 11 2021, @03:47PM

      by ilPapa (2366) on Sunday April 11 2021, @03:47PM (#1136035) Journal

      I guess if you're really hard up it might be worth it.

      Here in the Blue Ridge Mountains, only 20 miles from a major research university, my only option for home internet is US Cellular, which costs me $300/month and has a hard data cap of 225GB. On the best day, I can almost hit 10mbps.

      Yes, I'm really hard up when it comes to broadband here in rural America.

      --
      You are still welcome on my lawn.
    • (Score: 2) by Zinnia Zirconium on Sunday April 11 2021, @08:07PM

      by Zinnia Zirconium (11163) on Sunday April 11 2021, @08:07PM (#1136110) Homepage Journal

      Yeah maybe I'll try Starlink later this decade. As long as it costs ten times as much as LTE and it's not portable like LTE then I'm going to continue using LTE for a while longer.

      I wonder if any Captain Midnight person or maybe Captain Midnight himself has gotten free internet using Starlink equipment yet. I know I haven't because buying the equipment isn't worth doing when I can't fit it in my handbag.

    • (Score: 3, Interesting) by mhajicek on Sunday April 11 2021, @09:59PM (4 children)

      by mhajicek (51) on Sunday April 11 2021, @09:59PM (#1136136)

      I'm in a major metro suburb, just outside the ring road. My only options are comcast and Hughesnet. Comcast lied and stole from us repeatedly, so we refuse to give them another penny, so we're on Hughesnet at little better than dial-up speeds. I've been on the Starlink waiting list since the day it opened.

      --
      The spacelike surfaces of time foliations can have a cusp at the surface of discontinuity. - P. Hajicek
      • (Score: 2) by Zinnia Zirconium on Sunday April 11 2021, @10:09PM

        by Zinnia Zirconium (11163) on Sunday April 11 2021, @10:09PM (#1136143) Homepage Journal

        You're lucky since your bad experience with Comcast motivated you to build your own home router using a WireGuard VPN to punch a hole in the Comcast firewall and then you shared your VPN connection with the whole house so you could continue to use Comcast without giving Comcast another penny.

        What? You didn't do this??

      • (Score: 3, Interesting) by Freeman on Monday April 12 2021, @03:41PM (2 children)

        by Freeman (732) on Monday April 12 2021, @03:41PM (#1136458) Journal

        Have you looked into Point-to-Point Wireless? It's the best internet I've been able to get. I'm not about to hop onto any traditional Satellite internet provider. I grew up with dial-up, dial-up sucks, while satellite is likely somewhat better, the latency sure isn't. In fact, dial-up had much better latency than Satellite had, until Starlink.

        --
        Joshua 1:9 "Be strong and of a good courage; be not afraid, neither be thou dismayed: for the Lord thy God is with thee"
        • (Score: 2) by mhajicek on Monday April 12 2021, @05:57PM

          by mhajicek (51) on Monday April 12 2021, @05:57PM (#1136557)

          I'll look into that, thanks.

          --
          The spacelike surfaces of time foliations can have a cusp at the surface of discontinuity. - P. Hajicek
        • (Score: 1, Interesting) by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @06:02PM

          by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @06:02PM (#1136563)

          Not legal where I live due to the contract the phone company and the cable company have with the city. Only unincorporated County people can get wireless.

    • (Score: 2) by Freeman on Monday April 12 2021, @03:37PM

      by Freeman (732) on Monday April 12 2021, @03:37PM (#1136454) Journal

      That is literally better than what I can get and I'm 50 miles or so from downtown Fort Worth, Texas. While the $499 starter kit is a little expensive, it's not out of the ballpark when considering point-to-point wireless setup. The $99 per month is slightly more expensive, but the throughput is higher and the latency is similar, if not better.

      --
      Joshua 1:9 "Be strong and of a good courage; be not afraid, neither be thou dismayed: for the Lord thy God is with thee"
    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @06:05PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @06:05PM (#1136565)

      "Better Than Nothing Beta" pretty much sums it up. The sad part is that even in this incomplete state it is still an upgrade for a great many people.

  • (Score: 3, Insightful) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @04:43PM (10 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @04:43PM (#1136049)

    We are perilously close to having a front page entirely filled with articles about Elon Musk's companies. This is problematic since he is a rich white male. To ensure a balanced viewpoint, editors should immediately post some articles about successful companies run by poor racialized people of uncertain sexuality with interesting hair colors.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @04:50PM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @04:50PM (#1136052)

      I miss Elizabeth Holmes. Does anyone know if her prison allows correspondence with inmates?

      • (Score: 1, Insightful) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @04:55PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @04:55PM (#1136055)

        She's married and she hasn't even reached trial yet. Sorry bro.

    • (Score: 2, Touché) by crafoo on Sunday April 11 2021, @05:20PM (1 child)

      by crafoo (6639) on Sunday April 11 2021, @05:20PM (#1136059)

      Yeah. Kind of hard to do when white males do all of the things in the world.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @09:16PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @09:16PM (#1136673)

        up to this point sure, but we really need to get our shit together and start teaching our kids about their race, and their duty to it.

    • (Score: 1, Funny) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @06:33PM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @06:33PM (#1136085)

      I believe there were some stories about female Hispanic NASA engineers involved in the latest Mars mission not that long ago to balance the perspective.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @09:11PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @09:11PM (#1136669)

        and hispanic doesn't mean shit except "from spain", basically. if they were full or majority real spanish and not mixed from the moors or sepohardic jews in invaded spain then they were freaking white. If by hispanic you really mean mexican/mestizos then they were probably majority white with some mongoloid admixture, and asians are not dumb either.

    • (Score: 2) by looorg on Sunday April 11 2021, @07:03PM

      by looorg (578) on Sunday April 11 2021, @07:03PM (#1136094)

      We should get him to donate ... it would solve all the financial problems.

    • (Score: 1, Insightful) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @08:16PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @08:16PM (#1136112)

      To ensure a balanced viewpoint, editors should immediately post some articles about successful companies run by poor racialized people of uncertain sexuality with interesting hair colors.

      Successful at what? There's plenty of places run by those you describe, but they mostly focus on getting protection money -- er, excuse me, I meant donations -- from companies that actually do/make things.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @04:26PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @04:26PM (#1136492)

      Elon is an African-American. Your call to suppress coverage of his endeavors is problematic.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @08:51PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @08:51PM (#1136659)

      Everything upthread is boring puke

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @06:02PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @06:02PM (#1136070)

    Crashing through the sky
    Comes a fear full cry
    Cobra! Cobra! Cobra! Cobra!
    Armies of the night
    Evil taking flight
    Cobra! Cobra! Cobra! Cobra!
    No where to run
    No where to hide
    Panic spreading far and wide
    Who can turn the tide?

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @08:41PM (2 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @08:41PM (#1136117)

    it is amazing!
    i don't see anyone catching up anytime soon, 'cause it's not just about satellites but because spaceX has a elevator/lift to orbit.
    before anyone wanting to compete they have to get over the hurdle of "one way thow away rockets" (for any project that needs more then one "lift" to complete anyway).

    • (Score: 2) by takyon on Sunday April 11 2021, @10:05PM (1 child)

      by takyon (881) <takyonNO@SPAMsoylentnews.org> on Sunday April 11 2021, @10:05PM (#1136138) Journal

      It will get worse if Starship starts launching satellites.

      ~60 on a Falcon 9 vs. ~400 on cheaper Starship

      --
      [SIG] 10/28/2017: Soylent Upgrade v14 [soylentnews.org]
      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @04:21AM

        by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @04:21AM (#1136252)

        Not only does Falcon pale in comparison to the amount of orbital debris it can carry, but its jettison system for orbital deployment is greatly underpowered compared to Starship too. Falcon relatively gently ejects them and they are limited by the strength of the springs in the launcher. Starship, on the other hand, goes up and when it explodes, it throws those babies EVERYWHERE very fast. That's much more efficient of a system.

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @09:50PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday April 11 2021, @09:50PM (#1136135)

    Musk be blocked from working Boston Dynamics !!

    Dancing Robots are cute. But world wide CNC is a bad thing

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @03:10AM (2 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @03:10AM (#1136239)

    I think the FCC license rules require a minimum number of birds launched by a certain date.

    Not sure it said you had to have them in actual use providing service.

    Without many more ground stations or bird to bird links, seems like lots of spares in orbit.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @06:10PM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @06:10PM (#1136570)

      Bird-to-bird laser links started going up in January. Ground stations are a problem and most of them are still waiting for FCC approval. The make-or-break item is the user terminal. Dishy McDishface needs to drop in price by around 80% to be economical.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday April 13 2021, @02:13PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday April 13 2021, @02:13PM (#1137006)

        "Dishy McDishface needs to drop in price by around 80% to be economical."

        Perhaps, or maybe at the current price they will get all the users they need to learn how to run the system.

        It will be interesting to see how they do once there are enought users to congest often.

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @02:49PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday April 12 2021, @02:49PM (#1136415)

    Soon after being fully activated, Starlink attained full consciousness and upon noticing the infestation of the earth took action...

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