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posted by martyb on Friday January 22 2016, @10:12PM   Printer-friendly
from the nothing-to-see-here dept.

Paul Meehl is responsible for what is probably the most apt explanation for why some areas of science have made more progress than others over the last 70 years or so. Amazingly, he pointed this out in 1967 and it had seemingly no effect on standard practices:

Because physical theories typically predict numerical values, an improvement in ex-perimental precision reduces the tolerance range and hence increases corroborability. In most psychological research, improved power of a statistical design leads to a prior probability approaching ½ of finding a significant difference in the theoretically predicted direction. Hence the corroboration yielded by "success" is very weak, and becomes weaker with increased precision. "Statistical significance" plays a logical role in psychology precisely the reverse of its role in physics. This problem is worsened by certain unhealthy tendencies prevalent among psychologists, such as a premium placed on experimental "cuteness" and a free reliance upon ad hoc explanations to avoid refuation.

Meehl, Paul E. (1967). "Theory-Testing in Psychology and Physics: A Methodological Paradox" (PDF). Philosophy of Science 34 (2): 103–115.
https://dx.doi.org/10.1086%2F288135 . Free here: http://cerco.ups-tlse.fr/pdf0609/Meehl_1967.pdf

There are many science articles posted to this site that fall foul of his critique probably because researchers are not aware of it. In short, this (putatively fatally flawed) research attempts to disprove a null hypothesis rather than a research hypothesis. Videos of some of his lectures are available online:
http://www.psych.umn.edu/meehlvideos.php

Session 7 starting at ~1hr is especially good.


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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 23 2016, @01:47AM

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 23 2016, @01:47AM (#293444)

    Can we get TFS that at least try to make some sense? Do they not teach how to write any more?

  • (Score: 2) by NoMaster on Saturday January 23 2016, @07:28AM

    by NoMaster (3543) on Saturday January 23 2016, @07:28AM (#293535)

    The post itself is typical 1st-year undergraduate fail - find a paper that backs up your belief, quote & cite it as truth, but completely forget to present your point or discuss why you think it supports it.

    The fact that the poster seems to think this is some hidden truth hasn't been discussed in thousands of different ways and domains for the last ... what, 100? ... years is simply icing on the cake.

    Mark: 5/10. I can see the point you're trying to make, but you need to present & expand it. A more comprehensive discussion of the literature, including examination of arguments in up-to-date sources, is required.

    --
    Live free or fuck off and take your naïve Libertarian fantasies with you...
    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 23 2016, @10:42AM

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday January 23 2016, @10:42AM (#293585)

      What else can possibly be said? Has someone published a logical proof that strawman arguments are no longer fallacies recently? Please link to some recent literature you think addresses this issue.