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posted by Woods on Thursday May 15 2014, @08:38PM   Printer-friendly
from the everyone-check-your-mattress dept.

The global cost of securing a clean energy future is rising by the year, the International Energy Agency (IEA) warned Monday, estimating that an additional $44 trillion of investment was needed to meet 2050 carbon reduction targets. Releasing its biennial "Energy Technology Perspectives" report in Seoul, the agency said electricity would increasingly power the world's economies in the decades to come, rivalling oil as the dominant energy carrier. Surging electricity demand posed serious challenges, said IEA executive director Maria van der Hoeven.
"We must get it right, but we're on the wrong path at the moment," Van der Hoeven told reporters in the South Korean capital.

 
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  • (Score: 1) by The Mighty Buzzard on Thursday May 15 2014, @08:52PM

    After applying the standard rule of multiply government spending estimates by 10, that's only going to take us a little over 200 years to pay off if we put every dime of last tax dime taken in towards it. What say we let the market take care of it instead?
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  • (Score: 3, Interesting) by bob_super on Thursday May 15 2014, @09:21PM

    by bob_super (1357) on Thursday May 15 2014, @09:21PM (#43961)

    The market won't take care if this.
    Markets don't care much about potential 30-year returns, where most of the actual profit is reduced government expenses in unrelated sectors like population health, trade deficits, military...
    Inversely, a long-term investment into a new plant is negatively affected by the improvements in alternative sources, meaning that richest players in the market actively battle changing their profitable status quo.

    Say, is the gas price going up or down today? I need to forecast next quarter...

    • (Score: 3, Insightful) by The Mighty Buzzard on Thursday May 15 2014, @09:34PM

      Guess we're not doing it then. Paying for it out of the government till would make the dollar worth less than the peso for the next century or two.
      --
      My rights don't end where your fear begins.
      • (Score: 2) by bob_super on Thursday May 15 2014, @09:48PM

        by bob_super (1357) on Thursday May 15 2014, @09:48PM (#43971)

        Yep, I'm doing fracking in my own backyard to help sustain the current model another 50 years or so.
        After that, it won't be my problem.

        • (Score: 2) by The Mighty Buzzard on Friday May 16 2014, @02:59AM

          Bob, bob, bob... If we did print the money, it would absolutely green up the planet. Nobody in the United States would be able to afford electricity or cars anymore except the rich. That would make the greenies happy, Mexicans suddenly leaving to find work in Mexico would make the neo-cons happy, the rest of us would be pretty pissed off though. I mean if you think third-world-level abject poverty is a good trade for greener energy, preach on brother.
          --
          My rights don't end where your fear begins.
          • (Score: 2) by Open4D on Friday May 16 2014, @09:54AM

            by Open4D (371) on Friday May 16 2014, @09:54AM (#44142) Journal

            But "averting catastrophe is eminently affordable [theguardian.com]".

            That refers to the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (i.e. the stuff they're publishing this year), specifically the Working Group 3 [www.ipcc.ch] publication (which has a Summary For Policymakers here [mitigation2014.org]).

             
            If there's even a small chance that they are right about that, and not your prediction of the "United States [in] third-world-level abject poverty", I think we should start by spending the amount of money they are suggesting.

            If we spend that much, and then they say, "ah ... yeah ... about that ... it turns out we actually need to spend a lot more ... which will mean third-world-level abject poverty", then we can start to question whether we are really willing to undergo that hardship for the sake of our grandchildren.

    • (Score: 1, Troll) by khallow on Thursday May 15 2014, @10:10PM

      by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Thursday May 15 2014, @10:10PM (#43983) Journal

      Markets don't care much about potential 30-year returns

      Governments don't either. The only difference is that markets are really good at what they do. Well, that and that there actually are 30-year returns in a market.

      • (Score: 4, Insightful) by bob_super on Thursday May 15 2014, @10:26PM

        by bob_super (1357) on Thursday May 15 2014, @10:26PM (#43991)

        Tell that to Mr Deng, Mr Yoshida and Mr Kohl.

        On your way to wikipedia, don't forget to check the French Nuclear power development too.

        And if that's not enough to counter dumb ideological parroting, ask yourself why public schools and colleges are free or cheap.

        • (Score: 2) by khallow on Thursday May 15 2014, @10:51PM

          by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Thursday May 15 2014, @10:51PM (#44000) Journal

          Tell that to Mr Deng, Mr Yoshida and Mr Kohl.

          Those are people not governments. And while Singapore is still relatively future-oriented, the same can't be said for Japan and Germany, the countries of the other two politicians you mentioned.

          And if that's not enough to counter dumb ideological parroting, ask yourself why public schools and colleges are free or cheap.

          They aren't. Other people pay for that. As to "dumb ideological parroting" who is claiming something is "free or cheap" merely because the consumers of the good or service aren't the ones paying for the good or service?

          • (Score: 3, Insightful) by bob_super on Thursday May 15 2014, @11:29PM

            by bob_super (1357) on Thursday May 15 2014, @11:29PM (#44022)

            You've got the wrong Deng. I was referring to a more populous country, and how its successive governments since Deng have been doing really well in their planning of metaphorically kicking our asses.

            If you think Japan and Germany are no longer future-oriented, you really haven't been paying attention.

            Nice try, but 0 for 3: The whole point of free/cheap schools is that you pay for them with your massively higher future income. Considering that most governments finance themselves with debt, the cost of your school is actually repaid when you start paying taxes. Even if your government doesn't print debt, it's not stealing cash from your parents to pay for your school, it's investing with a pretty massive return, which will finance their old-age healthcare and their retirement.

            • (Score: 1) by khallow on Thursday May 15 2014, @11:50PM

              by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Thursday May 15 2014, @11:50PM (#44028) Journal

              I was referring to a more populous country, and how its successive governments since Deng have been doing really well in their planning of metaphorically kicking our asses.

              I wonder how you can reconcile your claim with your post here [soylentnews.org].

              On the other hand, even the Chinese are starting to realize that they need ways to produce energy which won't prevent them from seeing across the street or breathing...

              I guess evidence that they aren't so prescient can be ignored when it is inconvenient.

              If you think Japan and Germany are no longer future-oriented, you really haven't been paying attention.

              The obvious counterexamples to that assertion are Japan's current debt load (and its recent looting of the Japanese Postal Savings system) and Germany's suicidal energy policy.

              • (Score: 2) by bob_super on Friday May 16 2014, @12:23AM

                by bob_super (1357) on Friday May 16 2014, @12:23AM (#44040)

                > I guess evidence that they aren't so prescient can be ignored when it is inconvenient.

                You're right, they should have gotten out of third-world status by building excess renewable power using 80s tech and a worthless Renminbi, so that they'd be more ready to absorb the onslaught of Westerners ready to sell their grandma for a $5 labor cut and access to 1.3B poor people.

                Since this thread started at "governments don't either [care much about potential 30-year returns]", I'm pretty sure that Mr Deng is sitting in his corner of afterlife, wondering if they would have sent him to the nuthouse, had he used the actual 2014 numbers as a prediction of the impact of his reforms.
                Being so wildly successful that you get major ecological growing pains is not antithetic to caring about and planning to kick Capitalist ass on the world market while bringing almost a billion persons out of poverty.

                China has a big problem. They could throw their massive trade surpluses at fixing their ecological issues and get results quickly, but they actually have to use that cash first to prop up the value of the US dollar and therefore their growth. So they have to tolerate pollution for a bit longer to protect their most sacred thing: stability.

  • (Score: 3, Insightful) by Tork on Thursday May 15 2014, @10:52PM

    by Tork (3914) on Thursday May 15 2014, @10:52PM (#44001)
    "What say we let the market take care of it instead?"

    Tried it, dint work.
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    Slashdolt Logic: "25 year old jokes about sharks and lasers are +5, Funny." 💩
    • (Score: 2) by The Mighty Buzzard on Friday May 16 2014, @02:46AM

      Have we? Seems to me like we're just now starting to try it and it's the market doing pretty much all of the moving and creating. Government aid? Yeah, plenty of companies took government aid for greening up energy and they appear to mostly be bankrupt or at best no closer than they were before they took the money.

      Just saying, you want forward momentum look at what has and is working and look at what has failed dismally and make an intelligent decision instead of an ideological one.

      --
      My rights don't end where your fear begins.
      • (Score: 2) by Tork on Friday May 16 2014, @03:08AM

        by Tork (3914) on Friday May 16 2014, @03:08AM (#44084)
        "Have we? "

        Yes and it goes back a lot further than Solyndra. I'll give you a hint: We didn't just magically appear on this planet 2 years ago in the state it's in.
        --
        Slashdolt Logic: "25 year old jokes about sharks and lasers are +5, Funny." 💩