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posted by Fnord666 on Sunday January 28 2018, @11:28AM   Printer-friendly
from the RIP dept.

Submitted via IRC for AndyTheAbsurd

Hammered by the finance of physics and the weaponisation of optimisation, Moore's Law has hit the wall, bounced off - and reversed direction. We're driving backwards now: all things IT will become slower, harder and more expensive.

That doesn't mean there won't some rare wins - GPUs and other dedicated hardware have a bit more life left in them. But for the mainstay of IT, general purpose computing, last month may be as good as it ever gets.

Going forward, the game changes from "cheaper and faster" to "sleeker and wiser". Software optimisations - despite their Spectre-like risks - will take the lead over the next decades, as Moore's Law fades into a dimly remembered age when the cornucopia of process engineering gave us everything we ever wanted.

From here on in, we're going to have to work for it.

It's well past the time that we move from improving performance by increasing clock speeds and transistor counts; it's been time to move on to increasing performance wherever possible by writing better parallel processing code.

Source: https://www.theregister.co.uk/2018/01/24/death_notice_for_moores_law/


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  • (Score: 3, Interesting) by RS3 on Sunday January 28 2018, @02:01PM (10 children)

    by RS3 (6367) on Sunday January 28 2018, @02:01PM (#629442)

    A kindred spirit you are. I wish you and others like you (positive contributors) would get and use a login here. I like having a conversation with someone I can somehow remember and chat with again.

    Actually I have at least 1 16-bit ISA soundcard + modem that is _not_ "WinModem"- real sound and modem processors on the ISA card.

    I do have an ISA "WinModem" - surprising thing- must hog up lots of ISA bandwidth. Otherwise they are PCI (DMA).

    I was not a fan of WinModems when they first came out, but at some point CPU power got to the point of them being viable (IMHO).

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  • (Score: 3, Interesting) by maxwell demon on Sunday January 28 2018, @02:25PM (2 children)

    by maxwell demon (1608) on Sunday January 28 2018, @02:25PM (#629450) Journal

    All the stuff being done by the CPU has more implications than just speed. If the code runs on the main CPU, any vulnerabilities are ways to compromise the computer. With dedicated hardware, all you would get access to by exploiting bugs in it would be that hardware.

    --
    The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 28 2018, @10:21PM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 28 2018, @10:21PM (#629610)

      and all memory you mean, since the hardware designers never bothered to compartmentalize or put security in. Just look at firewire. Heck, just look at meltdown, just letting an unpriviledged process read kernel memory "I'm sure we can fix it up later well enough".
      That few people bothered to exploit dedicated hardware doesn't mean they had any fewer security issues. It usually means it's harder to do and it would affect fewer people. That doesn't make it a solution at all.

      • (Score: 2) by maxwell demon on Monday January 29 2018, @05:18AM

        by maxwell demon (1608) on Monday January 29 2018, @05:18AM (#629705) Journal

        I don't see how hacking a modem hanging on the serial port would in any way allow to compromise your computer. Unless there's an additional vulnerability in the serial driver that the attacker can exploit, of course. But that's a further line that has to be broken. Remember, security is not an absolute; there is no "secure", there is only "less secure" and "more secure".

        --
        The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  • (Score: 1, Interesting) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 28 2018, @03:07PM (3 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 28 2018, @03:07PM (#629464)

    Actually I do have an account. Signed in the first few weeks. I just like AC since my history does not affect me. I am always one vote away from dropping off a discussion. It is both a plus andimus.

    • (Score: 1) by Ethanol-fueled on Sunday January 28 2018, @06:49PM (2 children)

      by Ethanol-fueled (2792) on Sunday January 28 2018, @06:49PM (#629534) Homepage

      This ain't Slashdot buddy. You don't even need your Mulligan because you won't be modded down unless you get racial or insult Larry Wall.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 28 2018, @08:00PM (1 child)

        by Anonymous Coward on Sunday January 28 2018, @08:00PM (#629558)

        Its been here too. Remember slash code holds this site up. My AC was blocked for a few more NTSB. But I pointed out they only blocked one machine me out 8 I use all the time. Then I have VMs to give extra access.

        But again live on the bleeding edge. One vote and I am gone. One vote makes me relevant. This means having to be sure to make meaningful posts that may support or not the conversation. I started doing this once my account was untouchable was preset to post higher because of my points. I like the work to it.

  • (Score: 2) by ilsa on Monday January 29 2018, @09:09PM (2 children)

    by ilsa (6082) Subscriber Badge on Monday January 29 2018, @09:09PM (#630026)

    And of course don't forget WinPrinters too. Printers that would only work on windows because the print engine was done in the driver software. The hardware was completely dumb and unusable on it's own.

    • (Score: 2) by RS3 on Tuesday January 30 2018, @12:34AM (1 child)

      by RS3 (6367) on Tuesday January 30 2018, @12:34AM (#630120)

      Ugh. WinPrinters. I had completely blissfully forgotten about them. Why'd you remind me. I've never touched one. I remember when they came out I just felt like the world was going a bad direction. I was already running Linux and who knows what else. I don't remember if you could set up Windows as a print server in those days; regardless, it just seemed like a terrible thing to be bound to an MS product, and who knows if it would work in the next Windows update or version. I'm glad they faded away.

      • (Score: 2) by ilsa on Tuesday January 30 2018, @10:00PM

        by ilsa (6082) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday January 30 2018, @10:00PM (#630656)

        IIRC, Windows was capable of acting as a print server for as long as networking was a thing. As early as Windows 3.1 I believe. But that still meant you needed to have a windows machine sitting on your network, as networked printers were still very very rare and expensive.

        But agreed. I'm glad all those Win-things were just a passing fad.