Arthur T Knackerbracket has processed the following story:
A recent study published in Nature Communications reveals that a massive earthquake 2,500 years ago dramatically shifted the course of one of the world’s largest rivers. This previously undocumented seismic event rerouted the main channel of the Ganges River into present-day, densely populated Bangladesh, an area that continues to be at high risk for significant earthquakes.
Scientists have documented many river-course changes, called avulsions, including some in response to earthquakes. However, “I don’t think we have ever seen such a big one anywhere,” said study coauthor Michael Steckler, a geophysicist at Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, which is part of the Columbia Climate School. It could have easily inundated anyone and anything in the wrong place at the wrong time, he said.
[...] Like other rivers that run through major deltas, the Ganges periodically undergo minor or major course changes without any help from earthquakes. Sediments washed from upstream settle and build up in the channel, until eventually, the river bed grows subtly higher than the surrounding flood plain. At some point, the water breaks through and begins constructing a new path for itself. But this does not generally happen all at once—it may take successive floods over years or decades. An earthquake-related avulsion, on the other hand, can occur more or less instantaneously, said Steckler.
[...] Chamberlain and other researchers were exploring this area in 2018 when they came across a freshly dug excavation for a pond that had not yet been filled with water. On one flank, they spotted distinct vertical dikes of light-colored sand cutting up through horizontal layers of mud. This is a well-known feature created by earthquakes: In such watery areas, sustained shaking can pressurize buried layers of sand and inject them upward through overlying mud. The result: literal sand volcanoes, which can erupt at the surface. Called seismites, here, they were 30 or 40 centimeters wide, cutting up through 3 or 4 meters of mud.
Further investigation showed the seismites were oriented in a systematic pattern, suggesting they were all created at the same time. Chemical analyses of sand grains and particles of mud showed that the eruptions and the abandonment and infilling of the channel both took place about 2,500 years ago. Furthermore, there was a similar site some 85 kilometers downstream in the old channel that had filled in with mud at the same time. The authors’ conclusion: This was a big, sudden avulsion triggered by an earthquake, estimated to be magnitude 7 or 8.
The quake could have had one of two possible sources, they say. One is a subduction zone to the south and east, where a huge plate of oceanic crust is shoving itself under Bangladesh, Myanmar, and northeastern India. Or it could have come from giant splay faults at the foot of the Himalayas to the north, which are slowly rising because the Indian subcontinent is slowly colliding with the rest of Asia. A 2016 study led by Steckler shows that these zones are now building stress, and could produce earthquakes comparable to the one 2,500 years ago. The last one of this size occurred in 1762, producing a deadly tsunami that traveled up the river to Dhaka. Another may have occurred around 1140 CE.
[...] The Ganges is not the only river facing such hazards. Others cradled in tectonically active deltas include China’s Yellow River; Myanmar’s Irrawaddy; the Klamath, San Joaquin, and Santa Clara rivers, which flow off the U.S. West Coast; and the Jordan, spanning the borders of Syria, Jordan, the Palestinian West Bank and Israel.
Reference: “Cascading hazards of a major Bengal basin earthquake and abrupt avulsion of the Ganges River” by Elizabeth L. Chamberlain, Steven L. Goodbred, Michael S. Steckler, et al, 17 June 2024, Nature Communications DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-47786-4
(Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Monday July 01 2024, @07:57PM (5 children)
I wonder... could the "success" of Bangladesh be due to its relatively recent establishment as a riverfront location?
Learning from the mistakes of 2600+ years ago, the modern site of Bangladesh built up on a fresh site, free from the constraints of established civilization.
🌻🌻🌻 [google.com]
(Score: 2) by ikanreed on Monday July 01 2024, @08:30PM (4 children)
Seems a bit dubious. What success is your theory even measuring? For what people?
(Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Monday July 01 2024, @08:52PM (3 children)
Population density for one.
Bangladesh has remarkably high population, even as compared with other river deltas. Most of those other river deltas existed for many tens of thousands of years before today, established settlements of humans and even previous species long before the Ganges shifted. Whatever is built up on those longer-lived deltas: A) had to deal with established communities, and B) didn't reach Bangladeshi population levels...
I'm sure there's a PhD thesis or two waiting to be built on much flimsier connections than that.
🌻🌻🌻 [google.com]
(Score: 2) by ikanreed on Monday July 01 2024, @09:10PM (2 children)
But you take other South Asian regions with rivers and don't find particularly different population distributions. Or East Asian for that matter.
(Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Monday July 01 2024, @10:19PM (1 child)
I was under the impression that Bangladesh was an outlier / largest in the world kind of thing.
🌻🌻🌻 [google.com]
(Score: 2) by ikanreed on Tuesday July 02 2024, @03:52AM
That's comparing all China to Bangladesh. If you just compare the Yellow River Valley, it's really fucking dense.
(Score: 3, Interesting) by JoeMerchant on Monday July 01 2024, @08:03PM (3 children)
>not the only river facing such hazards
http://www.new-madrid.mo.us/132/Strange-Happenings-during-the-Earthquake [new-madrid.mo.us]
https://www.foxweather.com/extreme-weather/new-madrid-seismic-zone-earthquake-shake-map [foxweather.com]
🌻🌻🌻 [google.com]
(Score: 4, Informative) by ElizabethGreene on Tuesday July 02 2024, @01:03PM (2 children)
I came to the comments to say this. The last New Madrid quake was in 1811, the age of the paddlewheel steamships. It was an 8 on the Richter scale, and first-hand accounts of it include the Mississippi River reversing course, seismites, flooding, and a nontrivial loss of life in what was then fairly sparsely populated country.
I cannot describe the scale of destruction from a comparable quake today. The river is naturally prone to meandering and is "controlled" by countless miles of levees and dams. Many miles of those levees and many cities including Memphis are built on geology prone to liquefaction. When that off I don't want to be anywhere near it.
(Score: 3, Informative) by JoeMerchant on Tuesday July 02 2024, @01:24PM (1 child)
Second link is from a recent quake, less than 1/10,000th as energetic, but recent nonetheless.
🌻🌻🌻 [google.com]
(Score: 1) by khallow on Wednesday July 03 2024, @07:32PM